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中国工业低碳技术展望报告发布
Zhong Guo Hua Gong Bao· 2025-08-08 02:13
Core Insights - The report titled "Prospects for Low-Carbon Technologies in Industry under China's Carbon Neutrality Goals" was initiated by Tsinghua University's Carbon Neutrality Research Institute and supported by the Energy Foundation, focusing on China's industrial carbon neutrality strategy [1] Group 1: Industrial Carbon Neutrality Strategy - The report emphasizes that the industrial sector is a major source of energy consumption and carbon emissions in China, presenting significant opportunities for technological innovation and industrial upgrades [1] - By 2060, CO2 emissions from the industrial sector are expected to drop to 450 million tons, a reduction of approximately 95% compared to 2025, driven by three main factors: demand-side adjustments, technological innovations, and clean electricity substitution [1] - Four core technologies—hydrogen substitution, electrification coupled with clean electricity, raw material substitution, and waste recycling—are projected to contribute nearly 80% of the industrial decarbonization potential [1] Group 2: Development Pathways for Low-Carbon Technologies - The report outlines a "three-stage" pathway for the development of carbon neutrality technologies in the industrial sector: 1. Large-scale application of low-carbon process technologies (2025-2035), focusing on demand-side structural adjustments and short-process technologies, which are expected to contribute about 55% of the industrial carbon neutrality technology reduction [2] 2. Explosive application of disruptive technologies (2036-2050), where hydrogen technology, electrification, and CCUS will be scaled up to break the reliance on high-carbon pathways [2] 3. Deep application of carbon removal technologies (2051-2060), where the industrial sector will rely on CCUS to address hard-to-abate segments while other sectors achieve net-zero emissions [2] Group 3: Policy Recommendations - To accelerate the deployment of low-carbon technologies in the industrial sector, the report suggests several policy recommendations, including the planning and deployment of strategic major projects with demonstrative effects, enhancing the role of carbon markets and carbon finance, and establishing a supportive fiscal and tax policy framework for carbon neutrality technology development [3]