有机硅供需格局

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化工新材料:有机硅及供需格局分析(附32页PPT)
材料汇· 2025-06-22 15:11
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the diversity and wide application of silicone products, particularly polysiloxane, which includes silicone rubber, silicone oil, and silicone resin. In 2022, silicone rubber accounted for approximately 70% of polysiloxane consumption in China, with room temperature and high-temperature adhesives being the main varieties [1][10][12]. - The main application areas for polysiloxane in China in 2022 were electronics (21.2%), power/new energy (17.3%), construction (16.3%), textiles (9.5%), and medical/personal care (8.7%) [1][16][18]. Group 2 - The supply-demand structure of the silicone industry is expected to improve, with limited new production capacity anticipated in the future. The overall supply is currently exceeding demand, leading to price pressure. However, the demand for silicone products has been robust, with a projected apparent consumption of 1.82 million tons in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 20.9% [2][3][64]. - The export scale of silicone products from China has shown an overall growth trend, with an expected export of 550,000 tons of primary polysiloxane in 2024, and a compound annual growth rate of approximately 14.3% from 2017 to 2024 [3][64]. Group 3 - The article suggests that the silicone industry is likely to see a recovery in its overall prosperity due to the anticipated growth in both domestic and international demand, while supply expansion is expected to approach its limits. This is expected to lead to a gradual increase in the industry's operating rate [3][64]. - The current profitability of silicone intermediates is at a historical low, but there is an expectation for gradual recovery in the industry's prosperity in the future [3][64]. Group 4 - Investment recommendations highlight the diverse range of silicone products and their wide applications, with the supply side expected to see limited new capacity while the demand side is anticipated to maintain rapid growth, leading to a potential recovery in industry prosperity [4].