持股/持币过节

Search documents
A股分析师前瞻:持股还是持币过节,10月又有哪些日历效应?
Xuan Gu Bao· 2025-09-28 14:59
Group 1 - The overall sentiment among brokerages is discussing holding stocks or cash during the holiday, as well as the calendar effect in October [1][5] - The strategy team from JianTou believes that liquidity tends to contract before the National Day holiday, but this is often a "sentimental contraction" [1] - The team from Huaxi suggests that as the holiday approaches, external funds may slow down entering the market, leading to a potential short-term adjustment in A-shares and Hong Kong stocks [1][5] Group 2 - The Guangfa strategy team found that since 2005, cyclical industries have over a 65% probability of rising in the fourth quarter, with more than 60% probability of outperforming the CSI 300 index [1][6] - Key sectors such as optical modules, PCBs, innovative pharmaceuticals, and colored metals are maintaining healthy trends, while sectors like automotive parts and robotics are experiencing relative stagnation [1][6] - The CITIC strategy team emphasizes that resource security, corporate overseas expansion, and technological competition remain crucial structural market clues [4] Group 3 - The market is expected to see a new upward momentum in October, driven by the upcoming third-quarter report trading window and significant policy expectations [5] - The strategy from Yinxing indicates that the market's risk appetite may increase due to the concentration of important meetings and events in October [5] - The strategy team from Zhongtai highlights that the current market levels still have strong support, and long-term capital remains inclined to invest [6]