本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客 户，用作新媒体形势下研究信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿 订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便， 敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相关人员为光大 证券的客户。 报告摘要 事件： 公司发布2025年中报，2025H1实现营业收入64.63亿元，同比+3.69%，实现归母净利润3.82亿元，同比 +0.43%；2025Q2实现营业收入32.81亿元，同比+1.41%，实现归母净利润2.02亿元，同比-3.14%，环比 +11.69%。 环保装备销售市占率维持行业第一，城市服务新增年化合同额排名第二 （1）2025H1公司环保装备销售实现营业收入25.85亿元，同比增长15.27%，连续24年处于行业销售额第 一，毛利率同比小幅提升0.33个pct至27.34%。根据上险数据统计，公司2025H1环保装备销量为6194辆， 市占率同比提升1.2个pct至18.8%，保持市场排名第一。 点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 智云平台保持 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The outlook for the engineering machinery sector is expected to continue positively, with the company's traditional flagship products anticipated to see an increase in demand, while emerging products are gaining competitiveness and maintaining rapid growth [3][17] - The company is projected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.89 billion, 5.58 billion, and 6.39 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with a target price of 9.12 yuan based on a 16x PE ratio for 2025 [3][17] Summary by Relevant Sections Industry Outlook - The demand for domestic engineering machinery is stabilizing after a period of decline, supported by ongoing large-scale infrastructure projects and the transition towards electric machinery driven by new energy policies [9][10] - The "Belt and Road" initiative is expected to further boost exports of domestic brands in the engineering machinery sector [10] Company Performance - The company's traditional products, including lifting and concrete machinery, are expected to see a gradual increase in demand as construction activities ramp up [9][14] - Emerging products such as earth-moving machinery, aerial work machinery, agricultural machinery, and mining machinery are experiencing rapid growth, with improved competitiveness and market share [15][17] Financial Projections - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 47.075 billion yuan in 2023 to 67.358 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 15.2% from 2025 to 2027 [4][19] - The gross profit margin is expected to improve from 27.1% in 2023 to 29.2% in 2027, indicating enhanced profitability [4][19]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The outlook for the engineering machinery industry is expected to continue, with the company's traditional flagship products anticipated to see an increase in demand, while emerging products are gaining competitiveness and maintaining rapid growth [3][17] - The company is projected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.89 billion, 5.58 billion, and 6.39 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with a target price of 9.12 yuan based on a 16x PE ratio for 2025 [3][17] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue is forecasted to be 50.76 billion, 58.47 billion, and 67.36 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, reflecting growth rates of 11.6%, 15.2%, and 15.2% respectively [4] - Operating profit is expected to reach 5.75 billion, 6.57 billion, and 7.54 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, with growth rates of 32.9%, 14.3%, and 14.7% respectively [4] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to grow by 38.9%, 14.1%, and 14.6% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, reaching 4.89 billion, 5.58 billion, and 6.39 billion yuan [4] - Earnings per share are expected to be 0.57, 0.64, and 0.74 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4] Industry Outlook - The engineering machinery industry is showing signs of stabilization after a period of decline, with domestic demand expected to be supported by ongoing large-scale infrastructure projects and the transition to electric machinery [9][10] - The company's traditional products, including lifting and concrete machinery, are expected to see a gradual increase in demand as construction activities ramp up [9][14] - Emerging products such as earth-moving machinery and high-altitude work machinery are experiencing rapid growth, with the company improving its competitive position in these segments [15][17]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese construction machinery industry has achieved significant export growth during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, with a 1.5 times increase in exports, showcasing its product, research, and manufacturing capabilities [1][2]. Export Growth - From 2021 to 2024, the export value of construction machinery products is expected to grow rapidly for four consecutive years, with a projected export value of $52.859 billion in 2024, marking an 8.87% year-on-year increase [2]. - In 2020, the overall export value of China's construction machinery was $21 billion, indicating a growth of 1.5 times over four years [2]. Global Market Presence - Asia accounts for 43% of the export destinations, followed by Europe at 20%, Africa at 13.5%, and South America at approximately 11% [4]. - Countries involved in the Belt and Road Initiative represent nearly 50% of total exports, highlighting their importance as key markets [4]. Competitive Landscape - In the Middle East, Chinese companies captured 40% to 50% of new orders in a highly competitive market dominated by European and American firms [4]. - The overseas revenue share of A-share listed construction machinery companies increased from 11.38% in 2020 to 47.48% in 2024, with leading companies like SANY and Zoomlion deriving over half of their revenue from international operations [5]. Technological Advancements - Chinese construction machinery companies have developed a competitive edge through years of investment in electrification and intelligent technology [6]. - In 2024, the penetration rates for electric lifting platforms and forklifts are expected to reach 92.5% and 73.6%, respectively [7]. Localization Strategy - The industry is shifting from large-scale acquisitions to establishing independent production capacities overseas, reflecting a transition from "going out" to "going in" [10]. - SANY's "lighthouse factory" in Indonesia began operations in 2020, with plans for a second phase investment of $150 million, aiming for an annual output value of 5 billion yuan [10]. Future Outlook - The construction machinery sector is poised for continued growth, driven by increasing demand in regions with rich mineral resources and strong infrastructure needs, particularly in Southeast Asia, Africa, and the Middle East [5][10].

