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Eramet 2025Q3 镍矿产量同比增长 755%至 1232.3 万湿吨,Centenario 工厂碳酸锂产量为 2,080 吨
HUAXI Securities· 2025-11-13 06:38
Investment Rating - The report recommends a "Buy" rating for the industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities [4]. Core Insights - The report highlights significant growth in nickel and lithium production, with nickel ore production increasing by 755% year-on-year to 12.32 million wet tons in Q3 2025, and lithium carbonate production reaching 2,080 tons [1][5]. - The report notes that the average grade of nickel ore sold by PT WBN has decreased significantly compared to Q3 2024, but it still commands a premium price due to limited domestic supply [2]. - The overall financial performance of the group showed a 10% decline in adjusted revenue to €720 million in Q3 2025, primarily due to lower sales prices, although sales volume increased by 22% [9]. Summary by Sections Nickel - Nickel ore production in Q3 2025 was 12.32 million wet tons, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 74% and a year-on-year increase of 755% [1]. - NPI production reached 9,400 tons, reflecting a 19% quarter-on-quarter growth and a 27% year-on-year growth [3]. - The average grade of nickel ore sold decreased from 2.0% to 1.6% compared to Q3 2024, while the average moisture content increased [2]. Lithium - Lithium production in Q3 2025 was 2,080 tons, a significant increase from 270 tons in Q2 2025 [3]. - The Centenario plant in Argentina has improved its production capacity, achieving a utilization rate of 50% in September 2025 [5]. - Lithium sales reached 1,000 tons in Q3 2025, up from 480 tons in Q2 2025 [3]. Manganese - Manganese ore and sinter production totaled 1.874 million tons in Q3 2025, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6% but a year-on-year decrease of 8% [6]. - The average cash cost of manganese mining activities was $2.3 per ton, reflecting a 14% increase compared to Q3 2024 [6]. - Manganese alloy production was 174,000 tons, with a 9% quarter-on-quarter increase and a 5% year-on-year increase [7]. Financial Performance - The adjusted revenue for the group in Q3 2025 was €720 million, a 10% decrease from €804 million in Q3 2024 [9]. - The decline in revenue was attributed to a 25% drop in sales prices, particularly for manganese and nickel ores, despite a 22% increase in sales volume [9]. 2025 Outlook - Nickel demand is expected to grow in Q4 2025 due to increased stainless steel production in China, Indonesia, and India, while battery demand is anticipated to remain stable [10]. - Lithium demand is projected to continue rising, driven by electric vehicle sales, particularly in China, with expectations of a significant increase in battery-grade lithium prices [13]. - The manganese market is expected to remain oversupplied in Q4 2025, with stable supply but weak demand [16].