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突发下跌,全球一夜感冒
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-04 14:53
Market Overview - Global markets are experiencing a significant downturn, with Asian markets leading the decline. The South Korean stock market fell by 2.4%, the Nikkei index dropped by 1.7%, and the Hang Seng index decreased by 0.8% [2]. European markets also faced losses, with France's CAC 40 down by 1.3% and Germany's DAX down by 1.6% [2]. Meanwhile, U.S. stock futures recorded the largest single-day drop since October 10, when Trump threatened 100% tariffs [2]. Market Sentiment - The recent market decline is characterized as a "headless drop," not triggered by a single news event but rather by accumulated negative sentiment [2]. Several Federal Reserve officials made conflicting statements, leading to increased uncertainty among investors who had previously anticipated a rate cut in December [2]. This uncertainty has prompted a defensive stance among investors, resulting in a withdrawal from the market [2]. Expert Warnings - Prominent figures in finance have issued warnings about the market's valuation. At a high-profile financial summit in Hong Kong, several Wall Street leaders reached a rare consensus, cautioning that the stock market could decline by more than 10% in the next 12 to 24 months [2]. Mike Gitlin, CEO of Capital Group, which manages $3 trillion in assets, noted that most investors view the current U.S. stock market as "between reasonable and overpriced," with few considering it "cheap" [2]. Market Risks - Ted Pick from Morgan Stanley echoed similar sentiments, stating that the market has risen too much and is now facing risks from policy errors and geopolitical uncertainties [3]. Ken Griffin, founder of Citadel, remarked that the most extreme market behaviors often occur at the peaks of bull markets and the troughs of bear markets, suggesting that the current market is deep into a bull phase [3]. Upcoming Earnings Reports - Attention is turning to upcoming earnings reports from major companies. If AMD's earnings report is interpreted negatively by the market, it could indicate a shift to a defensive investment mode. Conversely, if AMD performs well and boosts the AI sector, it may lead to a temporary rebound in the market [3].