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ZFX山海证券:市场聚焦降息,美元失守动能
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-17 02:50
Fundamental Analysis - The US retail sales in August exceeded expectations but failed to boost the dollar, as a weak job market and tariffs driving up prices raised concerns about the economic outlook, leading investors to bet on a Federal Reserve rate cut, putting pressure on the dollar [1] - In Europe, the Eurozone's industrial production in July showed a slow recovery but still recorded an increase, providing support for the euro [1] Technical Analysis - The gold one-hour chart indicates an upward rebound and a refresh of short-term highs, showing increased buying strength; if it retraces without breaking previous support, the trend may continue upward, suggesting a short-term long position [2] - The AUD/USD one-hour chart shows a fluctuating upward trend and a refresh of recent highs, indicating enhanced buying; if it retraces without breaking previous support, the trend may continue upward, suggesting a short-term long position [4] - The EUR/USD one-hour chart also shows a fluctuating upward trend and a refresh of recent highs, indicating increased buying; if it retraces without breaking previous support, the trend may continue upward, suggesting a short-term long position [5] - The suggested entry for AUD/USD is at 0.6672 with a stop loss below 0.6650 and a target of 0.6690-0.6703 [5] - The suggested entry for EUR/USD is at 1.1851 with a stop loss below 1.1820 and a target of 1.1900-1.1930 [6]