最低基准关税
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特朗普:取消关税会给美国带来毁灭性影响
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-11-06 08:07
Core Viewpoint - The tariff case is described as one of the "most important cases in American history" by President Trump, emphasizing that the removal of tariffs would harm the U.S. economy and strategy, potentially leading to devastating consequences for the nation [1] Tariff Policy - In April, the U.S. announced a "reciprocal tariff" policy, implementing a 10% "minimum baseline tariff" on all trade partners, with higher rates for certain partners [1] Supreme Court Hearing - On November 5, the U.S. Supreme Court held a hearing to debate the legality of the government's comprehensive tariff policy, with several justices questioning the Trump administration's justification for imposing high tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) [1] - Chief Justice Roberts noted that these tariffs effectively act as a tax on Americans, which has traditionally been a core power of Congress [1] Economic and Political Impact - The New York Times highlighted the significance of the case, indicating that its outcome could have substantial economic and political implications for U.S. businesses, consumers, and the President's trade policies [1]
海外研究|美国“对等关税”落地,但保留了谈判空间
中信证券研究· 2025-04-03 00:19
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the implications of President Trump's announcement of a new round of "reciprocal tariffs," which raises the actual tariff rate on mainland China to 54%, exceeding market expectations of 10% [1][2]. Tariff Details - The tariffs on China are based on the existing 20% tariff, resulting in an effective rate of 54%, which is higher than the previously anticipated 10% [2]. - The reciprocal tariffs will affect several regions, with significant impacts on mainland China (34%), the EU (20%), Vietnam (46%), Taiwan (32%), and Southeast Asian countries [2]. - Trump announced a 25% tariff on imported cars, effective April 3, but did not mention any additional tariffs related to value-added tax [2]. Market Reactions - Following Trump's announcement, U.S. stock futures dropped sharply, with the Nasdaq 100 futures falling over 3% [3]. - European assets initially rose but then retreated after the tariff announcement, while the euro and eurozone sovereign bond yields increased before declining [3][4]. - The offshore RMB weakened slightly, reaching 7.3, while gold prices remained strong despite fluctuations in the dollar [4]. Future Considerations - The article suggests that the displayed tariff differences may indicate a potential endpoint for U.S. tariff policy, but the actual execution may fall short of verbal communications [4]. - The market's fear regarding tariffs may have peaked, but uncertainty remains, particularly concerning the outcomes of U.S.-China negotiations [5]. - Observations should focus on the shift in U.S.-China relations from "sanction-counter-sanction" to "managing differences-risk prevention," as this will continue to influence asset prices [5].