导语："投资大家谈"是点拾投资的公益内容栏目，希望通过每周日不定期的推送，让更多人看到 基金经理对投资和市场的思考。"投资大家谈"栏目内容以公益类的分享为主，不带有基金产品的 代码和信息，也必须来自基金经理的内容创作。 以下文章来源于市值女魔头V老板 ，作者市值女魔头 市值女魔头V老板 . V总港股全球策略，左手pbroe，右手AI科技。驾驭从传统到新锐，古典底蕴到时代肩膀上做投资。资 本界脑洞创意，被称为市值女魔头，罕见的跨一二级资本市场买方市值洞察。杀伐果断，观点超前，战 斗值满分，关注就知道… 同样是在《证券分析》一书中，他表示，面对市场巨大的诱惑，(投资者)如果对很多问题一知半 解，是一件很危险的事情，A little knowledge is a dangerous thing。费雪先生，则更加直言不 讳。 在《如何选择成长股》一书开篇不久，他就直言，股市具有一种欺骗人的气质。巴菲特先生多年 来一直在尖锐批评华尔街一些不正确的理念，就是对格雷厄姆和费雪两位先生所说过的话最好的 印证。 他认为，面临巨大的利益诱惑，华尔街时不时地创造出一些理论话术，误导市场。 在他的各种批评之言论中，其中以对EMH（有 ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported total organic growth of 6% in Q1, at the top end of previous guidance [6] - Adjusted EBITDA was $215 million with a margin of 17.2%, exceeding the high end of Q1 guidance due to strong execution [7] - Earnings per share (EPS) was $1.62, reflecting benefits from share repurchases and a planned increase in the tax rate [7] - Free cash flow conversion was 40%, highlighting progress on accounts receivable collections [7] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - ATM Managed Services and Digital Retail Solutions (AMS DRS) grew over 20% for the fourth consecutive quarter, now representing a quarter of total business [6][8] - Cash and Valuables Management (CVM) grew 1% organically, with strong performance in Global Services contributing to overall growth [18] - The Global Services business saw elevated precious metal movement, leading to improved year-over-year growth [8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America experienced constant currency growth of 4% and organic growth of 2%, with DRS growth highlighted by new customer onboarding [13] - Latin America reported 7% organic growth, but this was offset by currency devaluation, particularly in Mexico and Argentina [14] - Europe grew revenue by 5% organically, with AMS DRS mix increasing to 42% of total revenue [15] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on maximizing growth potential in AMS DRS, expanding margins, and executing a capital allocation framework [7][10] - The strategy includes increasing network density and improving routing flexibility to support profit margin expansion [25] - The company is exploring accretive M&A opportunities that align with its capital allocation framework [31] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's resilience amid economic uncertainty, citing a diversified global footprint and strong customer relationships [24][25] - The outlook for the second quarter includes expectations for continued mid-single-digit organic growth and EBITDA between $200 million and $225 million [10][34] - Management remains cautious about the Global Services business due to slowing growth trends observed in early Q2 [19] Other Important Information - The company repurchased 1.3 million shares at an average price of $87.62, representing about 3% of outstanding shares [9] - A third consecutive annual increase in the quarterly dividend was announced, reflecting a commitment to shareholder returns [9][31] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you talk about your tariff exposure? - Management indicated no significant direct exposure to tariffs, as most costs and revenues are in the same currency and services are not heavily imported [39][40] Question: Can you discuss pricing trends in Latin America? - Management confirmed that pricing strategies are in place to offset currency devaluations, particularly in highly inflationary markets like Argentina [42][43] Question: What are the drivers for the second quarter margin guidance? - Key drivers include FX impacts, interest income from Argentina, and restructuring actions, with expectations for improved margins in the second half of the year [50][51][55] Question: What is the expected impact of interest income on EBITDA for the full year? - Management expects a headwind of approximately $4 million to $5 million per quarter from reduced interest income [56] Question: What are the growth expectations excluding last year's equipment sales? - Management anticipates continued growth trajectory in DRS AMS, despite a couple of points of headwind from last year's equipment sales [62][63] Question: Why is AMS DRS expected to be more resilient to macro softness? - The larger white space and subscription-based revenue model of AMS DRS provide more consistent revenues compared to traditional CIT business [70][71]

Applovin(APP.US)一季度表现强劲，核心游戏广告业务和非游戏业务均实现显著增长。多家华尔街投行 上调其目标价。 财报显示，该公司Q1营收为14.8亿美元，同比增长40%，超出市场预期;调整后的每股收益为1.67美元， 也超出市场预期。AppLovin同意将其移动游戏部门出售给伦敦的Tripledot Studios，以专注于广告技术 业务。 随着Applovin进一步投资核心技术并拓展新领域(如CTV)，大摩对其未来增长持乐观态度，维持"增 持"评级，并将目标价从350美元上调至420美元。 大摩在第一季度结束后对Applovin在核心广告产品的执行力更加乐观，因为其在游戏领域持续扩大份 额，同时非游戏产品也积蓄了增长动力，该行估计非游戏产品在刚刚过去的第二季度贡献了约1.5亿美 元的收入(而对2025年全年的预期为7.5亿美元)。 大摩对该公司后续进一步扩大市场份额的机会持更加乐观的态度，因此将其2025年和2026年的息税折旧 摊销前利润(EBITDA)预期均上调18%。 瑞银同样看好其利润增长，该行维持Applovin的"买入"评级，并将目标价从450美元上调至475美元。 展望未来，瑞银将 ...