劳工部下属的劳工统计局是美国官方核心统计机构。政府"停摆"期间，劳工统计局停止数据采集工 作，也停止数据报告发布。该机构负责的多项重要统计数据发布都将受到影响，包括消费者价格指数等 关键通胀数据。据报道，美国商务部下属的人口普查局和经济分析局等机构的数据统计工作也受到"停 摆"影响。 有经济分析人士认为，美国目前面临就业疲软、通胀顽固的复杂经济局面，重要数据的缺失将直接 影响到各界对美国经济现状的了解和评估，美联储等机构将更难以作出相应的决策。(央视记者 曹健) 受美国联邦政府"停摆"持续影响，美国劳工统计局当地时间7日宣布再次推迟发布月度就业数据统 计报告。这已经是该机构自上月以来第二次推迟发布就业报告。 ...

Core Viewpoint - GBP/USD reversed its trend during the US trading session, rebounding approximately 100 points from its intraday low, currently around 1.3360, due to concerns over US-China trade relations and strong selling pressure on the dollar [1] Technical Analysis - GBP/USD has faced resistance near the 100-period simple moving average (SMA) multiple times, with bearish sentiment prevailing due to signs of a breakdown from a descending channel since the beginning of the month [3] - The price may further decline towards the two-month low range of 1.3330-1.3325, with a potential new selling wave if it breaks below the 1.3300 level, targeting support at 1.3260-1.3255 and possibly extending to 1.3200 [3] - Conversely, if a rebound occurs, resistance is expected at the 1.3400 level, followed by the Asian session high of 1.3420, with further upward movement potentially facing resistance at 1.3465-1.3475 [3] Fundamental Analysis - Bank of England (BoE) official Catherine Mann emphasized the need for prolonged tight monetary policy to foster a conducive growth environment, citing persistent inflation and moderate growth prospects [4] - UK Treasury Chief Secretary James Murray stated that the government will not allow departments to use emergency funds for salary increases, aiming to prevent a wage spiral and establish a stable economic foundation [4] - Amidst the US government shutdown and Senate deadlock, market risk aversion is rising, which may provide some safe-haven support for the dollar, potentially suppressing GBP performance [5] - Market expectations suggest that the Federal Reserve will maintain a dovish stance, limiting the dollar's rebound momentum [5]

2025年5月7日，美联储即将公布最新利率决议，市场普遍预期其将连续第六次维持基准利率在4.25%-4.50%不变。 然而，美国总统特朗普在强劲的4月非农数据发布后，再度向美联储发起"降息冲锋"，令这场本已复杂的政策博弈 更添火药味。 鲍威尔如何平衡"数据韧性"与"政治压力"，如何在关税引发的滞胀风险中维系政策独立性，将成为重塑全球市场 格局的关键变量。这场白宫与美联储的博弈，或许才刚刚进入深水区。 五芳传世非遗味 百汇棕揽四海财 BCR端午赠礼,祝您粽盈百福,汇利双收 BCR Co Pty Ltd BVI Company No. 1975046 | License No. SIBA/L/19/1122 五芳隆廣 特朗普的"降息檄文"：数据与立场的角力北京时间5月2日晚间，美国劳工统计局公布数据显示，4月非农就业人口 新增17.7万人，远超预期的13.3万，但3月数据从22.8万下修至18.5万，前两月累计下修5.8万岗位。失业率持稳于 4.2%，平均时薪年率3.8%略低于预期。数据发布后仅数分钟，特朗普即在Truth Social发文疾呼："没有通胀！美 联储必须降息！！！"。此番言论与其近期态度形成微妙反 ...