暑期假日效应

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 49.3%!
 Jing Ji Wang· 2025-07-31 09:28
 Core Insights - The Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for July indicates a slight decline in China's manufacturing and non-manufacturing sectors, reflecting economic pressures [1][2][4]   Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing PMI for July is reported at 49.3%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, indicating contraction [1][2] - Factors contributing to the decline include seasonal production slowdowns and extreme weather conditions such as heatwaves and floods, which have impacted market demand [4] - The production index and new orders index are at 50.5% and 49.4%, respectively, showing a decrease of 0.5 and 0.8 percentage points, while the overall production activity remains in expansion territory [4] - Despite challenges, the high-tech manufacturing and equipment manufacturing sectors continue to show resilience, with PMIs remaining above the critical point [4]   Non-Manufacturing Sector - The non-manufacturing business activity index stands at 50.1%, down 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, but still above the critical threshold [5] - The construction sector has experienced a slowdown due to rainy season impacts, although it remains in expansion territory with a business activity index of 50.6% [5][6] - The summer holiday effect has positively influenced service-related sectors, with indices for transportation and entertainment exceeding 60.0%, indicating robust growth [5]   Economic Outlook - Analysts suggest that the July PMI fluctuations are primarily influenced by short-term factors, and the foundation for economic recovery remains solid [3] - There is an expectation for construction activities to rebound as the rainy season concludes, with infrastructure-related demands anticipated to grow in the second half of the year [6]
 国家统计局公布:49.3%
 Jin Rong Shi Bao· 2025-07-31 07:31
 Core Insights - The July Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data indicates a slight decline in China's manufacturing and non-manufacturing sectors, reflecting economic pressures [1][3][4]   Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing PMI for July is reported at 49.3%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, indicating contraction [1][3] - The production index and new orders index are at 50.5% and 49.4%, respectively, showing a decline of 0.5 and 0.8 percentage points, suggesting a slowdown in market demand [5] - Despite the decline, the manufacturing sector shows resilience with high-tech and equipment manufacturing PMIs remaining above the critical point [5]   Non-Manufacturing Sector - The non-manufacturing business activity index stands at 50.1%, down 0.4 percentage points from June, but still above the critical threshold [1][6] - The service sector remains stable, with a business activity index of 50.0%, slightly down by 0.1 percentage points [6] - The summer holiday effect positively influences service-related sectors such as transportation and entertainment, with indices exceeding 60.0% [6]   Economic Outlook - Experts suggest that the fluctuations in the manufacturing PMI are primarily due to short-term factors, and the foundation for economic recovery remains solid [4] - The construction sector is experiencing a slowdown due to adverse weather conditions, but is expected to rebound as the rainy season ends [6][7]
