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工程机械景气度延续
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中联重科(000157):工程机械景气度有望延续,看好公司业绩增长
Orient Securities· 2025-08-13 02:16
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The outlook for the engineering machinery sector is expected to continue positively, with the company's traditional flagship products anticipated to see an increase in demand, while emerging products are gaining competitiveness and maintaining rapid growth [3][17] - The company is projected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.89 billion, 5.58 billion, and 6.39 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with a target price of 9.12 yuan based on a 16x PE ratio for 2025 [3][17] Summary by Relevant Sections Industry Outlook - The demand for domestic engineering machinery is stabilizing after a period of decline, supported by ongoing large-scale infrastructure projects and the transition towards electric machinery driven by new energy policies [9][10] - The "Belt and Road" initiative is expected to further boost exports of domestic brands in the engineering machinery sector [10] Company Performance - The company's traditional products, including lifting and concrete machinery, are expected to see a gradual increase in demand as construction activities ramp up [9][14] - Emerging products such as earth-moving machinery, aerial work machinery, agricultural machinery, and mining machinery are experiencing rapid growth, with improved competitiveness and market share [15][17] Financial Projections - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 47.075 billion yuan in 2023 to 67.358 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 15.2% from 2025 to 2027 [4][19] - The gross profit margin is expected to improve from 27.1% in 2023 to 29.2% in 2027, indicating enhanced profitability [4][19]
中联重科(000157):跟踪报告:工程机械景气度有望延续,看好公司业绩增长
Orient Securities· 2025-08-13 01:56
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The outlook for the engineering machinery industry is expected to continue, with the company's traditional flagship products anticipated to see an increase in demand, while emerging products are gaining competitiveness and maintaining rapid growth [3][17] - The company is projected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.89 billion, 5.58 billion, and 6.39 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with a target price of 9.12 yuan based on a 16x PE ratio for 2025 [3][17] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue is forecasted to be 50.76 billion, 58.47 billion, and 67.36 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, reflecting growth rates of 11.6%, 15.2%, and 15.2% respectively [4] - Operating profit is expected to reach 5.75 billion, 6.57 billion, and 7.54 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, with growth rates of 32.9%, 14.3%, and 14.7% respectively [4] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to grow by 38.9%, 14.1%, and 14.6% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, reaching 4.89 billion, 5.58 billion, and 6.39 billion yuan [4] - Earnings per share are expected to be 0.57, 0.64, and 0.74 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4] Industry Outlook - The engineering machinery industry is showing signs of stabilization after a period of decline, with domestic demand expected to be supported by ongoing large-scale infrastructure projects and the transition to electric machinery [9][10] - The company's traditional products, including lifting and concrete machinery, are expected to see a gradual increase in demand as construction activities ramp up [9][14] - Emerging products such as earth-moving machinery and high-altitude work machinery are experiencing rapid growth, with the company improving its competitive position in these segments [15][17]