上一交易日（8月26日）由于色列军方空袭造成至少20人死亡，加沙地带的记者伤亡人数急剧上升，纸 白银行情走势震荡，价格小幅下跌，工行纸白银收报8.877元/克，下跌0.44%，日内最高上探8.929元/ 克，最低触及8.808元/克。 【要闻回顾】 这场空袭夺走了五名记者的生命，他们分别是Hussam al-Masri、Mariam Abu Dagga、Mohammed Salama、Moaz Abu Taha和Ahmed Abu Aziz。这些记者来自不同媒体机构，包括路透社、美联社、半岛 电视台等，他们用镜头和笔记录着加沙地带的苦难与真相。他们的牺牲不仅是个人的悲剧，更是新闻自 由的重大损失。路透社发言人在声明中表示："我们为Hussam al-Masri和Moaz Abu Taha的遇难感到悲 痛，同时紧急呼吁为受伤的Hatem Khaled提供医疗援助。" 在加沙地带，记者们冒着生命危险，记录着战争的残酷与人道主义危机。纳赛尔医院作为加沙南部的重 要医疗设施，经常成为记者报道的焦点。遇难的五名记者中，有的在直播现场，有的在采访医护人员， 他们用自己的专业精神为世界传递加沙的声音。然而，以色列的空袭让这 ...

Group 1 - The U.S. Department of Commerce has imposed a 50% tariff on 407 types of steel and aluminum derivative products, indicating a deepening of trade protectionism [3] - This policy aims to protect the domestic steel and aluminum industries while posing new challenges to global supply chains and related sectors, affecting a wide range of industries from wind turbines to automotive parts [3] - The tariff policy may serve as a catalyst for adjusting trade relations, prompting countries to reassess their positions within global supply chains [3] Group 2 - The imposition of tariffs is expected to raise inflation expectations, exacerbate trade tensions, and increase economic uncertainty, which overall benefits silver prices [3] - Despite potential short-term pressure from a strengthening dollar, rising safe-haven demand and heightened inflation expectations are likely to drive silver prices higher [3] - In the silver market, key resistance levels are identified in the 8.651-8.800 range, while support levels are noted in the 8.400-8.573 range [4]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state of the silver market, highlighting price movements and the implications of recent Federal Reserve decisions on economic outlook and monetary policy [1][3][4]. Market Overview - As of August 4, 2025, the spot silver price is at $37.34 per ounce, with a trading range between $36.66 and $37.39 during the day [1][2]. - The silver market is experiencing fluctuations, with key support levels identified at $36.75 and $36.55, and resistance levels at $37.20 and $37.50 [5]. Federal Reserve Insights - The dissenting votes from Fed governors Bowman and Waller mark a significant internal division within the Federal Reserve, the first of its kind since late 1993, indicating differing views on employment and economic forecasts [3]. - Cleveland Fed President Mester expresses confidence in the Fed's decision to maintain interest rates, despite disappointing employment data, emphasizing the need to monitor future employment figures and inflation [3]. Political Influence - Former President Trump’s criticism of Fed Chair Powell and calls for significant interest rate cuts add complexity to the Fed's policy discussions, although internal Fed responses have been largely dismissive [4]. - The dynamics within the Fed, including potential future leadership changes, are influenced by these political pressures, but the overall policy direction remains focused on inflation concerns stemming from trade policies [4]. Technical Analysis - The technical outlook for silver suggests a cautious approach, with the price remaining below a recently broken upward channel, indicating a neutral to bearish sentiment [5]. - Key indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Average Directional Index (ADX) suggest a weak trend, with potential for consolidation in the short term [5].

Group 1 - The price of silver is currently trading at $8.479 per ounce, with a slight increase of 0.09% from the opening price of $8.470 per ounce [1] - The highest price reached today is $8.498 per ounce, while the lowest was $8.434 per ounce, indicating a short-term oscillating trend in the silver market [1][4] Group 2 - Mexico has received a 90-day tariff exemption from the U.S. on non-automotive and non-metal products, following a conversation between President Trump and President López Obrador [3] - Approximately 85% of Mexico's export products comply with the USMCA origin rules, allowing them to avoid a 25% tariff related to fentanyl [3] - Mexico's exemption is conditional, requiring concessions under the USMCA framework, including strengthening origin rules and increasing efforts against fentanyl smuggling [3]

Group 1 - The ongoing trade negotiations between the EU and the US are tense due to the impending 30% tariff threat set for August 1, prompting the EU to seek an agreement before the deadline [3][4] - The EU is preparing a retaliatory tariff plan targeting $109 billion worth of US goods, which will be submitted for review by EU member states on July 24 [3] - The proposed tariffs will cover multiple sectors, including agriculture and industrial products, indicating a strong stance from the EU in the trade conflict [3][4] Group 2 - If the 30% tariffs are implemented, EU governments have agreed to initiate a series of "counter-coercion" measures that may extend beyond goods to include services and other sectors like finance and technology [4] - The EU's strategy is bolstered by the unity of its 27 member states and their significant reliance on the US market [4] Group 3 - In the silver market, paper silver is currently trading above 8.966, with a recent opening at 9.023 and a current price of 8.975, reflecting a decrease of 0.55% [1] - The highest price reached today was 9.041, while the lowest was 8.911, indicating a short-term oscillating trend in paper silver [1][5] - Key resistance levels for paper silver are noted at the 9.025-9.041 range, while support levels are identified at 8.977-8.911 [5]

