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2025年东方美谷中国化妆品行业趋势洞察蓝皮书
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-02 18:15
Group 1: Global Market Trends - The global cosmetics market is expected to exceed $600 billion by 2025 and reach $720 billion by 2030, driven by emerging markets, middle-class expansion, and digitalization, with a notable 77% year-on-year growth in beauty GMV on platforms like Douyin and TikTok Shop [10][11][12] - The competition landscape is evolving towards a multi-polar structure, with a shift in the value chain focus towards upstream raw material technology and offline experiences [15] - The Asia-Pacific region is projected to be the global growth engine, with a CAGR of approximately 6% from 2023 to 2025, while Latin America is expected to grow at around 19% during the same period [16] Group 2: Chinese Market Development - The Chinese cosmetics market is showing signs of moderate recovery, with retail sales of cosmetics in the first three quarters of 2025 reaching 328.82 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.9%, and is expected to exceed 450 billion yuan for the entire year [18][19] - Online channels accounted for 54.13% of sales in the first nine months of 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 12.34%, indicating a significant shift towards e-commerce [22][27] - Domestic brands are gaining market share, with over 56% of the market in the first nine months of 2025, and their sales growth rate is 2.46 times that of foreign brands [33][34] Group 3: Consumer Demand Changes - The primary consumer demographic is women aged 25-35 in first and second-tier cities, but there is a notable increase in demand from men (35.74% share, up over 20% from 2022) and the elderly (84% increase in the 45+ age group) [18] - Consumers are increasingly making small, frequent purchases, focusing on ingredient efficacy (51.63% attention) and cost-effectiveness, with a shift from basic skincare to efficacy-driven products [18][35] - Personalized skincare needs are becoming more prominent, with a growing demand for multifunctional products and specific scenarios such as post-night shift recovery and outdoor skincare [35] Group 4: Industry Innovations and Regulations - The report highlights the importance of innovation in raw materials and regulatory frameworks, with a focus on enhancing safety standards and supporting new ingredient innovations [40][41] - The regulatory environment is becoming stricter, aligning with international standards, and emphasizing the integration of ESG principles into the industry [40][41] - The future of the industry will focus on deepening efficacy, segmenting scenarios, and cultural empowerment, with technological advancements in biotechnology and digital technologies [40][41]