1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the document 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Policy - based financial instruments have significant "quasi - fiscal" attributes, can leverage more private capital, and improve investment efficiency. It is expected that the scale of new policy - based financial instruments in 2026 will remain high, continuing the orientation of "precise support, efficient investment, and structural optimization" [4][9]. - As the minimum capital ratio of projects is structurally reduced, the theoretical leverage multiple of policy - based financial instruments increases. However, in practice, the leverage multiple may be overestimated [4][10]. - The focus of policy - based financial instruments has gradually shifted from traditional infrastructure construction to scientific and technological innovation and consumption fields, and they are more inclined to economically large provinces. The new policy - based financial instruments have a more obvious effect on leveraging private investment compared with the previous two rounds [9][49]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Policy - based Financial Instrument Definition - Policy - based financial instruments are established by three policy - based and development financial institutions with the support of the central bank. Their funds come from low - cost PSL provided by the central bank and financial bonds issued by policy banks, with central fiscal interest subsidies. They are mainly used to supplement the capital of major projects and have "quasi - fiscal" attributes [18]. 3.2 Project Capital System - Since 1996, a capital system has been implemented for various operating investment projects. The proportion of project capital in the total investment is determined according to different industries and project economic benefits. Adjusting the project capital ratio is an important means to regulate investment growth and optimize the industrial structure [20][21]. 3.3 Three Large - scale Launches of Policy - based Financial Instruments in History - **2015 Special Construction Fund**: To expand investment and stabilize growth, a total of about 2 trillion yuan was invested from 2015 - 2017. It was mainly used to support key projects in five major categories, and there was a time lag of about 6 - 7 months from capital investment to the formation of physical work [25][26]. - **2022 Policy - based and Development Financial Instruments**: To actively expand effective investment, a total of 7399 billion yuan was invested. It focused on three types of projects, and the time lag for project implementation was significantly reduced compared with the special construction fund [29][32]. - **2025 New Policy - based Financial Instruments**: In April 2025, it was proposed to support scientific and technological innovation, expand consumption, and stabilize foreign trade. A total of 5000 billion yuan was invested, mainly in fields such as the digital economy, artificial intelligence, and consumption. In 2026, it is expected to continue the policy orientation of "precise support, efficient investment, and structural optimization" [34][36]. 3.4 Policy - based Financial Instrument Investment Modes - The investment modes include equity investment, shareholder loans, and bridging for special bond project capital. Shareholder loans and special bond capital bridging modes involve the investment entity having creditor's rights over the project, with relatively lower risks compared to equity investment. Policy banks may choose shareholder loans more often for risk - prevention reasons [8][45]. 3.5 Policy - based Financial Instrument Investment Trends - **Investment Rhythm**: It generally takes less than one month from the establishment of the corresponding fund company of the policy bank to the completion of the first - batch investment [48]. - **Investment Fields**: The focus has gradually shifted from traditional infrastructure construction to scientific and technological innovation and consumption fields [49]. - **Investment Regions**: Economically large provinces generally receive higher investment amounts [59]. - **Effect on Loan Demand**: The investment of policy - based financial instruments has effectively driven the recovery of overall loan demand, and the new policy - based financial instruments have a more obvious effect on leveraging private investment [56]. 3.6 Policy - based Financial Instrument Investment Amounts in Each Province - Economically large provinces generally receive higher investment amounts of policy - based and development financial instruments and new policy - based financial instruments, which is speculated to be due to more major project reserves and greater capital requirements in these provinces [59]. 3.7 Leverage Multiple Calculation - The investment of policy - based financial instruments can supplement project capital, enhance project financing capabilities, and accelerate project implementation. The participation of social capital and bank credit is the "leveraged" part. As the minimum capital ratio of projects is structurally reduced, the overall leverage multiple increases. However, in practice, the leverage multiple is lower because the capital ratio of most infrastructure projects is significantly higher than the legal minimum. The leverage multiple is also likely to be overestimated in practice [10][65]. - **2015 Special Construction Fund**: The theoretical leverage multiple is 4, and the actual leverage multiple of the National Development Bank is about 3.4 [68]. - **2022 Policy - based and Development Financial Instruments**: The theoretical leverage multiple is 10. The actual leverage multiples of the Agricultural Development Bank and the Export - Import Bank are about 12.2 and 14.6 respectively, and the credit leverage multiple is about 4.7 [69]. - **2025 New Policy - based Financial Instruments**: The overall leverage multiple is about 14, and the leverage multiples of different policy banks and projects vary [70]. - **Provincial and Project - level Leverage Multiples**: In 2022, the provincial leverage multiples were about 7 - 14 times; in 2025, the provincial leverage coefficients were 6 - 27 times, and the project - level leverage multiples were 7 - 22 times, mostly concentrated around 10 times [72][76].