此次美国商务部开展调查的依据依旧是《贸易扩展法》第232条款，此前美国政府已动用该条款对汽车 及其零部件、铜、钢和铝加征了关税，同时，针对药品、半导体、中重型卡车等产品的进口调查仍在进 行。若这些行业性调查最终导致加征关税，将与美国此前按国别征收的关税叠加执行。 本轮调查正值各贸易伙伴艰难推进与美国的关税谈判之际，各经济体进展不一。当地时间周三，美国政 府发布公告，确认美欧贸易协议生效，意味着7月底美欧达成的框架协议时隔两个月正式实施。不过据 彭博社24日报道，欧盟委员会负责贸易和经济安全的委员谢夫乔维奇本周将在吉隆坡东盟部长级峰会期 间会晤美国贸易代表格里尔，希望重启陷入停滞的钢铁和铝出口关税谈判。 【环球时报报道 记者 李迅典】美国商务部9月24日证实，美国政府已对机器人、工业机械以及医疗设备 进口启动了新一轮的"232条款"调查，以评估此类进口是否威胁美国国家安全。据美国CNBC网站25日 报道，该调查于9月2日开始，但直至本周才被披露，此举可能成为新一轮行业关税的依据，或将增加消 费者、医院、患者以及制造商需要承担的成本。 格里尔周三表示，美国预计将在未来数月内与更多东南亚国家敲定贸易协议。路透社报道 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The steel and ore market will maintain a short - term oscillating trend. The iron ore's performance is still stronger than that of finished steel products. The rebar has reached a new low this week, while the iron ore has reached a new high. The rebar's pressure level is 3230 and support level is 3050. The hot - rolled coil's pressure level is 3450 and support level is 3250. The pressure level of the main iron ore contract 2601 is 833 and support level is 750. The trading strategy is short - term operation with stop - loss set [5][6]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Supply Side - In August 2025, China's daily crude steel output decreased both year - on - year and month - on - month. Considering most steel mills are on the verge of profit and loss, the supply expansion in September is limited. There is an obvious structural differentiation on the supply side. In August, pig iron output increased year - on - year while crude steel output decreased. Currently, blast furnace production contributes more, while electric furnace production is in full - scale loss and its contribution declines [17]. - This week, although blast furnaces resumed, steel supply decreased with structural differentiation. Rebar production and inventory both decreased, while hot - rolled coil production and inventory both increased, with hot - rolled coil performing better than rebar. Shanxi's blast furnaces are gradually resuming production, but the expectation of production restrictions in Tangshan is increasing [15][18]. - This week, the molten iron output increased by 0.47 million tons to 241.02 million tons. The steel mill profitability rate is 58.87%, down 1.5% month - on - month. Electric furnace steel is still in full - scale loss, limiting production enthusiasm [22]. - The total inventory of imported iron ore at 47 ports in China is 143.8168 million tons, a decrease of 744,400 tons month - on - month; the daily average port clearance volume is 3.5103 million tons, an increase of 664,000 tons. The number of ships at ports is 102, an increase of 1. From September 8th to 14th, the total arrival volume at 47 ports in China was 23.923 million tons, a decrease of 1.806 million tons month - on - month; the total arrival volume at 45 ports was 23.623 million tons, a decrease of 857,000 tons month - on - month; the total arrival volume at six northern ports was 12.45 million tons, a decrease of 750,000 tons month - on - month. From September 8th to 14th, Mysteel's global iron ore shipment volume was 35.731 million tons, an increase of 8.169 million tons month - on - month. The total shipment volume from Australia and Brazil was 29.778 million tons, an increase of 6.482 million tons month - on - month [26]. Demand Side - In August, the investment growth rates of real estate, infrastructure, and manufacturing all slowed down, and the domestic demand reduction was obvious. During the transition from the off - season to the peak season in September, the demand has increased but is unstable [17]. Important News - In August 2025, China's crude steel output was 77.37 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 0.7%; pig iron output was 69.79 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 1.0%; steel output was 122.77 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 9.7%. From January to August, China's crude steel output was 671.81 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 2.8%; pig iron output was 579.07 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 1.1%; steel output was 982.17 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 5.5% [13]. - In August, the raw coal output of industrial enterprises above designated size was 390 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 3.2%, and the decline rate narrowed by 0.6 percentage points compared with July; the daily average output was 12.6 million tons. From January to August, the raw coal output of industrial enterprises above designated size was 3.17 billion tons, a year - on - year increase of 2.8% [13]. - From January to August 2025, the national fixed - asset investment (excluding rural households) was 3.26111 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 0.5%. Among them, private fixed - asset investment decreased by 2.3% year - on - year. In terms of month - on - month, fixed - asset investment (excluding rural households) in August decreased by 0.20% [13]. - On the 16th, there was news that coking and steel enterprises in Tangshan began environmental protection production restrictions. Steel mill blast furnaces were shut down by 40% in terms of equipment, and coking enterprises extended the coking time by 30%. Currently, some enterprises have received production restriction notices, and individual coking enterprises have extended the coking time by 30%. The current overall operating rate of coking plants in the Tangshan market is about 75%. Steel mills have received production restriction notices, and the specific implementation plan is still to be discussed [13]. - Nine listed steel enterprises are accelerating overseas layout, integrating deeply into the global steel industry supply chain through establishing overseas production bases, obtaining international authoritative certifications, and setting up overseas subsidiaries [14]. - British mining company Cadence Minerals recently announced a $4.6 million prepayment financing agreement for the Amapa Iron Ore Project in Brazil. The funds will be used to restart the Azteca beneficiation plant and process high - grade tailings into iron ore concentrates, laying the foundation for the project's long - term expansion plan of an annual output of 5.5 million tons of direct - reduction (DR - grade) iron ore concentrates [14].

