Investment Rating - The investment rating for Great Wall Motors is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company reported a strong revenue growth in Q3, achieving a record high for the third quarter, with revenue of 612.47 billion yuan, up 20.5% year-on-year and 17.1% quarter-on-quarter. However, net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 31.2% quarter-on-quarter and 49.9% year-on-year due to declining gross margins and increased investments in direct sales channels and new model promotions [4][5][6] - The company is in a strong new vehicle cycle, with significant sales increases across its brands, particularly in the overseas market, which is expected to continue driving growth [6][7] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1,535.82 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.0%, while net profit was 86.35 billion yuan, down 17.0% year-on-year [4] - Q3 sales reached 353,600 units, a year-on-year increase of 20.2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 13.0%. Notably, the sales of new energy vehicles rose by 49.2% year-on-year [5] - The company adjusted its earnings forecasts for 2025-2026 downwards but raised the forecast for 2027, reflecting a long-term positive outlook due to the continuation of new vehicle cycles and overseas market expansion [4][6] Sales and Market Expansion - The company’s Q3 sales included 11.80 million units of new energy vehicles, marking a significant increase, and overseas sales reached 136,500 units, with a notable growth of 11.2% quarter-on-quarter [5] - The company is actively expanding its product matrix and enhancing its global presence, particularly in South America and Europe, with the launch of new models and local production facilities [6][7] Financial Metrics and Valuation - The projected financial metrics for the upcoming years indicate a revenue growth trajectory, with expected revenues of 229.95 billion yuan in 2025 and 271.35 billion yuan in 2026, alongside a gradual recovery in net profit margins [7][9] - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to be 15.8 for 2025, decreasing to 10.5 by 2027, indicating potential value for investors [7][9]