准财政

Search documents
5000亿“准财政”工具将出,重点支持新兴产业、基础设施等
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-08-21 12:37
Core Insights - The new policy financial tools are aimed at stabilizing investment and promoting innovation, with a total funding scale of 500 billion yuan, focusing on emerging industries and infrastructure [1][6][8] - Local governments are actively preparing and identifying projects for funding, with a focus on high-tech and socially beneficial projects [3][4][5] Group 1: Policy and Funding Mechanism - The new policy financial tools are classified as "quasi-fiscal" instruments, with project lists screened by development and reform departments, and funding provided by policy banks [2][8] - The tools are designed to address capital shortages for project construction, lower financing thresholds, and expand effective investment [6][8] Group 2: Project Identification and Preparation - Various regions, including Hubei and Guangdong, are conducting project preparation meetings to align with national strategies and identify high-quality projects [3][5] - Specific projects have been identified, such as 11 projects in Shanxi with a total investment of 13.369 billion yuan, requiring 2.186 billion yuan from the new financial tools [4][6] Group 3: Economic Context and Challenges - The introduction of these tools comes in response to declining investment growth, with fixed asset investment growth slowing to 1.6% in July [8][9] - There are concerns regarding the effectiveness of policy banks in investing in emerging industries, which require specialized judgment [9]
5月财政支出更为侧重科技、消费与民生,A500ETF基金(512050)成交额超11亿元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-23 03:12
Group 1 - The A500 Index (000510) increased by 0.07% as of June 23, 2025, with notable gains from stocks such as Aerospace Development (000547) up 9.94% and Guoxuan High-Tech (002074) up 6.15% [1] - The A500 ETF Fund (512050) rose by 0.11%, with a latest price of 0.93 yuan and a turnover rate of 7.31%, resulting in a transaction volume of 1.131 billion yuan [1] - The A500 ETF Fund's average daily transaction volume over the past year reached 3.573 billion yuan, ranking first among comparable funds, with a total fund size of 15.49 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - The Ministry of Finance reported that from January to May, the national general public budget revenue was 96,623 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.3%, while expenditure was 112,953 billion yuan, an increase of 4.2% [1] - According to Kaiyuan Securities, the fiscal revenue and expenditure rhythm slowed down in May, with a focus on technology, consumption, and livelihood, indicating potential for further fiscal stimulus [2] - The A500 Index is designed to reflect the overall performance of the most representative listed companies across various industries, selecting 500 securities with larger market capitalization and better liquidity [2] Group 3 - As of May 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the A500 Index accounted for 21.21% of the index, including Kweichow Moutai (600519) and Contemporary Amperex Technology (300750) [2] - The top ten stocks by weight showed slight declines, with Kweichow Moutai down 0.22% and Contemporary Amperex Technology down 0.33% [4]
5月财政数据点评:科技与民生类支出提速
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-06-20 14:43
证书编号:S0790524110002 事件:5 月,全国一般公共预算收入 16007 亿元,全国一般公共预算支出 19372 亿元。政府性基金预算收入 2897 亿元,政府性基金预算支出 5989 亿元。 财政收支增速放缓,支出加大科技民生投入 1、5 月公共财政收入增速放缓。5 月狭义财政收入 16007 亿元,同比增长 0.13%, 增速较前值下滑 1.76 个百分点。1-5 月公共财政收入累计同比下滑 0.3%,降幅 基本持平前值。从结构看,税收收入增长遇阻,非税收入增速继续走低。5 月税 收收入降速,同比增长 0.6%(前值 1.9%),截至 5 月税收较去年累计下降 1.6%, 与全年+3.7%的目标仍有差距。非税收入增速由正转负,同比下滑 2.2%(前值为 +1.7%),相比税收收入,非税收入降幅相对更大。主要税种中个人所得税、增 值税保持高增,消费税和企业所得税基本持平去年。个税和企业所得税之间出现 分化,个税收入同比增长 12%、企业所得税基本为零增长。个税收入高增或与 2024 年基数持续偏低、征税范围扩大有关。企业所得税增速延续回落,部分外 贸企业营收仍受对等关税影响。国内增值税同比增长 ...
