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新能源汽车市场结构性调整
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增程车遭遇双面夹击:不仅纯电车卖得好,燃油车也“复苏”了
3 6 Ke· 2025-12-02 10:28
Core Insights - NIO and Li Auto's Q3 financial reports reflect a structural adjustment in the domestic electric vehicle market, indicating a significant decline in consumer interest for small battery range-extended vehicles [1] - In October, Li Auto delivered 31,767 vehicles, while NIO surpassed 40,000 deliveries for the first time this year, with expectations to maintain this momentum in Q4 [1] - The end of tax exemptions for electric vehicles starting in 2026 is expected to accelerate market reshuffling, influenced by policy changes and shifting consumer demand [1] Group 1: Electric Vehicle Market Trends - The majority of new models launched this year are hybrid, with notable exceptions like NIO's ET9 being fully electric [3] - The trend towards larger battery capacities in hybrid models is evident, with some achieving pure electric ranges exceeding 500 km [3] - The sales of range-extended and plug-in hybrid vehicles have been declining, with a 12% drop in sales year-on-year for range-extended vehicles [9] Group 2: Charging Infrastructure Development - By the end of 2024, charging infrastructure in China is expected to achieve county-level coverage across all provinces, with significant growth in the number of charging stations [5] - As of October, the number of charging facilities reached 18.645 million, with a 49.1% year-on-year increase [5] - Companies like Xpeng and NIO are actively expanding their charging networks to enhance accessibility [5][7] Group 3: Performance of Electric Vehicle Manufacturers - Xpeng's sales grew by 190% in the first three quarters, while NIO and Zeekr also reported significant increases [7] - In contrast, Li Auto's sales decreased by approximately 13% year-on-year, with a notable drop of over 30% in monthly deliveries from October to November [7][9] - Li Auto plans to upgrade its L series to enhance battery capacity and pure electric range, responding to user preferences for electric driving [9][10] Group 4: Traditional Fuel Vehicle Market Dynamics - Traditional fuel vehicle sales have seen a temporary resurgence, with a 1.7% increase in sales year-to-date compared to the previous year [11] - Despite this growth, the market share of traditional fuel vehicles is declining, with projections indicating a drop to 49.9% in the first nine months of this year [11] - The long-term outlook suggests that electric vehicles will continue to replace traditional fuel vehicles, particularly in the high-end market segment [11][13]