戴永飞 长江证券非银分析师: 那么广发证券，毫无疑问拥有着优于同业的成长潜质。另一方面，随着公司发力国际业务 强化跨境的综合能力。然后同时，自营业务也有，受益于分控指标的一个优化。所以说这 是一个我们主要的一个观点吧，就是在财富管理，我们认为财富管理大周期之中，这个广 发证券是一个最具有成长性。特别是综合成长性的一个个股。那么接下来我们主要是从三 个方面去探讨。首先第一个方面，就是我们为什么认为，慢牛市之中，这个财务管理业务 能成为一个，这个迎，能迎来黄金的发展时期。 那么券商，它的主要业务大概可以分成三大块，一大块是这个财富管理业务。他们主要是 这个面向于 C 端客群的，就是所谓的股民，或者说是投资者。那么这个与财富管理相对应 的，这种叫机构业务，主要是面向于这个机构的，以及企业的。那么另外还有一块，就是 这个自营业务。那么我们这里面其实主要讲的，是这个财富管理，就是面向于 C 端的这个 业务。那么从 C 端的业务来看，这个从海外的情况上、经验上来看，这个 C 端业务。是有 望，这个通常情况下，在这个券商里面的收入和利润都是占到一半以上。 也就是说基本上是一个大头的。这个收入来源。那么所以我们关注这个业务， ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the non-bank financial sector [2] Core Insights - The "slow bull" market continues to validate the sector's revaluation, with significant growth in insurance, securities, and financial IT sectors, indicating a favorable investment environment [7][9] Summary by Sections Insurance - The insurance sector showed significant growth in Q3 2025, with net profit reaching CNY 4,260 million, a 33.5% increase year-on-year. New premium income also rose to CNY 6,002 million, up 14.9% [15] - The traditional perception of insurance investment being limited to dividends has been challenged, as high returns were achieved despite a growth-oriented equity market [9][14] - The sector's profitability is expected to improve in the medium to long term, driven by enhanced return on equity (ROE) and a focus on high-quality companies such as Xinhua Insurance and China Life [9][35] Securities - The securities sector experienced robust performance in Q3 2025, with total revenue reaching CNY 4,196.08 million, a 16.9% increase year-on-year, and net profit of CNY 1,684.50 million, up 62.8% [44] - The growth in brokerage and proprietary trading businesses was significant, with brokerage income increasing by 74.3% [58] - The report highlights the importance of focusing on leading firms with quick recovery in profitability and attractive valuations, as the industry is expected to see continued concentration [9][39] Financial IT - Financial IT companies demonstrated high profit elasticity in Q3 2025, benefiting from a strong market environment, particularly in trading-related services [9][10] - The report suggests that companies with growth logic in market share may enjoy valuation premiums in the long term [9][10] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends a balanced allocation within the non-bank financial sector, emphasizing high-elasticity companies and quality leaders. Specific recommendations include Xinhua Insurance, China Life, and China Pacific Insurance in the insurance sector, and Jiufang Zhitu, Tonghuashun, and CICC in the securities and financial IT sectors [9][35]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the insurance sector [12]. Core Insights - The insurance sector demonstrates good elasticity, stability, and sustainability during bull markets, often outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index [3][6]. - The report highlights a dual mainline configuration strategy for the insurance sector, focusing on companies that benefit from improved interest spread expectations and those with stable operations and dividend outlooks [10]. Summary by Sections Performance Analysis - The insurance sector has shown good elasticity, with 4 out of 6 bull market cycles resulting in excess returns compared to the Shanghai Composite Index [20]. - In the bull market from January 2016 to January 2018, the insurance sector ranked 1st out of 32 industries, while from April 2025 to present, it ranked 11th [8][20]. - The sector's performance is less pronounced in rapid or structural bull markets, ranking lower during such periods [8][20]. Individual Stock Performance - In liquidity-driven upcycles, high-beta life insurance stocks like New China Life and China Life performed well, while comprehensive insurance groups excelled during economic reforms and structural bull markets [9][20]. Future Outlook - The report emphasizes the potential for long-term ROE improvement in the insurance industry, driven by better liability cost management and asset allocation [10]. - The dual mainline strategy includes focusing on high-leverage life insurance stocks and stable dividend-paying companies [10].