技术性牛市行情

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中美贸易缓和,全球股市狂飙!“Buy America”风潮再起
贝塔投资智库· 2025-05-13 04:02
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights a significant rebound in U.S. stock markets driven by a renewed "Buy America" sentiment following positive developments in U.S.-China trade talks, leading to a bullish outlook for global markets [1][3][4] - The S&P 500 index surged by 3.3%, marking its first close above the 200-day moving average in over 30 trading days, indicating a potential shift towards a bullish market trend [7][5] - The "Magnificent 7" tech giants, including Apple, Amazon, Nvidia, and Tesla, experienced substantial stock price increases, contributing to the overall market rally [4][5] Group 2 - The easing of U.S.-China trade tensions has provided a clearer bullish signal for global investors, with expectations that the U.S. economy can avoid stagnation and recession [3][4] - Market participants have adjusted their expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, now anticipating only two cuts by 2025 instead of four, reflecting a more optimistic economic outlook [3][9] - The recent trade consensus suggests a significant reduction in tariffs on Chinese goods, with new tariffs dropping from 145% to 30%, which could alleviate pressure on U.S. companies reliant on Chinese markets [9][10][13] Group 3 - The articles indicate a collective retreat from risk aversion, with safe-haven assets like gold and the Japanese yen experiencing declines, while the euro also saw its worst single-day performance of the year [9][12] - Despite the positive market sentiment, some investors remain cautious due to the lack of detailed agreements and the potential for renewed trade tensions between the U.S. and China [10][11] - Companies like UPS, Ford, and Mattel have retracted their 2025 earnings guidance due to uncertainties surrounding tariffs, highlighting the ongoing impact of trade policies on corporate performance [13][14]
中美贸易共识点燃股市看涨狂潮! 纳斯达克重返牛市 “Buy America”再度席卷全球
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-05-13 00:15
Group 1 - The easing of US-China trade tensions has provided a clear bullish signal for global investors, indicating a shift towards a more moderate approach from the Trump administration regarding tariffs [3][11] - The S&P 500 index surged by 3.3% to close at 5844.19 points, breaking above the critical 200-day moving average for the first time in over 30 trading days [7][10] - The "Magnificent 7" tech giants, including Apple, Amazon, Nvidia, and Tesla, saw significant stock price increases following the positive trade consensus, leading the market rally [3][4] Group 2 - Market expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts have shifted, with traders now anticipating only two cuts by 2025, down from four previously expected [3][10] - The recent trade consensus is projected to reduce the effective tariff rate on Chinese goods from 145% to approximately 30%, significantly impacting US-China trade dynamics [10][11] - Major US companies, including UPS and Ford, have withdrawn their 2025 earnings guidance due to uncertainties surrounding tariffs and economic conditions [16] Group 3 - The bullish sentiment in the US stock market has led to a collective decline in safe-haven assets such as gold, yen, and Swiss franc, indicating a shift in investor sentiment [10] - The performance of the S&P 500 index historically shows positive returns after similar technical patterns, with a median increase of 4.1% over the next three months [7][9] - The market's current rally is characterized by a significant shift in sentiment, with many investors feeling the pressure of missing out on the rebound [17]