Workflow
情绪择时指标
icon
Search documents
国泰海通 · 晨报0523|金工:从涨停板、"打板策略"到赚钱效应引发的情绪择时指标
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the development of a sentiment timing model based on the analysis of limit-up stocks, "board strategies," and the profit effect, which successfully predicts short-term market sentiment changes [1]. Group 1: Sentiment Timing Model Construction - The annualized return of the sentiment timing model portfolio is 6.65% with a volatility of 15.37% and a maximum drawdown of 29.39% [2]. - The model also performs well when applied to broad indices such as the CSI 300 [2]. Group 2: Improvements to the Model - Improvement 1: By incorporating market trend judgments, the annualized return of the sentiment timing model portfolio increases to 9.41%, with a volatility of 17.98% and a maximum drawdown of 46.35% [3]. - Improvement 2: After applying factor weighting to different sentiment indicators, the annualized return reaches 9.68%, with a reduced volatility of 13.31% and a maximum drawdown of 24.47% [4].