Group 1 - The independence of the Federal Reserve is under threat, leading to a decline in the US dollar and volatility in silver prices, with industrial bank silver closing at 9.028 yuan per gram, up 0.77% [1] - The US Treasury Secretary, Mnuchin, suggested a review of the Federal Reserve's overall functions, indicating a potential conflict between the White House and the Federal Reserve [2] - There are conflicting reports regarding President Trump's intentions to dismiss Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, with indications that Trump may be seeking to lower the benchmark overnight borrowing rate significantly [2] Group 2 - The Trump administration has criticized the Federal Reserve for overspending on a $2.5 billion renovation project for its two buildings in Washington [3]

Core Viewpoint - The silver price is experiencing short-term pressure due to strong U.S. economic data supporting the Federal Reserve's decision to delay interest rate cuts, but long-term inflationary pressures from tariffs and geopolitical uncertainties are expected to support silver prices [1][2]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The latest paper silver price is trading at 8.793 yuan per gram, with a slight increase of 0.27% [1]. - Tariff policy uncertainties are bolstering silver's safe-haven appeal, despite short-term pressure from rising dollar and yields [2]. - The escalating trade tensions may heighten market risk aversion, potentially leading to a rebound in paper silver prices [2]. Group 2: Trade Negotiations - The EU is urged to act swiftly and firmly in U.S. tariff negotiations, with a deadline set for August 1, after which a 30% tariff on EU goods may be imposed [2]. - Japan is in urgent talks with the U.S. to avoid a 25% tariff, which will take effect if no agreement is reached by August 1 [2]. - Recent data shows that June import prices rose only 0.1% month-on-month, below the expected 0.3%, indicating that foreign exporters have not fully absorbed tariff costs [2]. Group 3: Technical Analysis - Paper silver opened at 8.719, reached a high of 8.782, and closed at 8.769, forming a long lower shadow hammer pattern [3]. - Resistance levels for paper silver are noted at 8.82-8.83, while support is seen at 8.60-8.70 [3].

Group 1 - The current trading price of silver is above 8.728, with an opening price of 8.719 and a current price of 8.735, reflecting a 0.24% increase [1] - The highest price reached today is 8.764, while the lowest is 8.695, indicating a short-term bearish trend in silver [1] - The resistance level for silver is identified in the range of 8.749-8.752, while the support level is noted at 8.724-8.703 [4] Group 2 - The UK unemployment rate continues to rise, reaching its highest level since 2021, which may influence the Bank of England's decision to lower interest rates despite ongoing inflation pressures [3] - The total wage growth rate for three months in May is reported at 1.0%, with regular wage growth at 1.1%, marking the lowest levels since mid-2023 [3] - Any potential dismissal of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell by the Trump administration could severely impact the US dollar, with expectations of a more dovish replacement potentially lowering short-term yields [3]

Group 1: International Gold Prices and Trends - On July 10, 2025, the international gold price closed at $3,294.96 per ounce, down $6.57 from the previous day, with a trading range of $3,284.87 to $3,307.79 per ounce [2] - Other precious metals also experienced declines, with silver at $36.5 per ounce (down $0.23), platinum at $1,377.85 per ounce (down $13.45), and palladium at $1,117.6 per ounce (down $4.1) [2] Group 2: Domestic Gold Prices and Recovery Prices - Domestic retail gold prices ranged from 788 to 999 yuan per gram, with investment gold bars priced at 781 yuan per gram; major brands showed varied price movements [3] - Notable price changes included Chow Sang Sang at 999 yuan per gram (down 8 yuan), and other brands like Chow Tai Fook and Lao Feng Xiang at 998 yuan per gram (down 6 to 7 yuan) [3] - Recovery prices for different gold purities were reported, with 750 gold at 543 yuan per gram and platinum at 290 yuan per gram [3] Group 3: Paper Gold and Shanghai Gold Exchange Trends - The paper gold market saw a trading price of 762.76 yuan per gram, up 0.22%, while paper silver, platinum, and palladium also increased [4] - The Shanghai Gold Exchange reported declines in various gold products, with price drops ranging from 1.01% to 1.17%, and a slight decrease of 0.21% in silver T D prices [4] Group 4: Investment Strategies in Gold - The investment strategy for gold should adapt to the changing international financial environment, with a focus on long-term holding to mitigate risks [5] - Historical data suggests that holding gold for over five years yields stable returns, and investors are advised to allocate 5% to 15% of their total assets to gold [5] - Short-term trading strategies should consider key indicators such as central bank gold purchases, U.S. real interest rates, and geopolitical risks [5]

Core Viewpoint - The silver market is currently influenced by a combination of strong U.S. labor market data and uncertainties surrounding Federal Reserve interest rate policies, leading to a high volatility environment for silver prices [3]. Group 1: Silver Price Movement - As of July 11, 2025, the spot silver price is trading at $37.43 per ounce, with a daily range between $36.87 and $37.48 [1][2]. - The opening price for silver today was $36.99 per ounce [1]. Group 2: Economic Indicators - Recent U.S. non-farm payroll data has shown strong performance, with initial jobless claims dropping to 227,000, indicating a robust labor market [3]. - The expectation for an immediate interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve has decreased significantly due to these labor market indicators [3]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - Silver is currently experiencing dual influences: inflows of safe-haven funds and hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve, which are limiting bullish positions in silver [3]. - Trade tensions, particularly Trump's new tariff threats, including a 50% tariff on copper starting August 1, are adding to economic uncertainty and potential inflation concerns [3]. Group 4: Trading Strategy - A bullish trading strategy is suggested, with a focus on maintaining long positions if silver stabilizes around the $36.8 level and breaks above $37.2, targeting $37.5 [4].