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美越达成协议限制转口贸易,中国钢铁出口影响几何
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-07-04 10:07
Group 1 - The trend of transferring technology and production capacity from Chinese steel mills to Southeast Asia, Africa, and the Middle East is expected to continue, leveraging local resources and tariff advantages [1][6] - The U.S. has reached a trade agreement with Vietnam, imposing a 20% tariff on all goods exported to the U.S., significantly lower than the previously announced 46% tariff [1] - Vietnam is projected to become the largest export destination for Chinese steel in 2024, accounting for 11.5% of total steel exports [2][3] Group 2 - In 2024, China's steel exports are expected to reach 110.72 million tons, marking a historical high with a year-on-year increase of 22.7% [2] - The export volume to Vietnam has shown a significant decline in early 2025, with a 25.9% decrease compared to the same period in 2024 [4][5] - The steel trade friction between China and countries like Vietnam and South Korea is increasing, with Vietnam imposing anti-dumping duties on Chinese steel products [3][4] Group 3 - The ASEAN region is experiencing strong demand for steel, particularly driven by Vietnam, Malaysia, and Singapore, with total demand expected to reach approximately 80 million tons by 2025 [5][6] - Chinese steel companies are accelerating overseas investments, with notable projects in Vietnam, Saudi Arabia, and Egypt, indicating a strategic shift towards international production [6] - The Chinese steel industry is advised to maintain a balanced export strategy that meets domestic needs while also catering to international market demands [7]