Core Viewpoint - The coal, coke, and steel industry chain has experienced price adjustments after a phase of rising prices, but the market maintains a positive outlook for the construction peak season this year due to a consensus on "anti-involution" within the industry [1] Group 1: Price Trends - Since July, steel prices have rebounded from their lows, with significant price increases in upstream coking coal and coke, providing cost support for the downstream market [1] - Current steel prices are still at mid-low levels for the year, with expectations for a trend of price increases in the spot market in September [1] Group 2: Market Drivers - The strong support for coke prices is driven by three factors: macroeconomic benefits, recovery in demand, and tightening supply [1] - The effectiveness of macro policies and the degree of demand realization will be crucial to monitor moving forward [1]

Core Viewpoint - Xining Special Steel (600117) reported a revenue increase of 7.0% year-on-year for the first half of 2025, with total revenue reaching 2.886 billion yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -235 million yuan, showing a 20.09% improvement in losses [1] Financial Performance - Total revenue for Q2 2025 was 1.78 billion yuan, up 15.99% year-on-year, while the net profit for the same period was -85.21 million yuan, reflecting a 16.88% improvement in losses [1] - The company's gross margin increased by 52.87% year-on-year, while the net margin improved by 20.87% [1] - Total expenses (selling, administrative, and financial) amounted to 202 million yuan, accounting for 7.0% of revenue, a decrease of 1.83% year-on-year [1] - Earnings per share were -0.07 yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 22.22% [1] Operational Metrics - The company reported a significant increase in production, with iron output at 1.2768 million tons (up 90.25% year-on-year), steel output at 1.3969 million tons (up 89.17%), and steel product output at 1.3571 million tons (up 94.63%) [2] - The capacity utilization rate has significantly improved, indicating better operational efficiency [2]

