石破茂昨日下午在社交平台X上的推文 在日本自民党"提前举行总裁选举"的意向确认进行之际，石破茂的举动被认为是为了避免自民党内部出现分裂。 这不是第一次传出石破茂要辞任日本首相一职了。早在一个多月前的7月20日，自民与公明两党大败参议院选举后，自民党内部出现要求日本首相 石破茂辞职的呼声。几天后，7月23日的早晨，石破茂就宣布会在8月底前表明辞职意向。 昨天（7日），日本首相石破茂宣布将辞去自民党总裁一职。并且，他还在当地时间7日下午6点召开记者会，向海内外人士宣布其辞任的决心。 然而就在同一天，美国白宫传来好消息——日美关税谈判顺利降到了15%。或许是得益于这个反转，石破在当天下午的记者会上就表示："还会继 任。" 尽管这一个月的民调显示，石破茂的支持率有所上升，但他仍面临着四面楚歌。自民党内部"乱成一锅粥"，讨论着现任首相的去留问题。 8月8日，自民党召开"两院议员总会"，决定交由党总裁选举管理委员会，确认党籍国会议员和都道府县地方党部对于提前举行总裁选举的意向。这 里解释一下，自民党总裁的任期为3年；而"总裁选举"是自民党内部的领导层选举，通常在首相辞职或任期届满时举行。选举新总裁后，新当选的 党魁通常会 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent Senate election defeat has led to speculation about the potential resignation of Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba, although he has denied such reports and intends to continue his term [1][2]. Trade Agreement - A trade agreement between the U.S. and Japan has been reached, with a 15% tariff rate on Japanese goods, lower than the previously anticipated 25% [1]. - Japan is set to invest $550 billion in the U.S., with the U.S. expected to gain 90% of the profits from this investment, which is projected to create hundreds of thousands of jobs [1]. Political Landscape - The defeat of Ishiba may clear the way for a leadership change within the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), with potential candidates facing significant challenges [2]. - Possible successors include: - **Shinjiro Koizumi**: Represents a younger generation within the LDP and has been involved in policies affecting rice prices, gaining some public support but alienating farmers [3]. - **Sanae Takaichi**: A conservative candidate who could become Japan's first female prime minister, but her policies may raise concerns about increased national debt [4]. - **Yoshimasa Hayashi**: Seen as a continuity candidate and a close aide to Ishiba, known for crisis management [5]. - **Takayuki Kobayashi**: A younger conservative who gained visibility during the last leadership election [6]. - **Fumio Kishida**: Former prime minister who may seek to return to power, though his past resignation due to a political scandal could hinder his chances [7]. - **Katsunobu Kato**: A potential unifying figure within the party, with experience in key government roles [8]. - **Yoshihiko Noda**: Former prime minister who led the Constitutional Democratic Party to significant electoral success but faces challenges in forming a coalition government [9]. - **Yuichiro Tamaki**: Leader of the Democratic Party for the People, whose party has gained ground and could be crucial for the LDP's majority [10]. - **Sohei Kamiya**: Leader of a rising right-wing party, gaining popularity but facing challenges due to radical views [11].