但纪要也指出，少数官员认为上月没有必要降息，或者他们也可以支持维持利率不变。在参加会议的19 名官员中，略多于半数预计今年至少还会有两次降息，这意味着美联储可能在本月和12月的会议上连续 降息。但有7名官员预计今年不会再有进一步降息，凸显出鲍威尔在建立共识时面临的棘手局面。通常 来说，美联储纪要因三周的发布时间差而显得"滞后"，但政府停摆使美联储官员缺乏足够的新信息来显 著调整他们的观点。投资者普遍预计，美联储将在10月的下次会议上再次降息25个基点。 【基本面解析】 美联储会议纪要显示，美联储官员在上月批准今年首次降息时，对未来应将利率降至何种水平存在分 歧。官员们普遍同意，就业增长近期放缓的迹象超过了对顽固通胀的担忧，因此在上月降息25个基点。 根据纪要，大多数官员认为"在今年剩余时间里进一步放松政策可能是合适的"。 北京时间周四（10月9日）欧盘时段，美元指数交投于99.00附近，现货白银目前交投于49.49美元/盎 司，今日开盘于48.88美元/盎司，截至发稿白银价格最高上探49.51美元/盎司，最低触及48.42美元/盎 司。今晚关注美联储主席鲍威尔发表讲话与美联储理事鲍曼发表讲话。 今日白银价格最 ...

Core Insights - The global gold market on October 4, 2025, exhibited a diverse pricing system with significant differences between domestic and international gold prices, as well as varying retail strategies among different gold brands [1] Group 1: Global and Local Pricing - The international gold price closed at $3868.9 per ounce, while the Shanghai Gold Exchange's base price was set at 875.0 RMB per gram [2] - In Hong Kong, gold was traded at 42810 HKD per tael, and the gold recycling price was 860 RMB per gram, indicating strong demand for physical gold [2] Group 2: Retail Pricing Strategies - Domestic gold retail prices showed a clear gradient, ranging from 918 RMB to 1137 RMB per gram, with traditional brands like Chow Tai Fook and Chow Sang Sang priced at 1129 RMB per gram, reflecting brand premium and craftsmanship [3] - Other notable prices included Lao Feng Xiang and Lao Miao at 1125 RMB per gram, while local brands like Cai Bai Jewelry and Zhou Li Fu were priced at 1078 RMB and 1084 RMB per gram respectively [4] Group 3: Investment Channels - Shui Bei Gold offered competitive prices at 886 RMB per gram, and investment gold bars were priced at 889 RMB per gram, showcasing its advantages in the investment sector [5] Group 4: Panda Gold Coins - The 2025 edition of the Panda Gold Coin set, issued by the People's Bank of China, is priced at 52794 RMB for the complete set, with individual coins ranging from 1185 RMB for 1 gram to 480000 RMB for 1 kilogram, catering to various investor needs [6] - Unique designs such as the 150-gram square gold coin and colored gold coin are priced at 90000 RMB and 88000 RMB respectively, attracting collectors [6] Group 5: Virtual Trading Options - Major banks offer paper gold, silver, platinum, and palladium trading services, with slight declines in prices across various metals, including a drop of 0.10% to 0.19% for paper gold in USD per ounce [9][10] Group 6: Popop Gold Series - The Popop gold series, under the brand Pop Mart, features a unique IP-driven retail model with prices ranging from 980 RMB to 68000 RMB, targeting the parent-child market [11] - The pricing strategy shows a significant premium, with the "Baby Molly series" gold items priced at 1385 RMB per gram, which is approximately 25% higher than traditional brands [11] - Experts suggest that while the "one-price" model may risk losing some consumers, Popop's market potential remains promising, pending broader acceptance of the IP gold innovation [11]

以下是对原文进行改写和润色的结果： 2025年10月3日，全球黄金市场迎来新一轮的瞩目，现货黄金价格延续9月份的强劲上涨势头，势如破竹，先后突破3880美元和3890美元的关键心理关口，市 场情绪一片沸腾。与此同时，国内黄金市场也呈现出相似的景象，各大金店的黄金价格纷纷水涨船高。 一、 珠宝品牌金价一览 各大珠宝品牌纷纷调整黄金及铂金价格，以应对市场的瞬息万变。以下是各品牌金价的详细情况： 周大福： 黄金价格定位于每克1129元，铂金价格则为每克635元。面向内地市场的金条价格略有下调，为每克1119元。 老凤祥： 黄金和足金价格统一为每克1125元，铂金价格则为每克560元，体现了其稳健的价格策略。 周六福： 黄金价格相对更具吸引力，为每克1084元，铂金价格为每克598元，金条更是以每克979元的优惠价格吸引顾客。 周生生： 黄金价格略高于其他品牌，为每克1130元，与周大福并列最高。铂金价格同样为每克635元，内地金条售价为每克1000元。 六福珠宝： 黄金和铂金价格与周大福接近，分别为每克1129元和每克644元，金条价格同样维持在每克1119元。 金至尊： 黄金和铂金价格同样与周大福等品牌相近，分别 ...

