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中国船舶(600150):联合研究|公司点评|中国船舶(600150.SH):中国船舶:与中国远洋海运集团签订500亿元新造船订单,全年新签订单有望持续提升
Changjiang Securities· 2025-12-09 14:15
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Viewpoints - China Shipbuilding Group has signed a new shipbuilding project with China Ocean Shipping Group in Shanghai, involving 87 vessels with a total value of approximately 50 billion RMB, marking the highest single cooperation contract amount for domestic shipbuilding companies in China [2][4]. - The company has enhanced its comprehensive shipbuilding capabilities following the merger with China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation, leading to a robust order backlog and the expectation of continued growth in new orders throughout the year [2][10]. - The lifting of the U.S. 301 investigation measures has alleviated significant pressure on the sector, resulting in a substantial increase in global new orders in November, with a year-on-year growth of 32% and a month-on-month growth of 62% [10]. - The demand for shipping is improving, particularly for oil tankers, which are expected to follow container ship orders, driven by the need for fleet renewal and environmental considerations [10]. Summary by Relevant Sections Company Overview - The new shipbuilding project includes a wide range of vessel types, such as ultra-large container ships, bulk carriers, and oil tankers, with construction primarily handled by subsidiaries of China Shipbuilding [10]. - The company’s order backlog is robust, with orders scheduled until the end of 2028, and some extending to 2029, indicating strong future revenue support [10]. Financial Projections - For the years 2025 and 2026, the company is projected to achieve net profits of 10.315 billion RMB and 18.171 billion RMB, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 25 times and 14 times [10]. - The total revenue is expected to grow significantly, with projected revenues of 78.584 billion RMB in 2024, increasing to 254.252 billion RMB by 2027 [14]. Market Dynamics - The global shipping industry is experiencing a recovery, with increasing demand for new vessels and rising second-hand ship prices, indicating a potential turning point for new ship prices [10]. - The company is well-positioned to attract global shipbuilding orders due to its technological, capacity, and cost advantages, reinforcing its status as a leading player in the shipbuilding sector [10].