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卓创资讯:成本端推动7月棉纱价格重心上移8月或小幅下跌
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-11 03:10
Group 1 - In July, cotton yarn prices increased due to a significant rise in cotton prices, which pushed the cost of cotton yarn higher. The average monthly price of cotton in China reached approximately 14,741 yuan/ton, a 3.41% increase from the previous month, but a year-on-year decrease [1] - The profit margins for cotton spinning enterprises have declined, with the theoretical monthly gross profit for pure cotton yarn dropping to -720.35 yuan/ton, a decrease of 50.15 yuan/ton from the previous month. The operating rate of cotton spinning enterprises was 61.20%, down 0.75 percentage points from the previous month [1] - Cotton spinning enterprises are experiencing a decrease in orders, with the average order days for Shandong cotton spinning enterprises at 4.93 days, a decline of 0.20 days from the previous month. The inventory days for pure cotton yarn increased by 11.11% to an average of 30 days [1] Group 2 - The cotton market is expected to return to fundamentals, with limited orders from downstream textile enterprises and poor profit margins potentially suppressing cotton demand. The anticipated increase in new season cotton production is also contributing to this outlook [2] - It is projected that cotton yarn prices may experience a slight decline in August, with an expected drop of 100 yuan/ton to a range of 21,100-21,700 yuan/ton. The situation will be closely monitored regarding order follow-ups and macro market changes [2]