北京时间周二（9月30日）欧盘时段，美元指数交投于97.75附近，现货白银目前交投于46.03美元/盎 司，今日开盘于46.90美元/盎司，截至发稿白银价格最高上探47.16美元/盎司，最低触及46.00美元/盎 司。今晚关注美国8月JOLTs职位空缺。 美国劳工统计局发布政府停摆应急计划，将在政府停摆期间暂停所有运营，不发布经济数据。 俄罗斯周一表示，其军方正在分析美国是否会向乌克兰提供战斧巡航导弹，用于深入俄罗斯的打击。俄 罗斯官员补充说，此举可能会引发急剧升级，保持地缘政治风险，并使白银受益。 与此同时，特朗普表示，在发布20点计划后，美国非常接近在加沙战争中实现和平。特朗普还向巴勒斯 坦组织哈马斯发出警告，如果以色列拒绝和平协议，它将得到美国的全力支持来摧毁这个激进组织。 今日白银价格最新查询（2025年9月30日） | 名称 | 最新价 | 单位 | | --- | --- | --- | | 现货白银 | 46.03 | 美元/盎司 | | 白银t+d | 10848 | 元/千克 | | 纸白银 | 10.524 | 元/克 | | 沪银主力 | 10918 | 元/千克 | 【基本面解析】 美 ...

Core Viewpoint - The silver market is experiencing upward momentum, supported by expectations of monetary policy easing and safe-haven demand due to potential U.S. government shutdown risks. Group 1: Silver Price Movements - As of September 29, the spot silver price is trading at $46.92 per ounce, with a daily high of $47.17 and a low of $45.92 [1] - The silver price opened at $46.07 per ounce today [1] - The latest prices for various silver products include: - Silver T+D at 10,878 yuan per kilogram - Paper silver at 10.741 yuan per gram - Shanghai silver futures at 10,939 yuan per kilogram [2] Group 2: Economic Indicators - The U.S. core PCE price index for August shows a year-on-year increase of 2.9%, consistent with the previous value, while the month-on-month increase is 0.2% [3] - The overall PCE price index rose by 0.3% month-on-month, with a year-on-year increase of 2.7%, up from 2.6% previously [3] - The U.S. consumer confidence index for September is reported at 55.1, a decline of approximately 5% from August [3] Group 3: Federal Reserve Expectations - The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in October is 10.7%, while the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 89.3% [3] - For December, the probability of maintaining rates is 2.9%, with cumulative probabilities for rate cuts of 25 basis points at 32.2% and 50 basis points at 64.9% [3] Group 4: Market Sentiment and Strategies - The silver market is supported by safe-haven demand as traders prepare for potential U.S. government shutdown risks [3] - Short-term trading strategies suggest maintaining a bullish stance on silver, with key support levels at $45.50 and $45.00, and resistance levels at $47.00 and $48.00 [5]

2025年9月28日上海贵金属市场价格行情分析 风起云涌的黄金行情：价格多维，市场活跃 2025年9月28日，上海的贵金属市场呈现出活跃的交易态势，金价依旧是市场的焦点。当天，上海黄金 T D的成交价定格在每克856.8元，而沪金期货则以856.12元/克的微弱劣势紧随其后。中国黄金的基础金 价也相对稳定，报收于855.8元/克。 在琳琅满目的黄金饰品市场，价格区间显得更为宽泛，每克价格在879元至1108元之间波动，反映出不 同品牌、工艺以及设计所带来的价值差异。与此同时，各大银行的投资金条价格也各有千秋。工商银行 的"如意金条"报价为72.52元/克，而中国银行、建设银行及民生银行则分别以871.35元/克、870.20元/克 和870.20元/克的价格紧随其后。农业银行的金条价格则略显坚挺，为893.19元/克，在银行系产品中显 得更为突出。 一、 珠宝品牌足金价格概览：高端品牌价格趋同，部分产品更具性价比 深入探究各大珠宝品牌的足金价格，我们可以发现一个有趣的现象： 周大福、六福珠宝、金至尊、谢瑞麟 均以每克1108元的价格，提供纯度高达99.9%的足金产品，形成价 格联盟。 周生生 略微领先，其足金 ...

