房价贬值

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未来5年,中国贬值最快的不是现金,而是这4样东西
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-08 14:25
Core Viewpoint - The fastest depreciating asset in China over the next five years is not cash, but rather real estate, automobiles, luxury goods, and university degrees due to various economic factors and changing consumer behavior [1][3][5]. Group 1: Economic Context - As of June, the broad money supply (M2) in China reached 330.29 trillion yuan, growing by 8.3% year-on-year, indicating severe monetary overexpansion [1]. - The current economic growth rate has significantly slowed, reducing the likelihood of hyperinflation, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) showing a slight deflation of -0.1% in the first half of 2025 [3]. Group 2: Depreciating Assets - **Real Estate**: Since 2022, housing prices have been in a long-term adjustment phase, with an average decline of 30% from historical highs, and some cities experiencing declines over 60% [5][7]. - **Automobiles**: A price war among domestic and foreign car brands is leading to significant depreciation, with mid-range cars dropping by 20,000 to 30,000 yuan and luxury brands seeing reductions of nearly 100,000 yuan [9]. - **Luxury Goods**: The global luxury goods market has seen a decrease of 50 million consumers, with 65.9% of consumers reducing purchases due to perceived low value for money, leading to price cuts from brands like Gucci and Burberry [11]. - **University Degrees**: The rapid increase in university enrollment has led to a devaluation of degrees, as employers now prioritize experience over academic qualifications, resulting in a surplus of graduates in the job market [13].