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1100亿元!贷款买房的人越来越少,楼市怎么回暖?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-28 18:09
Core Insights - The central theme of the articles revolves around the decline in housing loans in China, attributed to decreased property sales and changing consumer behavior in the real estate market. Group 1: Loan Data Analysis - In the first seven months of 2025, RMB loans increased by 12.87 trillion yuan, with household loans rising by 680.7 billion yuan, while short-term loans decreased by 383 billion yuan and medium to long-term loans increased by 1.06 trillion yuan [1] - In July, household loans decreased by 489.3 billion yuan, with short-term loans down by 382.7 billion yuan and medium to long-term loans down by 110 billion yuan, indicating a significant reduction in mortgage loans [3][4] Group 2: Real Estate Market Performance - From January to June 2025, the sales area of new commercial housing was 45.851 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 3.5%, with residential sales area down by 3.7% [4] - The sales revenue of new commercial housing was 442.41 billion yuan, a decline of 5.5%, with residential sales revenue down by 5.2%, reflecting a broader downturn in the real estate market [4] Group 3: Underlying Factors - The reduction in housing demand is linked to a declining population, with the total population in China entering negative growth, which indirectly affects market expectations and home-buying decisions [5] - The diminishing profit potential from real estate investments has led to a cautious approach among potential buyers, as many have experienced losses in property value [5] - Changing attitudes among younger generations, particularly those born in the 1990s and 2000s, show a preference for renting over buying, further impacting housing demand [6] Group 4: Future Outlook - The complexities behind the shrinking mortgage loans involve various factors such as market conditions, demographic changes, and evolving consumer attitudes, necessitating ongoing observation of the housing market's trajectory [6]