Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal index has shown strong growth, with significant inflows into the non-ferrous metal ETF fund, indicating a positive market sentiment and robust demand in the sector [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of January 9, 2026, the non-ferrous metal ETF fund (516650) increased by 3.15%, with key holdings such as Yunnan Tin and Xiamen Tungsten hitting the daily limit, and Western Superconducting rising by 9.86% [1]. - The non-ferrous metal ETF fund has experienced continuous net inflows over the past 11 days, totaling 6.446 billion yuan, reaching a new high in both share count (4.716 billion shares) and total scale (9.418 billion yuan) as of January 8, 2026 [1]. Group 2: Industry Outlook - In 2025, various companies accelerated the development of strategic mineral resources to implement the "Non-ferrous Metal Industry Stabilization and Growth Work Plan," leading to an expansion in the asset scale of non-ferrous metal enterprises by the end of September 2025 [1]. - According to a credit analysis by United Credit, the overall credit risk in the non-ferrous metal industry is expected to remain stable in 2026, although structural pressures are prominent [1]. - Upstream resource-based enterprises are likely to maintain stable credit quality supported by prices, while downstream smelting and processing companies will face challenges such as low processing fees and high debt rollover pressure, indicating relatively higher credit risk [1].

Core Insights - The article discusses the impact of macroeconomic factors on various commodities, highlighting the strategic importance of metals like gold, rare earths, tungsten, and tin in the context of global geopolitical tensions and monetary policy shifts [3]. Group 1: Macroeconomic Drivers - The article emphasizes that the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts are leading to increased monetary competition among countries, which is expected to influence commodity prices [3]. - Geopolitical disturbances are driving demand for safe-haven assets, particularly gold, as countries navigate through global uncertainties [3]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The supply-demand landscape for industrial metals such as copper and aluminum is evolving, with emerging industries expected to release significant demand for lithium, diamonds, and nickel [3]. - There is a collective expectation among global nations for policy support to stabilize and enhance the supply-demand balance in the commodities market [3].