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化工行业10月月报:行业发展高端化﹑绿色化-20251107
Hengtai Securities· 2025-11-07 10:46
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the chemical industry [3] Core Views - The macroeconomic data indicates a decline in the PMI to 49.0%, a decrease of 0.8 percentage points from the previous month. The main raw material purchasing price index also decreased by 0.7 percentage points [5][27] - The report highlights the need for the chemical industry to focus on high-end, green, intelligent, and circular development as emphasized in the recent policy recommendations from the Communist Party of China [5][51] - Investment strategies suggest focusing on sectors such as coal chemical, fluorochemical, phosphate and phosphorus chemical, and potassium fertilizer [5][61] Summary by Sections Macroeconomic Data - The October PMI is at 49.0%, down 0.8 percentage points from last month. The main raw material purchasing price index is at 52.5%, down 0.7 percentage points [27] - The PPI for September shows a year-on-year decline of 2.3%, with the decline narrowing by 0.6 percentage points from the previous month [5][27] - Fixed asset investment in the chemical raw materials and chemical products manufacturing sector saw a year-on-year decline of 5.6% in September, widening from the previous month [27] Downstream Industry Performance - In September, the export value of textile yarns and fabrics increased by 6.4% year-on-year, while the export value of household appliances decreased by 9.6% [42] - The production of new energy vehicles decreased by 2.4% year-on-year, while automobile production increased by 3.2% [42] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the SW coal chemical, SW fluorochemical, SW phosphate and phosphorus chemical, and SW potassium fertilizer sectors for potential investment opportunities [61][62] - Recommended ETF: Penghua CSI Sub-Sector Chemical Industry Theme ETF (159870.SZ) [62]