日期 价格（单位：元/千克） | 2026-02-02 | 24832.0 | | --- | --- | | 2026-02-03 | 21446.0 | | 2026-02-04 | 23511.0 | | 2026-02-05 | 20255.0 | | 2026-02-06 | 18799.0 | | 最高价 | 26780.0 | | 最低价 | 17900.0 | | 近一周均价 | 21768.60 | 截至2026年2月6日当周，沪银主力收于18799.0元/千克，全周累计涨跌幅-24.30%，沪银主力价格最高 26780.0元/千克，最低17900.0元/千克，近一周均价21768.60元/千克。 近一周沪银主力行情一览表 ...

Group 1 - The silver futures market experienced a significant decline, with the main contract closing at 21,446 yuan per kilogram, reflecting a drop of 16.71% on the day [1] - The trading volume for silver futures reached 931,055 contracts, while the open interest stood at 226,336 contracts, indicating active market participation despite the price drop [1] - The sentiment in the domestic silver market has cooled, with the premium for silver in Shanghai narrowing to 2,300 yuan per kilogram, although the premium rate remains above 10% [5] Group 2 - The ISM Manufacturing PMI in the U.S. rose to 52.6, marking the first expansion in manufacturing in a year and the highest level since August 2022, after being in contraction for ten consecutive months [1] - Former President Trump announced a trade agreement with India, which includes reducing tariffs from 25% to 18% and commitments from India to purchase over $500 billion worth of U.S. products [1] - The silver price volatility remains high, with expectations of a rebound despite recent declines, suggesting a cautious approach to trading in the silver market [5]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent fluctuations in the silver market and the impact of U.S. economic policies, particularly the nomination of Kevin Warsh as the Federal Reserve Chairman by Trump, which has led to significant volatility in precious metals prices. Group 1: Market Data - The current trading price of silver is approximately $80.26 per ounce, with T+D silver trading around 23,420 yuan per kilogram and the Shanghai silver main contract at 24,832 yuan per kilogram [1] - On January 30, the dollar index rose by 1.02% to close at 97.136, while silver closed at $84.63 per ounce, down 26.93% [1] - The SLV silver ETF held 15,523.36 tons as of January 30, unchanged from the previous trading day [2] Group 2: Economic Policies and Predictions - Trump has nominated Kevin Warsh for the Federal Reserve Chairman position, indicating that he believes it is inappropriate for the White House to pressure for interest rate cuts, although Warsh is expected to receive support from Democrats and may advocate for rate cuts [2] - The market anticipates that the Federal Reserve will implement more than two rate cuts this year, each by 25 basis points [2] Group 3: Market Analysis - The silver market opened at 71.182 at the beginning of January, reached a historical high of 121.794, and then experienced a strong pullback, closing at 84.619 [6] - The market is expected to have a demand for a pullback in February, with potential targets set at 86 and 80, and further levels at 78.7, 76, and 75 if broken [6]

Group 1 - The US dollar index is trading around 96.266, while spot silver opened at $116.60/oz and is currently around $117.34/oz, indicating a positive trend in precious metals [1] - On January 28, the dollar index rose by 0.61% to close at 96.341, while spot silver increased by 3.99% to $116.61/oz, driven by investor interest in precious metals [1] - The latest data shows that on January 28, SLV silver ETF holdings decreased by 211.42 tons to 15,636.12 tons [1] Group 2 - The Federal Reserve maintained interest rates in the range of 3.5-3.75% during the January meeting, with officials suggesting a potential 25 basis point cut if inflation eases [1] - US Treasury Secretary Mnuchin indicated that President Trump may announce a new Federal Reserve Chair in about a week, emphasizing a long-standing strong dollar policy [2] - President Trump welcomed the S&P 500 index reaching 7,000 points, reflecting confidence in the US economy [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state of silver prices and the factors influencing them, particularly focusing on the impact of U.S. monetary policy and political statements on market sentiment and silver's value. Group 1: Silver Price Movements - As of January 28, the spot silver price is at $113.93 per ounce, having opened at $112.14 and reaching a high of $116.10 and a low of $110.65 during the day [1][2] - The trading strategy indicates a bullish trend for silver, with a target resistance level set at $122.00, and a trading range expected between $107.00 support and $122.00 resistance [4] Group 2: Influencing Factors - President Trump's comments on the value of the U.S. dollar have led to a decline in the dollar index, reaching its lowest point since February 2022, which supports dollar-denominated assets like silver [3] - Concerns regarding the independence of the Federal Reserve may increase safe-haven demand, benefiting silver prices [3] - The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates during its upcoming policy meeting, following three consecutive rate cuts by the end of 2025, with market participants closely watching for insights on the U.S. economic outlook [3]

Core Viewpoint - The silver market is currently influenced by geopolitical tensions and the direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, with significant price movements observed recently. Group 1: Silver Price Movements - As of January 26, the spot silver price is trading at $109.61 per ounce, having opened at $104.32 and reaching a high of $110.06 and a low of $103.26 during the day [1][2] - The recent upward trend in silver prices is marked by breaking key resistance levels, including $96.00 and $100.00, indicating bullish momentum [5] Group 2: Geopolitical and Economic Influences - Tensions between the U.S. and Iran, as well as domestic unrest in the U.S. due to recent law enforcement actions, are contributing to the volatility in the silver market [3] - The upcoming Federal Reserve meeting on January 29 is expected to maintain interest rates, but future statements from Fed officials may influence market expectations [3] Group 3: Market Sentiment and Technical Analysis - Analysts suggest that the fundamentals for precious metals remain bullish, driven by healthy demand for reserves and a trend among market participants to diversify and reduce exposure to the dollar [4] - The MACD indicator shows bullish momentum, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 83.57, indicating overbought conditions, suggesting potential for a price correction but overall strong upward trend remains [5]

