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ETO Markets 出入金:英镑兑美元能否稳住涨势,还是将再度回落?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-11 09:51
Core Viewpoint - GBP/USD reversed its trend during the US trading session, rebounding approximately 100 points from its intraday low, currently around 1.3360, due to concerns over US-China trade relations and strong selling pressure on the dollar [1] Technical Analysis - GBP/USD has faced resistance near the 100-period simple moving average (SMA) multiple times, with bearish sentiment prevailing due to signs of a breakdown from a descending channel since the beginning of the month [3] - The price may further decline towards the two-month low range of 1.3330-1.3325, with a potential new selling wave if it breaks below the 1.3300 level, targeting support at 1.3260-1.3255 and possibly extending to 1.3200 [3] - Conversely, if a rebound occurs, resistance is expected at the 1.3400 level, followed by the Asian session high of 1.3420, with further upward movement potentially facing resistance at 1.3465-1.3475 [3] Fundamental Analysis - Bank of England (BoE) official Catherine Mann emphasized the need for prolonged tight monetary policy to foster a conducive growth environment, citing persistent inflation and moderate growth prospects [4] - UK Treasury Chief Secretary James Murray stated that the government will not allow departments to use emergency funds for salary increases, aiming to prevent a wage spiral and establish a stable economic foundation [4] - Amidst the US government shutdown and Senate deadlock, market risk aversion is rising, which may provide some safe-haven support for the dollar, potentially suppressing GBP performance [5] - Market expectations suggest that the Federal Reserve will maintain a dovish stance, limiting the dollar's rebound momentum [5]