来源：中国新闻网 编辑：付健青 广告等商务合作，请点击这里 机构称英国房屋租金涨幅放缓至四年来最低 中新网伦敦9月15日电 (记者 欧阳开宇)英国房地产市场最新调查显示，房屋挂牌售价出现逾一年半以来 首次同比下降，而租金涨幅则降至四年来最低水平。分析认为，政策不确定性及经济增长乏力对市场信 心造成影响。 英国房地产网站Rightmove15日公布的数据显示，在8月10日至9月6日的统计期间，全国挂牌出售房屋的 价格较去年同期下降0.1%，为2024年1月以来首次同比下跌。与上月相比，挂牌价上涨0.4%，但低于通 常季节水平。Rightmove称，价格回落主要集中在英格兰南部高价房市场，或与潜在房产税调整预期有 关。 另一家房地产平台Zoopla的调查显示，在截至9月2日的四周内，英国平均租金同比上涨2.4%，为四年来 最低增幅。当前全国平均月租约1300英镑。Zoopla指出，随着可出租房源增加以及移民数量减少，租赁 市场竞争有所缓解，预计全年租金涨幅约为3%。 市场观察人士认为，英国房地产市场正面临多重不确定性。政府将在11月底公布预算案，市场普遍关注 是否涉及房产税改革。与此同时，官方数据显示，英国7月经 ...

Group 1: Macro Economic Environment and Policy Risks - The Chinese real estate market is experiencing significant changes, with a 2.7% year-on-year decline in national housing prices in Q1 2025, influenced by macro policies, financial environment, and demographic factors [2] - Potential tightening of credit policies is anticipated, with interest rates possibly increasing by 0.5-0.75 percentage points between 2026-2027, leading to higher monthly repayments and total interest costs for homebuyers [4] - The nationwide rollout of property tax is expected, with significant tax burdens for homeowners in major cities, potentially impacting multiple property owners [4] Group 2: Population Structure Changes and Regional Disparities - A report indicates that 217 out of 331 prefecture-level cities are experiencing net population outflows, with third and fourth-tier cities seeing a 5.8% outflow rate, while first-tier cities have a concentration rate of 19.3% [6] - The decline in population in certain areas is leading to rapid depreciation in property values, with some third-tier cities experiencing price drops of up to 17% in 2024 [6] Group 3: Hidden Risks of Properties - A survey reveals that 33.5% of residential communities are aged 15-20 years, facing aging issues and high maintenance costs, averaging between 30,000 to 50,000 yuan per household [7] - Property management fees have increased by an average of 9.7% in the first half of 2025, with further increases expected in the next three years [7] Group 4: Liquidity Risks and Market Activity - The average time from listing to sale for second-hand homes has extended to 138 days in Q1 2025, an increase of 41 days compared to the same period in 2023, with some third and fourth-tier cities experiencing zero transactions [9] - Non-core and non-quality properties may face significant challenges in selling, leading to liquidity risks for investors [9] Group 5: Land Finance and Supporting Facilities - National land transfer revenue decreased by 21.3% in the first half of 2025, resulting in a reduced reliance on land finance by local governments, affecting the construction of supporting facilities in over 2,300 new communities [10] Group 6: Energy Transition and Environmental Policies - From 2027, all residential communities will be subject to energy consumption limits, with non-compliant buildings facing additional energy costs, projected to rise by 15-20% [12] - Carbon trading will extend to community levels starting in 2026, increasing the cost burden for owners of older properties [12] Group 7: Urban Planning Adjustments and Regional Value Reassessment - 27 out of 40 key cities are revising their urban master plans between 2024-2025, which may lead to a reassessment of regional values and potential price declines of up to 20% in currently popular areas [12] Group 8: Developer Commitments and Market Risks - Some developers are offering buyback guarantees to stimulate sales, but over 60 developers are unable to fulfill these commitments due to financial issues, raising concerns about the reliability of such promises [12] Group 9: Inflation Expectations and Actual Property Value - Predictions indicate a cumulative inflation rate of 8% from 2025-2027, while housing price increases are expected to be below 5%, leading to a potential depreciation in actual property value [13]