Group 1 - The current trading price of silver is $98.20 per ounce, with a daily opening at $96.19 and a high of $99.36, indicating significant volatility in the market [1][2] - The upcoming economic indicators to be released include the preliminary January PMI for manufacturing and services, the final consumer confidence index from the University of Michigan, and the one-year inflation expectations for January [1] Group 2 - Denmark is actively participating in negotiations regarding Greenland, emphasizing that NATO is not authorized to represent Denmark and Greenland in these discussions [3] - The U.S. is considering a complete withdrawal of military forces from Syria due to recent developments, raising questions about the operational viability of U.S. troops following the collapse of the Syrian Democratic Forces [3] Group 3 - Silver prices are currently above the rising nine-day moving average, with the fifty-day moving average also trending upwards, confirming a bullish trend [4] - The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 74.66, indicating overbought conditions and potential for consolidation, but as long as prices remain above short-term moving averages, the upward trend is intact [4] - Initial support for silver prices is expected around the nine-day moving average at $92.42, with risks of correction if prices close below this level [4]

Core Viewpoint - The news highlights the current trading status of silver and the implications of a legal case involving the Federal Reserve's independence, which could impact market confidence and monetary policy effectiveness. Group 1: Silver Price Analysis - As of January 22, the spot silver price is trading at $94.19 per ounce, with a daily range between $90.79 and $94.37 [1] - Technical analysis indicates that silver prices are in an upward channel, suggesting a bullish outlook [3] - The price is above the rising nine-day exponential moving average (EMA), indicating strong short-term momentum [4] Group 2: Market Influences - The U.S. Supreme Court is cautious about President Trump's attempt to dismiss Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, which could undermine the Fed's independence and disrupt markets [3] - A ruling favoring Trump could damage public confidence in the Federal Reserve and jeopardize its ability to formulate effective monetary policy [3] - The court is expected to make a decision by July, which could have significant implications for the U.S. and global economy [3] Group 3: Technical Indicators - The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 70.99, indicating an overbought condition and potential for consolidation [4] - Silver prices may test the historical high of $95.89 set on January 20, 2025, with further resistance around $98.50 [4] - A corrective pullback could occur, potentially down to the nine-day EMA at $90.36, with further support at the lower boundary of the upward channel around $81.10 [4]

Group 1 - The US dollar index is trading around 98.795, while spot silver opened at $93.06 per ounce and is currently around $92.11 per ounce, indicating a decline [1] - On January 21, the dollar index rose by 0.22% to close at 98.767, while spot silver fell by 1.61% to $93.04 per ounce, influenced by developments regarding Greenland [1] - The SLV silver ETF holdings decreased by 56.38 tons to 16,166.1 tons as of January 21 [2] Group 2 - The situation regarding Greenland has seen developments, with Trump stating a cooperation framework with NATO and retracting threats of tariffs against eight European countries [2] - The European Parliament has indefinitely frozen the review of the US-EU trade agreement [2] - The silver market experienced fluctuations, opening at $94.571, reaching a high of $95.556, and closing at $92.95, forming a long lower shadow candlestick pattern [5]

Core Viewpoint - The current geopolitical tensions and trade disputes, particularly between the US and EU, are increasing the attractiveness of safe-haven assets like silver, while the dollar's appeal is diminishing due to a cautious outlook on global economic growth [3]. Market Overview - The US dollar index is trading around 98.607, while spot silver is priced at $95.03 per ounce, having opened at $94.64 and reaching a high of $95.48 and a low of $93.33 during the day [1]. - The latest prices for silver include: - Spot silver: $95.03 per ounce - Silver T+D: ¥23,228 per kilogram - Paper silver: ¥21.263 per gram - Shanghai silver futures: ¥23,131 per kilogram [2]. Fundamental Analysis - President Trump's firm stance on Greenland and threats of tariffs against certain EU countries are raising concerns about further deterioration in the global trade environment [3]. - The European Parliament plans to pause the approval process for the US-EU trade agreement from July, with the EU signaling potential countermeasures against US goods, indicating a risk of escalating US-EU tensions [3]. - In this uncertain geopolitical climate, the appeal of safe-haven assets like silver is increasing, while the dollar's attractiveness is declining due to a cautious outlook on global economic growth [3]. - Recent robust US labor market data has led to a delay in market expectations for further Federal Reserve rate cuts until June [3]. - The upcoming World Economic Forum will be crucial, with Trump's speech and policy statements from the US, China, and EU, as well as discussions on AI and wealth distribution, likely to influence market expectations [3]. Trading Strategy - On the daily chart, silver prices remain above the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $82.96, maintaining a bullish trend [4]. - The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 73.38, indicating an overbought condition, which may suggest a brief consolidation despite the strong trend [5]. - The distance between price and moving averages is widening, indicating a continuation of the trend, while any pullback may find support near the rising average [5].