Core Viewpoint - The expectation of a significant interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve has surged, with Treasury Secretary Bessent suggesting a potential 50 basis point cut in September, leading to a rally in U.S. stock indices and a drop in 2-year Treasury yields [1][3]. Group 1: Economic Indicators - Recent employment data has shown a drastic revision, with job additions for May to July cut by half, equating to a loss of 258,000 jobs, and the unemployment rate rising to 4.2% [3]. - Bessent criticized the Federal Reserve's rigid interest rate policy, advocating for a reduction of 150-175 basis points to return rates to pre-pandemic levels [3]. Group 2: Market Reactions - The stock market, particularly the seven major tech companies, has seen a 37% increase in financing purchases over three days, indicating that investors are betting on a liquidity surge post-rate cut [3]. - Gold futures have surpassed $3,400 per ounce, with 30% attributed to "panic premium," suggesting potential profit-taking if the rate cut materializes [4]. Group 3: Currency and Capital Flows - The onshore RMB exchange rate has risen to 7.10, with northbound capital inflows exceeding 10 billion over three consecutive days, potentially benefiting the A-share technology growth sector [5]. Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The current rate cut is viewed as a means to "buy time" through monetary easing, with recommendations to focus on stable cash flow utility stocks and commodities benefiting from liquidity expansion, such as copper and crude oil [5]. - Morgan Stanley predicts copper prices could reach $9,500 per ton by year-end, highlighting the potential for investment in commodities [5].