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建议增配公用事业及电力设备 储能收益改善措施出台 | 投研报告
Group 1: Energy Sector Insights - The report highlights the uncertainty surrounding the entry of new energy sources under Document No. 136, but emphasizes that the dual carbon strategy remains a steadfast guiding principle for China's energy development, suggesting a preference for undervalued quality wind power operators [1] - The new regulations from the China Securities Investment Fund Industry Association and the China Securities Regulatory Commission are expected to significantly impact the asset management industry's behavior, particularly favoring public utilities as a major beneficiary [2][4] - The analysis indicates that the four major hydropower companies have consistently ranked in the top 4% of the entire A-share market in terms of risk-return ratio over the past five years, with leading thermal power companies also performing well [3] Group 2: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on hydropower companies with strong risk resistance and undervalued quality thermal power operators benefiting from declining coal prices, while also suggesting a preference for quality wind power operators [5] - Specific recommendations include: Hydropower: Guotou Power, Changjiang Power, Chuan Investment Energy; Wind Power: Longyuan Power (H), Goldwind Technology (H), Xintian Green Energy, Datang New Energy, China General Nuclear Power; Thermal Power: Waneng Power, Shanghai Electric, China Resources Power, Huadian International, Sheneng Shares [5] - The report also suggests monitoring companies that benefit from the construction of new power systems and those with high risk-return ratios, such as Guodian NARI, Siyi Electric, Pinggao Electric, and Dongfang Electronics [5] Group 3: Energy Storage Developments - The report notes a significant increase in domestic orders for energy storage systems, with a focus on improving the profitability of energy storage stations through various measures, particularly in Shandong province [6] - The overseas demand for energy storage remains strong, with a reported 756.72% year-on-year growth in overseas orders for the first quarter of 2025, approaching a total of 100 GWh [6] - Key suppliers in the energy storage sector, such as Sungrow Power Supply, CATL, and Aters, are expected to benefit from these trends [7]
大能源行业2025年第20周周报:建议增配公用事业及电力设备储能收益改善措施出台-20250518
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-05-18 13:14
Investment Rating - Investment rating: Positive (maintained) [3] Core Viewpoints - The public utility sector is expected to benefit significantly from new trends, particularly due to the recent changes in fund management regulations that emphasize the importance of the "return-risk ratio" [10][12] - The demand for flexible resources in the new power system is driving the growth of energy storage installations, supported by continuous improvements in revenue mechanisms for energy storage stations [6][25] - The report highlights the strong performance of hydropower companies in terms of return-risk ratios, with major players like Yangtze Power and Huaneng Hydropower ranking in the top percentiles of the A-share market [11][12] Summary by Sections Public Utilities - The report suggests increasing allocation to public utilities and power equipment due to the new fund regulations [4][9] - The public utility sector is identified as a major beneficiary of the recent policy changes, which are expected to enhance valuation trends [10][12] Energy Storage - Domestic energy storage utilization is improving, with a total installed capacity of 2.55 GW/5.72 GWh added in Q1 2025 [18] - The report notes that energy storage export orders have surged, with a year-on-year increase of 756.72% in Q1 2025, approaching a total of 100 GWh [25] - Key measures in Shandong province aim to enhance energy storage profitability, including widening the price difference for charging and discharging, and reducing operational costs [5][22] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on resilient hydropower companies and undervalued thermal power operators benefiting from declining coal prices [13] - Specific companies highlighted for investment include: - Hydropower: Guotou Power, Yangtze Power, ChuanTou Energy - Wind Power: Longyuan Power, Goldwind Technology, Datang Renewable - Thermal Power: Anhui Energy, Shanghai Electric, Huaneng International [13]