Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - Not provided in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints - The report maintains the current bull - market judgment for the stock market, suggesting investors to pay attention to short - term adjustment opportunities in IF, IM, and IC. For other commodities, it provides specific outlooks and trading suggestions based on their respective fundamentals and market conditions [2][3]. 3. Summary by Variety Options - A - shares continued to rise this week, with the Shanghai Composite Index breaking through 3800 points. The trading volume of the market exceeded 2 trillion for 8 consecutive trading days. For different index options (IO, MO, HO), the trading volume and open interest changed, and implied volatility increased. Trend investors should focus on the strength - weakness arbitrage opportunities between varieties, and volatility investors should go long on volatility when the target index rises and short on volatility when it falls. August 27th was the last trading day for the August contracts of SSE and SZSE ETF options [2]. Stock Index - The three major stock indexes had three consecutive weekly positive lines. The Shanghai Composite Index was relatively stable in the short - term, while the ChiNext had a relatively high short - term deviation rate and signs of overheating. The market showed a technology - growth and small - cap style advantage. The main channels for residents' funds to enter the market were the continuous increase in margin trading balances, private fund sizes, and active individual investor account openings. The report maintains the bull - market judgment and suggests investors to pay attention to short - term adjustment opportunities in IF, IM, and IC [3]. Aluminum - The market is still speculating on the Fed's September interest - rate cut expectation. Due to the release of supply increments and the off - season of consumption, the inventory accumulation expectation is strong. Aluminum prices are expected to maintain high - level consolidation in the short term, with a reference range of 20,000 - 21,000 yuan/ton [3]. Carbonate Lithium - The spot price of battery - grade carbonate lithium was 80,500 - 86,500 yuan/ton this week, with a futures price of 78,100 - 90,100 yuan/ton. The Friday closing price was 78,960 yuan/ton, a weekly decline of 7,940 yuan or 9.14%. If only the Jiaxiaowo mine stops production for several months, overseas lithium mines and salts can make up for the domestic reduction after sufficient logistics time. The supply - demand will gradually return to balance after November. Before that, the shortage will be mainly offset by digesting social inventories. The price is expected to be in a wide - range shock [3]. Coking Coal and Coke - The weekly raw coal production was 1912,000 tons, a week - on - week increase of 33,000 tons, and the raw coal inventory was 4716,000 tons, a week - on - week increase of 15,000 tons. The coking coal production was 771,000 tons, a week - on - week increase of 7,000 tons, and the coking coal inventory was 2756,000 tons, a week - on - week increase of 180,000 tons. The seventh round of coke price increases was fully implemented. With the Fed's interest - rate cut expectation and the improvement of the domestic macro - environment, the prices of coking coal and coke are expected to be firm and fluctuate strongly in the short term [4]. Urea - The domestic urea market price dropped significantly over the weekend, with the mainstream factory - gate price around 1680 yuan/ton. The daily production of the urea industry fluctuated around 190,000 - 200,000 tons. The inventory of upstream urea enterprises continued to accumulate, and the port inventory increased to 501,000 tons. The demand from compound fertilizer enterprises decreased, but there is an expectation of marginal improvement in downstream提货 at the end of the month. The futures market is expected to fluctuate weakly [4]. Steel (Rebar and Hot - Rolled Coil) - The production of rebar decreased while demand increased, and the inventory increase slowed down. The production and demand of hot - rolled coil both increased, and the inventory accumulation expanded slightly. The overall inventory accumulation speed was slow. With the Fed's possible September interest - rate cut and the upcoming SCO Summit, the market sentiment is relatively optimistic. Steel prices are expected to fluctuate strongly next week [4]. Eggs - The national egg spot price fell steadily last week and stabilized over the weekend. After this round of adjustment, due to the support of Mid - Autumn Festival stocking, the spot price is not expected to decline significantly. The futures market has a large premium over the spot, and the market has been shorting the high - premium contracts [5]. Pigs - The live - pig spot price declined last week. The supply is sufficient while the demand is weak, and the price is expected to continue to fall in the short term. The futures market showed a divergence in trends, with the near - term contracts reflecting the oversupply situation and the far - term contracts reflecting the expectation of capacity reduction. The market is expected to remain range - bound [5]. Sugar - The domestic sugar spot price was 5940 - 5950 yuan/ton, and the ICE raw sugar price was 16.2 - 16.09 cents/pound. The Brazilian sugar production is in a peak period, but the actual production is lower than expected, so the final output is uncertain. The domestic sugar price is greatly affected by the international price and is expected to follow the international trend and fluctuate weakly [5]. Cotton - The cotton spot price was 15,210 - 15,243 yuan/ton, and the ICE cotton price decreased by 0.7% week - on - week. The Zhengzhou cotton price decreased by 0.64% week - on - week. The international market lacks upward drivers, and the domestic market is expected to see a stable - to - increasing output as the new cotton listing approaches, which will put pressure on the long - term market. The demand side has shown some improvement, and the cotton market is expected to fluctuate within a range. Attention should be paid to the support at around 13,900 yuan [6].