Core Viewpoint - The silver market is experiencing upward momentum, supported by expectations of monetary policy easing and safe-haven demand due to potential U.S. government shutdown risks. Group 1: Silver Price Movements - As of September 29, the spot silver price is trading at $46.92 per ounce, with a daily high of $47.17 and a low of $45.92 [1] - The silver price opened at $46.07 per ounce today [1] - The latest prices for various silver products include: - Silver T+D at 10,878 yuan per kilogram - Paper silver at 10.741 yuan per gram - Shanghai silver futures at 10,939 yuan per kilogram [2] Group 2: Economic Indicators - The U.S. core PCE price index for August shows a year-on-year increase of 2.9%, consistent with the previous value, while the month-on-month increase is 0.2% [3] - The overall PCE price index rose by 0.3% month-on-month, with a year-on-year increase of 2.7%, up from 2.6% previously [3] - The U.S. consumer confidence index for September is reported at 55.1, a decline of approximately 5% from August [3] Group 3: Federal Reserve Expectations - The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in October is 10.7%, while the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 89.3% [3] - For December, the probability of maintaining rates is 2.9%, with cumulative probabilities for rate cuts of 25 basis points at 32.2% and 50 basis points at 64.9% [3] Group 4: Market Sentiment and Strategies - The silver market is supported by safe-haven demand as traders prepare for potential U.S. government shutdown risks [3] - Short-term trading strategies suggest maintaining a bullish stance on silver, with key support levels at $45.50 and $45.00, and resistance levels at $47.00 and $48.00 [5]

A股明天继续开盘两个交易日，就要进入国庆中秋长假模式了，对接下来两个交易日，市场到底会怎么走，以及从策略方面该如何应对，我有自己的一些想 法跟大家简单做个交流： 其一，从本周五的走势看，部分资金已经提前进入了休假模式，估计这个影响在下周一和周五还会出现，那就是可能伴随的是抛盘的适当增加，以及市场成 交金额的萎缩，下周一和周二全市场单日成交金额大概率会跌破2万亿元，当然了这个只是暂时的，也不具备参考性，过完节之后可能一切就比较正常了， 那时候的成交金额才是市场实际的供求关系的变化； 其二，到底是该持股过节呢，还是持币？这个问题之前几天大家就在讨论，从我自身的理解看，这主要还是看市场所处的位置，因为以前长假的时候，如果 节前市场经过了充分的调整，一般而言节后上涨的概率比较大，如果说节前市场整体处在一个相对的高位，这个时候对节后的走势就不能过度期待了，去年 924行情就是个例子，节前大涨了，而节后直接开启了调整模式，当然目前的行情是没办法和924相提并论的，那时候是短期的快速上涨，而目前的上涨属于 震荡模式的向上，所以即便调整也不会像去年国庆之后那样。 但是有一点必须引起重视，实际上这8天的长假相当于让大家的心态沉 ...