澳大利亚10月CPI同比上涨3.8% 超出预期 中新社悉尼11月26日电 澳大利亚统计局26日发布数据显示，该国10月份消费者价格指数(CPI)同比上涨 3.8%，超出市场此前预期的3.6%。 来源：中国新闻网 编辑：郭晋嘉 广告等商务合作，请点击这里 本文为转载内容，授权事宜请联系原著作权人 中新经纬版权所有，未经书面授权，任何单位及个人不得转载、摘编或以其它方式使用。 关注中新经纬微信公众号(微信搜索"中新经纬"或"jwview")，看更多精彩财经资讯。 这一涨幅高于9月份的3.6%。数据显示，住房价格是推高澳10月CPI的主要因素，同比涨幅为5.9%，反 映出电力、租金和新建住房成本的上涨。 作为澳大利亚储备银行(央行)重点关注的基础通胀率指标，澳10月截尾均值通胀率从9月的3.2%升至 3.3%，超出澳央行设定的2%至3%的通胀目标区间。分析认为，最新数据进一步降低了澳央行今年年内 降息的可能性，甚至引发加息的担忧。 这是澳大利亚统计局首次发布完整的月度CPI。澳统计局价格统计主管米歇尔·马夸特(Michelle Marquardt)称，此次数据发布标志着澳大利亚衡量总体通胀的主要指标从季度CPI过渡 ...

Core Points - Australia's Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 3% year-on-year in August, marking the highest level since July 2024 and an increase from 2.8% in July [1] - Key contributors to the CPI increase include housing, food and non-alcoholic beverages, and tobacco, with housing prices rising by 4.5% and electricity costs surging by 24.6% [1] - The trimmed mean inflation rate, a key indicator monitored by the Reserve Bank of Australia, decreased from 2.7% in July to 2.6% in August, indicating that core inflation remains within the RBA's target range of 2% to 3% [1] Economic Context - The Australian Treasury Minister Chalmers stated that despite global economic uncertainties, the government has made "substantial and sustained progress" in controlling inflation [1] - The Reserve Bank of Australia has implemented three interest rate cuts in February, May, and August of this year, with expectations for another potential cut as early as November [2]

Core Insights - Australia's overall consumer price index (CPI) year-on-year increase for August 2025 is 3%, up from 2.8% in July, aligning with market expectations [1] - The monthly inflation rate, excluding volatile items like fruits, vegetables, and automotive fuel, is 3.4%, an increase from 3.2% in July [1] - The trimmed mean inflation rate, a key indicator of core inflation, decreased from 2.7% to 2.6% [1] Price Changes - Food and non-alcoholic beverage prices increased by 3% year-on-year, unchanged from the previous month [1] - Alcohol and tobacco prices decreased from a 6.5% increase to 6% [1] - Clothing and footwear prices rose from 2.3% to 3% [1] - Housing prices increased from 3.6% to 4.5%, with rent prices decreasing from 3.9% to 3.7% and new housing prices rising from 0.4% to 0.7% [1] - Electricity prices surged from a 13.6% increase to 24.6% [1] - Furniture, household equipment, and services prices remained stable at a 0.9% increase [1] - Healthcare prices remained unchanged at a 4.1% increase [1] - Transportation prices shifted from a 1% decrease to a 0.4% increase, with automotive fuel prices changing from a 5.5% decrease to a 1.7% decrease [1] - Communication prices rose from 0.8% to 1.9% [1] - Entertainment prices decreased from 2.6% to 1.4% [1] - Education prices slightly decreased from 5.6% to 5.5% [1] - Insurance and financial services prices decreased from 3.1% to 3% [1] Inflation Commentary - The overall inflation rate in Australia for August has reached its highest level since July 2024, primarily driven by high increases in housing, food, and non-alcoholic beverage prices [2] - The trimmed mean inflation rate, which better reflects inflation trends, decreased by 0.1 percentage points in August [2]

Core Insights - Australia's overall Consumer Price Index (CPI) year-on-year growth for Q2 2025 is 2.1%, down from 2.4% in Q1 and below the market expectation of 2.2%, marking the lowest level since Q1 2021 [1] - The quarterly inflation rate for Q2 is 0.7%, lower than Q1's 0.9% and below the market forecast of 0.8% [1] - The trimmed mean inflation rate for Q2 is 2.7%, down from 2.9% in Q1, indicating it remains above the midpoint of the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) target range of 2-3% but is moving closer to it [1] Economic Outlook - The newly released inflation data is expected to alleviate the RBA's concerns about excessively high inflation [1] - The labor market may be showing signs of slowing down, which, combined with the inflation data, suggests a potential interest rate cut of 25 basis points by the RBA in August [1] - There is an increasing likelihood of further rate cuts in November 2025, February 2026, and May 2026 [1] Sector Analysis - The year-on-year inflation rate for the services sector decreased from 3.7% in Q1 to 3.3% in Q2, the lowest since June 2022, due to a slowdown in rental and insurance price increases [1] - The inflation rate for goods decreased from 1.3% in Q1 to 1.1% in Q2, primarily driven by a decline in automotive fuel prices [1] Detailed Price Changes - Year-on-year price changes for specific categories in Q2 include: - Food and non-alcoholic beverages: 3% - Alcohol and tobacco: 5.7% - Clothing and footwear: 1.2% - Housing: 2% - Health: 4.1% - Transport: -2.6% - Communication: 0.9% - Education: 5.5% - Insurance and financial services: 3.1% [2][3]

Group 1 - The core consumer price index (CPI) in Australia for May 2025 shows a year-on-year increase of 2.1%, a decrease from the previous three months' 2.4%, and below the market expectation of 2.3% [1][2] - The monthly inflation rate, excluding volatile items like fruits, vegetables, and automotive fuel, is reported at 2.7%, slightly down from 2.8% in April [1][2] - The trimmed mean inflation rate, a key indicator for core inflation, has dropped from 2.8% to 2.4%, now below the Reserve Bank of Australia's target range midpoint of 2-3% [1][2] Group 2 - Specific price changes in May include food and non-alcoholic beverages rising by 2.9%, down from 3.1% in April; tobacco and alcohol prices increased from 5.7% to 5.9%; clothing and footwear prices rose from 0.8% to 1.3% [1][2] - Housing prices decreased from 2.2% to 2%, with rental prices dropping from 5% to 4.5% and new housing prices from 1.2% to 0.8%; electricity prices shifted from a decline of 6.5% to 5.9% [1][2] - Other notable price changes include furniture and household equipment prices decreasing from 1% to 0.9%; transport prices improved from a decline of 3.2% to 2.5%, with automotive fuel prices declining from 12% to 10% [2]

Group 1 - The core consumer price index (CPI) in Australia for April 2025 shows a year-on-year increase of 2.4%, slightly above the market expectation of 2.3% [1] - The monthly inflation rate, excluding volatile items like fruits, vegetables, and automotive fuel, rose to 2.8% in April from 2.6% in March [1] - The trimmed mean inflation rate, a key indicator of core inflation, increased from 2.7% to 2.8%, remaining within the Reserve Bank of Australia's target range of 2-3% [1][2] Group 2 - Specific price changes in April include a 3.1% year-on-year increase in food and non-alcoholic beverages, down from 3.4% in March, and a decrease in tobacco and alcohol prices from 6.7% to 5.7% [1] - Housing prices increased from 1.8% to 2.2%, with rental prices decreasing from 5.2% to 5% and new housing prices rising from 1% to 1.2% [1] - Electricity prices shifted from a decline of 9.6% to a decline of 6.5%, while furniture and household equipment prices rose from 0.6% to 1% [2]