房地产市场转折点

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诺伟:美联储在7月会议上维持利率不变 通胀最大影响预计年底浮现
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-01 02:55
Group 1 - The Federal Reserve maintained interest rates during the July meeting, highlighting the dual challenges of slowing economic growth and the distorting effects of tariffs [1] - Despite fluctuations in overall GDP data, actual economic growth is gradually slowing under persistent uncertainty, with tariffs expected to rise further, impacting consumer prices by the end of the year [1] - Nuveen forecasts that U.S. economic growth will continue to slow but can avoid recession, with a projected core inflation rate of around 3.0% in 2025, potentially suppressing real income growth and overall economic performance [1] Group 2 - In fixed income, municipal bonds offer attractive yields and income advantages, remaining appealing even amid ongoing market volatility [2] - Nuveen sees investment value in preferred loans, currently yielding between 6.5% and 8%, with significant market opportunities available [2] - A substantial amount of loans, totaling $225 billion, is trading below $95, with an average price around $85 and a three-year maturity yield of approximately 16% [2]