Workflow
带宽效率
icon
Search documents
集邦咨询:预计2026年全球AI Server出货同比增长逾20% AI芯片液冷渗透率达47%
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-27 06:37
Core Insights - The global AI server shipments are expected to grow by over 20% year-on-year in 2026, driven by increased capital expenditure from North American CSPs and the rise of sovereign cloud initiatives [1][2] - The competition in the AI chip market is intensifying, with companies like AMD and various Chinese firms enhancing their self-developed ASIC capabilities, challenging NVIDIA's dominance [1][2] Group 1: AI Chip and Cooling Technologies - The thermal design power (TDP) of AI chips is projected to rise from 700W for NVIDIA's H100 and H200 to over 1,000W for upcoming models, necessitating liquid cooling systems in server cabinets, with a forecasted penetration rate of 47% for liquid cooling in AI chips by 2026 [2] - Microsoft is introducing new microfluidic cooling technologies for next-generation chip packaging, while the market is expected to transition from liquid-to-air (L2A) to liquid-to-liquid (L2L) cooling designs [2] Group 2: Memory and Data Transfer Innovations - HBM and optical communication technologies are becoming critical for overcoming bandwidth limitations in AI computing, with HBM4 expected to enhance I/O bandwidth and local bandwidth for AI chips [3][4] - The introduction of 800G/1.6T pluggable optical modules is underway, with expectations for higher bandwidth SiPh/CPO platforms to be integrated into AI switches starting in 2026 [4] Group 3: NAND Flash and Storage Solutions - NAND Flash suppliers are accelerating the development of specialized solutions to address the performance gap in AI training and inference workloads, including storage-class memory (SCM) SSDs and Nearline QLC SSDs [5][6] - QLC technology is anticipated to achieve a 30% market penetration in enterprise SSDs by 2026, significantly reducing the cost of storing large AI datasets [6] Group 4: Energy Storage Systems - AI data centers are evolving towards large-scale clusters, with energy storage systems transitioning from emergency backup to core energy solutions, expected to grow from 15.7 GWh in 2024 to 216.8 GWh by 2030, reflecting a CAGR of 46.1% [7] - North America is projected to become the largest market for AI data center energy storage, driven by major cloud providers [7] Group 5: Power Infrastructure and Semiconductor Demand - Data centers are shifting to 800V HVDC architectures to enhance efficiency and reliability, with third-generation semiconductors (SiC/GaN) expected to penetrate 17% of data center power supply by 2026 [8] Group 6: Advanced Semiconductor Technologies - The transition to 2nm GAAFET technology is underway, emphasizing higher transistor density and heterogeneous integration to meet the demands of AI applications [9] Group 7: Humanoid Robots and Market Growth - The global shipment of humanoid robots is projected to increase by over 700% in 2026, focusing on AI adaptability and application-specific designs [10][11] Group 8: Display Technology Advancements - OLED technology is set to accelerate in laptops, with Apple expected to introduce OLED panels in MacBook Pro by 2026, leading to a significant increase in OLED penetration in the laptop market [12][13] Group 9: Autonomous Driving and Robotaxi Expansion - The penetration rate of L2 and above advanced driver-assistance systems is expected to exceed 40% by 2026, with Robotaxi services expanding globally beyond just China and the US [15]
TrendForce集邦咨询发布2026年十大科技市场趋势预测: 锚定AI驱动下的产业新路径
TrendForce集邦· 2025-11-27 06:07
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that the technology market is evolving rapidly, particularly in AI, storage, and semiconductor sectors, with significant growth expected in various applications and technologies by 2026 [2][3][4]. Group 2 - AI chip competition is intensifying, with major players like NVIDIA facing challenges from AMD and various Chinese companies enhancing their AI chip development. The demand for AI data centers is expected to grow significantly, with global AI server shipments projected to increase by over 20% annually [3][4]. - Liquid cooling systems are anticipated to penetrate 47% of AI chip applications by 2026, driven by the rising thermal design power (TDP) of chips [3]. Group 3 - HBM and optical communication technologies are becoming critical for overcoming bandwidth limitations in AI computing, with HBM4 expected to support ultra-large-scale computations [4][5]. - The transition to optical communication technologies is seen as essential for improving data transfer efficiency across chips and modules, with a focus on high bandwidth and low power consumption [5]. Group 4 - NAND Flash suppliers are accelerating the development of specialized solutions for AI workloads, including storage-class memory (SCM) and Nearline QLC SSDs, which are expected to capture a 30% market penetration in enterprise SSDs by 2026 [6][7]. Group 5 - Energy storage systems are evolving to become the core energy source for AI data centers, with a projected increase in global AI data center storage capacity from 15.7 GWh in 2024 to 216.8 GWh by 2030, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 46.1% [8]. Group 6 - The shift to 800V HVDC architecture in data centers is expected to drive demand for third-generation semiconductors (SiC/GaN), with penetration rates projected to rise from 17% in 2026 to over 30% by 2030 [9]. Group 7 - The introduction of 2nm GAAFET technology and advancements in 2.5D/3D packaging are set to enhance transistor density and performance, crucial for high-performance computing and AI applications [10][11]. Group 8 - The humanoid robot market is projected to grow over 700% by 2026, focusing on AI adaptability and application-specific designs, marking a significant shift towards commercial viability [12]. Group 9 - The adoption of OLED displays in laptops is accelerating, with Apple expected to introduce OLED panels in MacBook Pro by 2026, leading to a projected penetration rate of 5% in laptops by 2025 and 9-12% by 2027-2028 [13][14]. Group 10 - The penetration rate of advanced driver assistance systems (L2 and above) is expected to exceed 40% by 2026, with Robotaxi services expanding globally, driven by regulatory changes and advancements in AI models [16].