财政仍有提速空间——4月财政数据点评(申万宏观 · 赵伟团队)
申万宏源研究· 2025-05-22 01:27
摘要 事件: 5月20日,财政部公布2025年前4月财政收支情况。前4月,一般公共预算收入80616亿元,同比下 降0.4%;前4月,一般公共预算支出93581亿元,同比增长4.6%。 广义财政支出延续提速,或主因政府债务融资支撑。 2025年4月,一般财政收支差-1.3万亿元,规模高于 2020-2024年同期平均为-0.6万亿元,或指向国债、新增一般债等资金对一般财政支持形成有效支撑。当 前国债净融资发行进度明显快于过往。截至5月16日,国债净融资规模达2.4万亿元,发行进度49.4%,明 显高于2024年同期的20.9%。 新增专项债发行进度依然偏慢,后续仍有提速空间。 4月政府性基金支出提速或主因土地出让收入拖累 缓解。地产销售增速仍处低迷态势下,土地出让收入能否持续修复仍需跟踪。当前新增专项债发行进度 依然偏慢,仍有提速空间。截至5月16日,新增专项债发行规模发行进度31%。后续若收入修复态势放 缓,新增专项债或可加速发行支撑较高支出增速。 "增量政策"拉开序幕,金融政策已然先行,后续财政支出节奏及投向或是焦点。 关税"暂缓期"亦是既定 政策加快落地、增量政策加强储备的窗口期。财政一方面关注债务发行 ...
财政仍有提速空间——4月财政数据点评(申万宏观 · 赵伟团队)
赵伟宏观探索· 2025-05-21 14:40
摘要 事件: 5月20日,财政部公布2025年前4月财政收支情况。前4月,一般公共预算收入80616亿元,同比下 降0.4%;前4月,一般公共预算支出93581亿元,同比增长4.6%。 新增专项债发行进度依然偏慢,后续仍有提速空间。 4月政府性基金支出提速或主因土地出让收入拖累 缓解。地产销售增速仍处低迷态势下,土地出让收入能否持续修复仍需跟踪。当前新增专项债发行进度 依然偏慢,仍有提速空间。截至5月16日,新增专项债发行规模发行进度31%。后续若收入修复态势放 缓,新增专项债或可加速发行支撑较高支出增速。 "增量政策"拉开序幕,金融政策已然先行,后续财政支出节奏及投向或是焦点。 关税"暂缓期"亦是既定 政策加快落地、增量政策加强储备的窗口期。财政一方面关注债务发行使用情况,另一方面重点关注"续 力"的可能。"准财政"或落地较快,关注政金债、PSL等融资情况;预算调整则流程相对较长,重点关注 后续召开的全国人大常委会会议等。 常规跟踪:广义财政收支增速延续提升,前4月预算完成度高于过去五年同期平均 一般财政收入、政府性基金收入均有改善,推动广义财政收入回暖。 2025年4月广义财政收入同比 2.7%,较3月同 ...
财政仍有提速空间——4月财政数据点评(申万宏观 · 赵伟团队)
申万宏源宏观· 2025-05-21 08:38
摘要 事件: 5月20日,财政部公布2025年前4月财政收支情况。前4月,一般公共预算收入80616亿元,同比下 降0.4%;前4月,一般公共预算支出93581亿元,同比增长4.6%。 "增量政策"拉开序幕,金融政策已然先行,后续财政支出节奏及投向或是焦点 广义财政收支增速均有提升,前4月预算完成度均高于过去五年同期平均。 2025年4月,广义财政收入同 比2.7%,广义财政支出同比12.9%,分别较3月同比提升4.4、2.8个百分点;从预算完成度看,前4月广义财 政收入预算完成33%,高于过去五年平均31.8%;广义财政支出预算完成28.4%,略高于过去五年平均 28.2%。 广义财政支出延续提速,或主因政府债务融资支撑。 2025年4月,一般财政收支差-1.3万亿元,规模高于 2020-2024年同期平均为-0.6万亿元,或指向国债、新增一般债等资金对一般财政支持形成有效支撑。当 前国债净融资发行进度明显快于过往。截至5月16日,国债净融资规模达2.4万亿元,发行进度49.4%,明 显高于2024年同期的20.9%。 新增专项债发行进度依然偏慢,后续仍有提速空间。 4月政府性基金支出提速或主因土地出让收入 ...
