Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve is considering the economic impact of previous monetary easing and may delay interest rate cuts until later this year, depending on inflation and employment data. The focus should be on identifying stocks that can perform well regardless of policy changes [1]. Group 1: Interest Rate and Investment Strategy - Interest rate cuts are not definitive buy or sell signals; controlling costs is crucial for investment success. A notable example is Warren Buffett's long-term investment in Coca-Cola, where he maintained a low average cost per share, leading to significant profits despite market fluctuations [1]. - Institutional investors prioritize cost management before purchasing stocks, often engaging in trading activities that are not visible to the average investor. Monitoring institutional trading data can provide insights into their cost management efforts [1]. Group 2: Institutional Activity and Stock Performance - In the "9.24" market event of 2024, a blue-chip stock with consistent earnings growth and a low price-to-earnings ratio saw a 40% increase after institutional trading data indicated active cost management prior to the price surge [2]. - Stocks with low trading volumes may struggle to maintain price increases without institutional support. For instance, a small-cap stock with a circulation of less than 100 million shares experienced a brief price rise followed by a decline due to lack of institutional involvement [7]. Group 3: Monitoring Institutional Engagement - Investors should focus on whether institutions are actively managing costs rather than speculating on policy changes. Stocks can appreciate even without favorable policy news if institutions are engaged in cost management [9]. - Active institutional trading data serves as a more reliable indicator of potential stock performance than news headlines. If institutions are not participating, even positive news may lead to temporary price increases followed by declines [9].