Core Insights - The opening of the new outlet in Mexico City marks a significant milestone for the company in its strategic expansion into the Latin American market [1][2] - The company aims to achieve over 1 billion yuan in sales for its engineering and aerial work machinery in the Mexican market by 2024 [1] - The new outlet enhances the company's network coverage from South America (Brazil) to North America (Mexico), establishing a core support point for deeper market development [1] Summary by Sections Strategic Expansion - The new outlet in Mexico City is a key addition to the company's strategic layout in Latin America, representing a new milestone in its globalization journey [2] - The company has set a target for overseas revenue to exceed 23.3 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 30.58% and marking the first time that overseas revenue accounts for over 50% of total income [2] Product Offering and Customer Engagement - The Mexico City outlet serves as a demonstration and office center, catering to customer needs in the capital and surrounding areas [1] - The opening event showcased various machinery products, including lifting, concrete, earth-moving, and agricultural machinery, with a focus on immersive product experience [1] - Customer representatives praised the company's products for their operability, comfort, and intelligence during test drives at the event [1] Global Sales Network - The company has established a sales network covering over 170 countries and regions, supported by a comprehensive strategy that includes R&D manufacturing base layout, direct sales system construction, and product diversification [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company held its 2024 Annual General Meeting, where various proposals were discussed and voted on, including the appointment of auditors and financial guarantees for subsidiaries [1][2][6]. Meeting Details - The meeting was conducted in compliance with relevant laws and regulations, ensuring its legality and validity [1]. - Voting was conducted through a combination of on-site and online methods [2]. Proposals and Voting Results - Proposals included the appointment of KPMG as the domestic auditor for 2025 and the authorization of the board to determine specific remuneration for the auditors [1][6]. - A total of sixteen ordinary resolutions were passed with more than half of the voting rights in favor [6]. - Five special resolutions, including proposals for issuing short-term financing bonds and asset-backed securities, were approved with over two-thirds of the voting rights [7]. Voting Statistics - The voting results showed a high level of agreement among shareholders, with significant percentages of votes in favor of the proposals: - For the appointment of auditors, 99.75% of votes were in favor [3]. - Overall, the majority of proposals received over 98% approval from shareholders [3][5]. Legal Compliance - Legal opinions confirmed that the meeting and voting processes adhered to the company's rules and regulations, ensuring the legitimacy of the proceedings [8].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 91.66 billion in 2024, a slight decline of 1.28% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 5.976 billion, an increase of 12.20% year-on-year. In Q1 2025, revenue reached 26.815 billion, up 10.92% year-on-year, and net profit was 2.022 billion, up 26.37% year-on-year, indicating performance in line with market expectations [5][8] - The company is experiencing significant growth in overseas markets, with overseas revenue reaching 41.687 billion, a year-on-year increase of 12.00%, accounting for 45.48% of total revenue. Domestic revenue, however, declined by 10.17% [8] - The company has improved its profitability, with a gross margin of 22.55% in 2024, up 1.75 percentage points year-on-year, and a net margin of 6.53%, up 0.89 percentage points year-on-year [8] - The company is expanding its global presence, having established over 40 overseas subsidiaries and more than 300 overseas distributors, with products sold in over 190 countries [8] - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been raised, with expected net profits of 8.035 billion, 9.803 billion, and 11.630 billion respectively, reflecting an optimistic outlook for the engineering machinery industry [8] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The total revenue for 2025 is projected to be 102.177 billion, with a year-on-year growth rate of 11.5%. The net profit for 2025 is expected to be 8.035 billion, representing a growth rate of 34.5% [7][10] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 0.68, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 12 [7][10] - The company aims to maintain a gross margin of around 22.7% in 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) projected at 12.1% [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Views - The company's profitability is steadily improving, with a projected revenue of 91.66 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 1.28%, while net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to grow by 12.20% to 5.976 billion yuan [1][4] - The increase in profitability is attributed to product