Market Overview - The New York stock market experienced a decline on July 31, with all three major indices closing lower due to concerns over potential fluctuations in U.S. tariff policies [1] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 330.30 points, closing at 44,130.98, a decrease of 0.74% [1] - The S&P 500 index dropped by 23.51 points to 6,339.39, down 0.37% [1] - The Nasdaq Composite Index decreased by 7.23 points, ending at 21,122.45, a decline of 0.03% [1] Sector Performance - Among the eleven sectors in the S&P 500, nine declined while two increased [1] - The healthcare and real estate sectors led the declines with drops of 2.79% and 1.73%, respectively [1] - The communication services and utilities sectors saw increases of 2.08% and 0.59% [1] Employment and Economic Data - U.S. employers reported 62,000 layoffs in July, an increase from 47,900 in June [2] - The U.S. Department of Labor reported that initial jobless claims for the previous week were 218,000, slightly below the market expectation of 225,000 [2] - Personal consumption expenditures in the U.S. rose by 0.3% in June, below the expected 0.4% [2] - The personal consumption expenditures price index increased by 0.3% in June, matching market expectations, with a year-on-year increase of 2.6%, slightly above the expected 2.5% [2] Company Performance - Microsoft and Meta Platforms reported better-than-expected earnings, with their stock prices rising by 3.95% and 11.25%, respectively [3] - Microsoft’s market capitalization briefly surpassed $4 trillion during the trading session [3]

韩国总统办公室：未讨论钢铝关税。 ...

Group 1 - The U.S. Secretary of Commerce, Gina Raimondo, stated that tariffs on steel, aluminum, and copper will remain unchanged and are not included in the U.S.-South Korea trade agreement [1]

Market Performance - On July 28, the New York stock market opened higher but showed mixed results by the close, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices reaching new historical highs [1] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 64.36 points, closing at 44,837.56 points, a decrease of 0.14% [1] - The S&P 500 index rose by 1.13 points, closing at 6,389.77 points, an increase of 0.02% [1] - The Nasdaq Composite index increased by 70.27 points, closing at 21,178.58 points, a rise of 0.33% [1] - Among the 11 sectors of the S&P 500, 8 sectors declined while 3 sectors gained, with the real estate and materials sectors leading the declines [1] Trade Agreements - A new trade agreement was announced between the U.S. and the EU, which includes a 15% tariff on EU goods entering the U.S. and a 50% tariff on EU-produced steel, aluminum, and copper [1][2] - The EU plans to invest an additional $600 billion in the U.S. during Trump's second term, building on over $100 billion in annual investments [2] Market Sentiment and Challenges - Market volatility has decreased to its lowest level since February, but investors face challenges such as complacency and the urgency to chase market gains [2] - Recent positive trade news has been largely ignored by investors, with potential market fluctuations expected from corporate earnings reports and U.S.-China trade negotiations [2] - Following recent gains and new highs, a market correction or consolidation may be necessary before further increases [2] Upcoming Economic Indicators - The Federal Reserve is set to announce its monetary policy decisions, and the U.S. will release July non-farm payroll data, along with earnings reports from major tech companies [3]

Group 1 - International oil prices increased significantly, with light crude oil futures rising by $1.55 to $66.71 per barrel, a 2.38% increase, and Brent crude oil futures up by $1.60 to $70.04 per barrel, a 2.34% increase [1] - The U.S. and EU reached a trade agreement that imposes a 15% tariff on EU goods entering the U.S., while steel, aluminum, and copper products from the EU will continue to face a 50% tariff [2] - The EU plans to invest an additional $600 billion in the U.S. during Trump's second term, with expectations to purchase $750 billion in energy products from the U.S. by 2028 [2] Group 2 - Analysts noted that the U.S.-EU trade agreement removes a layer of uncertainty, shifting focus back to fundamental market conditions [2] - The OPEC and non-OPEC oil-producing countries emphasized the importance of adhering to production policies and submitting updated compensation reduction plans by August 15 for those not fully compliant [2]

Group 1 - The core agreement between the US and EU includes a 15% tariff on EU goods entering the US, while steel, aluminum, and copper from the EU will continue to face a 50% tariff [1] - The EU plans to invest an additional $600 billion in the US during Trump's second term, building on over $100 billion in annual investments [1] - By 2028, the EU is expected to purchase $750 billion worth of energy products from the US [1] Group 2 - The US and EU have agreed to implement zero tariffs on strategic products such as aircraft and parts, certain chemicals, generic drugs, semiconductor equipment, natural resources, and critical raw materials [2] - There will be efforts to reduce steel and aluminum tariffs and introduce a quota system to lower bilateral trade barriers [2] - The agreement aims to strengthen economic security alliances to enhance supply chain resilience and innovation, with the EU agreeing to purchase significant amounts of US military equipment [1]