2025年前4月财政数据点评:财政仍有提速空间
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-05-21 05:44
Revenue and Expenditure Overview - In the first four months of 2025, general public budget revenue was CNY 80,616 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 0.4%[9] - General public budget expenditure reached CNY 93,581 billion, showing a year-on-year increase of 4.6%[9] Fiscal Performance Metrics - In April 2025, broad fiscal revenue grew by 2.7% year-on-year, while broad fiscal expenditure increased by 12.9%, marking improvements of 4.4 and 2.8 percentage points from March respectively[10] - The budget completion rate for broad fiscal revenue in the first four months was 33%, above the five-year average of 31.8%[10] - Broad fiscal expenditure completion rate was 28.4%, slightly above the five-year average of 28.2%[10] Debt Financing and Support - The fiscal deficit reached CNY -1.3 trillion in April 2025, higher than the average deficit of CNY -0.6 trillion from 2020 to 2024, indicating strong support from government debt financing[12] - As of May 16, 2025, net financing of government bonds was CNY 2.4 trillion, with an issuance progress of 49.4%, significantly higher than 20.9% in the same period of 2024[12] Special Bonds and Land Revenue - The issuance progress of new special bonds was 31% as of May 16, 2025, indicating potential for acceleration in the future[15] - Land transfer revenue showed a year-on-year increase of 4% in April 2025, with a significant improvement of 21 percentage points from March[15] Government Fund Revenue and Expenditure - Government fund revenue increased by 8.1% year-on-year in April 2025, with a budget completion rate of 5.3%, higher than the previous year's 4.4%[21] - Government fund expenditure surged by 44.7% year-on-year in April 2025, reflecting a significant increase of over 16 percentage points from March[35]
申万宏源证券晨会报告-20250515
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-05-15 01:13
Core Insights - JD's Q1 2025 revenue reached 301.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.8%, marking the highest quarterly growth rate in three years, with service revenue at 58.8 billion yuan, up 14.0% year-on-year [2][10] - Non-GAAP net profit attributable to ordinary shareholders was 12.8 billion yuan, exceeding expectations by 43.4% [2][10] - The retail revenue of JD grew by 16.3% year-on-year to 263.8 billion yuan, driven by strong user growth and supply chain optimization [2][10] Revenue and Profitability - The group achieved a gross margin of 15.9%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points year-on-year, and a fulfillment gross margin of 9.3%, up 0.5 percentage points year-on-year [3][10] - JD's retail operating profit margin improved by 0.8 percentage points to 4.9% [3][10] - The company continues to enhance its operational efficiency through its supply chain infrastructure and smart integration of business ecosystems [3][10] Business Development - JD's food delivery service surpassed 10 million daily orders as of April 22, 2025, indicating significant progress in this segment [3][10] - The company has repurchased 1.5 billion USD worth of shares, amounting to approximately 2.8% of its outstanding shares as of December 31, 2024 [3][10] - The expansion of the platform into new markets, including Hong Kong and international regions, is ongoing, with a focus on maintaining high growth rates in various product categories [10] Policy and Market Environment - The April Politburo meeting emphasized stabilizing employment and the economy, with a focus on expanding domestic demand and promoting consumption [4][11] - The government is expected to introduce flexible policies to address uncertainties in tariffs and enhance financial support for various sectors [11] - The focus on long-term structural reforms and support for consumer spending is anticipated to drive economic growth in the coming quarters [11]