structure optimization and a higher proportion of overseas revenue, alongside cost reduction efforts [1][2] - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery in the construction machinery sector, with a forecasted net profit of 7.964 billion yuan in 2025, representing a growth of 33.3% [3][4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a gross margin of 22.55% and a net margin of 6.53%, with year-on-year changes of +0.17 and +0.89 percentage points respectively [1] - Operating cash flow for 2024 is projected at 5.720 billion yuan, a significant increase of 60.18% year-on-year, indicating improved cash return capabilities [1] Revenue Breakdown - Domestic and overseas revenues for 2024 are expected to be 49.972 billion yuan and 41.687 billion yuan respectively, with a year-on-year change of -10.17% and +12.00%, leading to an overseas revenue share of 45.58% [2] - The company’s revenue from earth-moving machinery, piling machinery, and concrete machinery is expected to grow, while revenues from concrete machinery, lifting machinery, and aerial work machinery are projected to decline [2] Market Outlook - Domestic excavator sales are expected to grow by 11.74% in 2024, with continued growth in the first quarter of 2025, driven by the upcoming replacement cycle [3] - The company is positioned as a leader in the domestic construction machinery sector and is likely to benefit from the overall recovery in the industry [3]

Core Viewpoint - The fourth Changsha International Construction Machinery Exhibition showcased Zoomlion's leadership in high-end equipment manufacturing, highlighting innovations in high-end, intelligent, digital, and green technologies, with a significant focus on the delivery of three 4000-ton all-terrain cranes, marking a new era in the industry [1][8][15]. Group 1: Product Showcase - Zoomlion presented over 100 high-end products across nine categories, including engineering cranes, concrete machinery, and emergency equipment, emphasizing their technological advancements and design [2][6]. - The exhibition featured the world's largest 4000-ton all-terrain crane, a hydrogen-powered pump truck, and the highest ladder fire truck, showcasing the company's commitment to high-end manufacturing [2][6][15]. Group 2: Technological Innovations - The company demonstrated its intelligent innovations, including unmanned excavators and remote-controlled machinery, highlighting advanced features such as automatic sensing and precise identification [6]. - Smart operation modes, including voice control and remote operation, were showcased, reflecting the company's focus on meeting diverse operational needs [6]. Group 3: Market Impact - The delivery of three 4000-ton all-terrain cranes at the exhibition was a significant event, with customers expressing confidence in the product's performance and quality, reinforcing Zoomlion's position as an industry leader [8][15]. - The successful launch of the 4000-ton crane not only set a new world record but also addressed critical challenges in wind turbine installation, gaining widespread market recognition [15].

Core Insights - The overseas business of A-share listed companies has shown significant growth, becoming a new engine for performance improvement in 2024 [1][2][3] Group 1: Overall Performance - In 2024, companies listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange achieved overseas revenue of 6.09 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7% [1] - The Shenzhen Stock Exchange reported that 2007 companies generated overseas revenue of 4.18 trillion yuan, reflecting a growth of 11.62% [2] - High-tech products such as high-end equipment, integrated circuits, smart home appliances, and electric vehicles have driven overseas revenue growth in various sectors [1] Group 2: Company Highlights - Notable companies with overseas revenue exceeding 100 billion yuan include Luxshare Precision, BYD, Midea Group, Weichai Power, and CATL [2] - Shandong Wantong Hydraulic's overseas market revenue grew by 62.71% in 2024, indicating strong demand for customized products [3] - Zoomlion's overseas revenue accounted for over 51% of total revenue, with significant international market presence [5] Group 3: Strategic Developments - Companies are increasingly focusing on localizing their operations abroad, with examples including the acquisition of Leoni Group by Luxshare Precision and the establishment of overseas warehouses by CIMC [6][7] - China Communications Construction Company reported a new contract value of 359.73 billion yuan for overseas projects, with a 12.5% increase year-on-year [4] - Arrow Home's overseas revenue surged by 137.73% in 2024, driven by enhanced organizational structure and targeted market strategies [8] Group 4: Market Trends - The trend of "going global" is evolving into "going local," with companies emphasizing local integration and development [6][7] - The focus on enhancing product and service competitiveness is evident, as companies invest in technology and innovation to support overseas projects [4][5] - The importance of cultivating local talent and improving cross-cultural communication is highlighted as essential for future success in international markets [8]