当日，国内黄金零售市场价格呈现出一定的分化态势。国际黄金现货价格报3761.9美元/盎司，折合人 民币约859.5元/克。然而，各大珠宝品牌的价格策略各不相同，反映了市场竞争以及品牌溢价的不同。 高位阵营： 菜百珠宝的金价达到1058元/克，老凤祥、嘉华珠宝及富艺珠宝均将金价锁定在1108元/克。 周大福、周大生同样报出1108元/克的高价，而周生生、东祥金店、吉盟珠宝和金兰首饰的黄金价格也 紧随其后，报1106元/克。千禧之星则以1106元/克的价格与其他品牌保持一致。 中档及以下： 萃华金店的黄金价格为1085元/克，宝庆银楼为1052元/克。百泰黄金以980元/克的价格位 列中档。 价格洼地： 太阳金店以969元/克的价格成为当日黄金价格的最低点。 铂金价格： 值得注意的是，各品牌铂金价格同样存在差异。菜百报445元/克，太阳金店为439元/克。老 凤祥、嘉华珠宝和富艺珠宝的铂金价格统一为470元/克。千禧之星和金兰首饰的铂金价格也为470元/ 克。周大福、东祥金店、吉盟珠宝、周生生和周大生均报出614元/克的铂金价格，而萃华金店和宝庆银 楼的铂金价格相对较低，分别为364元/克和368元/克。齐鲁金店 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that silver prices are currently experiencing a bullish trend, with paper silver trading around 9.971 CNY per gram, up 1.44% from the opening price of 9.829 CNY per gram [1] - The Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates has been influenced by inflation uncertainties, with the core personal consumption expenditures index rising to 2.9% year-on-year, the highest since February [3] - Industrial demand for silver remains stable, driven by applications in solar panels, electronics, and semiconductors, which continues to support physical silver demand as investors seek attractive entry points [3] Group 2 - The resistance level for paper silver is identified in the range of 9.981 to 10.000 CNY per gram, while the support level is noted between 9.700 and 9.829 CNY per gram [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that after the Federal Reserve's 25 basis point rate cut, U.S. Treasury yields rose significantly, leading to fluctuations in silver prices, with industrial silver closing at 9.829 yuan per gram, up 3.11% [1] - The rise in U.S. Treasury yields is attributed to a steepening yield curve, reflecting a "hawkish rate cut" characteristic, influenced by robust economic data such as unemployment claims and Philadelphia Fed data [2] - The market is re-evaluating the yield path due to the lack of stronger dovish signals from the Federal Reserve, resulting in increased attractiveness of U.S. dollar assets [2] Group 2 - The latest TIC report shows a moderate net inflow of approximately $2 billion into U.S. securities, with notable sell-offs from China ($25 billion) and Japan ($26 billion), continuing a trend observed in recent years [2] - In contrast, the UK emerged as a significant buyer with $43 billion, alongside other foreign investors, excluding China and Japan, who collectively bought $54 billion [3] - Over the past 12 months, the average monthly foreign investment in U.S. securities was $61 billion, while domestic investment averaged $134 billion, indicating a stable support trend for U.S. securities [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state of the silver market and anticipates a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, which could influence silver prices and trading strategies. Market Overview - As of September 12, the silver spot price is trading at $42.33 per ounce, with a daily range between $41.38 and $42.47 [1][2] - The dollar index is around 97.73, indicating a stable dollar environment [1] Federal Reserve Insights - The Federal Reserve is expected to initiate a 25 basis point rate cut on September 17 due to clear signals of economic weakness [3] - Despite high inflation, the Fed is likely to prioritize employment risks over price stability, suggesting a shift in monetary policy [3][4] - Key factors that previously drove inflation to 9% in 2022, such as rising oil prices and housing rents, are now subsiding, potentially leading to a decrease in inflation rates by the end of 2026 [3] Trading Strategies for Silver - Technically, silver is near the upper boundary of its upward trend channel, with potential for further gains if it breaks through [5] - The next resistance level is around $42.65, with a possibility of reaching $43.00, which aligns with historical highs from September 2011 [5] - A critical support level is identified at $41.00, which could act as a buying opportunity if prices decline [5][6]