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【策略】节后表现值得期待——2026年3月A股及港股月度金股组合(张宇生/王国兴)
光大证券研究· 2026-02-28 00:06
Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is expected to perform well, focusing on growth and cyclical opportunities, while the Hong Kong market may remain volatile with a "barbell strategy" for investment [5][6][7]. A-share Market Insights - In February, A-share indices showed a mixed performance with most indices rising, particularly the CSI 1000 which increased by 2.9%, while the Sci-Tech 50 saw a decline of 1.6% [4]. - The market is entering a phase of economic data and policy validation, with expectations of increased trading activity post-Spring Festival [5]. - Key sectors to focus on include humanoid robots and AI industry chains, benefiting from high industry enthusiasm and improved risk appetite among investors [5]. Hong Kong Market Insights - The Hong Kong market is likely to maintain a volatile trend, with performance influenced by the recovery expectations in spring and the divergence in earnings realization and foreign capital inflow [6][7]. - Major internet companies are experiencing slower-than-expected profit recovery, which is impacting the overall market sentiment [6]. - A "barbell strategy" is recommended, combining defensive high-dividend sectors with aggressive investments in semiconductor equipment, AI computing, and power grid technologies [7]. Market Conditions - The A-share market is anticipated to have more opportunities than risks in March, with a focus on growth and cyclical sectors [5]. - The Hong Kong market faces challenges from liquidity issues due to delayed interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and significant IPOs that may divert existing capital [6][7].