2025 年 12 月 27 日 基础化工 有机硅：供给"反内卷"与需求超预期 引子：有机硅行业的发展轨迹，是中国化工产业在转型期的典 型缩影。在新旧动能转换的大势之中，传统领域如房地产需求放 缓确实引发了产品价格周期性调整，然而这一过程也激发了有机 硅在新兴领域的渗透率及单位用量的积极增长，在行业景气较低 阶段依然维持了较好的需求增速。此外伴随行业集中度提高以及 近期"反内卷"升温，有机硅供给侧亦存在结构性优化机会。据 此我们对两个问题进行重点分析：①行业反内卷后续将如何演 绎？②具备超预期潜力的新兴需求领域有哪些？ 协同机制基础夯实，关注减产执行刚性 行业专题 国内有机硅产能扩张周期已逐步落幕，2019-2024 年，我国有机硅产 能从 151.5 万吨增至 344.0 万吨，CAGR 达 17.8%，后续虽有新疆其 亚、云南能投等新增产能规划在建，但具体落地层面的不确定性或使 实际投放有限，供给侧压力依然有望逐步缓解。行业产能集中度则持 续提升，2025 年 CR4 或达 54.7%，形成"一超多强"格局，为"反内 卷"协同奠定基础。2025 年 11 月起，有机硅行业协同会议三连发，对 减产规划和监督 ...

分红方面，晨化股份A股上市后累计派现3.50亿元。近三年，累计派现1.51亿元。 责任编辑：小浪快报 资料显示，扬州晨化新材料股份有限公司位于江苏省宝应县淮江大道999号，成立日期1995年5月12日， 上市日期2017年2月13日，公司主营业务涉及以氧化烯烃、脂肪醇、硅氧烷等为主要原料的精细化工新 材料系列产品的研发、生产和销售。主营业务收入构成为：表面活性剂81.58%，阻燃剂11.11%，硅橡 胶6.48%，其他(补充)0.83%。 晨化股份所属申万行业为：基础化工-化学制品-其他化学制品。所属概念板块包括：微盘股、小盘、有 机硅、页岩气、电解液等。 截至12月19日，晨化股份股东户数1.40万，较上期增加0.00%；人均流通股11516股，较上期增加 0.00%。2025年1月-9月，晨化股份实现营业收入6.53亿元，同比减少4.76%；归母净利润5281.04万元， 同比减少20.80%。 12月23日，晨化股份盘中上涨2.28%，截至13:04，报12.12元/股，成交4067.32万元，换手率2.12%，总 市值26.06亿元。 资金流向方面，主力资金净流出89.47万元，大单买入501.64万 ...

（记者 王晓波） 每经AI快讯，有投资者在投资者互动平台提问：请问晨化的业务是否同硅、磷化工及锂电池电解液有 关联？晨化不要止步不前，要争做一流公司。上市八周年了，该拿出点东西来鼓励一下士气、回报一下 股东了。 晨化股份（300610.SZ）12月18日在投资者互动平台表示：1.公司硅橡胶、阻燃剂业务与硅、磷化工行 业发展紧密相关；公司控股子公司晨化（福州）科技发展有限公司与大连疆大工业催化有限公司签订 《技术推广合作协议》，在电解液用碳酸酯溶剂新生产工艺和催化剂技术方面进行合作推广，如有重大 进展公司会及时披露。2.公司一直以来高度重视投资者回报，公司认为现金分红是上市公司回报投资者 的最直接、最有效路径之一。自上市以来，公司已累计实施9次现金分红，累计派发现金股利3.50亿 元，而公司上市的募集资金总额为2.64亿元；公司于2025年5月推出股票回购计划（本次回购的股份将 全部用于注销并减少注册资本）以向市场传递积极信号，以提振市场信心，截至2025年11月30日，公司 通过股份回购专用证券账户以集中竞价交易方式累计回购公司股份数量为2,046,500股，占公司总股本的 0.9518%；公司全资子公司淮安 ...

合盛硅业（603260）董事长罗立国的创业史，正是企业精神"积于跬步，凌于高峰"的生动注脚。他以三 十余年的笃行，践行着"专注硅基新材料，创造美好生活"的企业使命，完成了一场从传统手工业到全球 硅业巨擘的壮阔攀登。 他的"积于跬步"，始于最质朴的起点。1989年，从慈溪一家生产草帽的工艺品厂开始，罗立国在每一顶 编织帽中锤炼对品质与市场的理解。这份源自基层的扎实积累，成为他日后一切宏图伟业的坚实基底。 世纪之交，他敏锐地"积"下关键一步：转向硅材料产业。这并非一时追逐风口，而是基于对工业发展脉 搏的深刻洞察所进行的长期铺垫。 真正的"凌于高峰"，在于其攀登产业巅峰的战略胆魄。当企业在硅材料领域站稳脚跟后，罗立国展现 了"凌"的魄力。2009年，他逆流而上，远赴新疆戈壁打造行业首个"煤、电、硅"一体化产业园，以超前 的全产业链布局，构筑了无可比拟的成本与规模优势。2017年，他再次作出关键抉择，在公司上市后全 力聚焦硅基主业，精准踏上了全球新能源爆发的浪潮之巅。这一系列决策，驱动合盛硅业从行业的追赶 者，一跃成为工业硅与有机硅产能雄踞世界前列的领军者。 罗立国的故事，是一部"积跬步"以"凌高峰"的实干教科书。他 ...

证券日报网12月10日讯宏柏新材在回答调研者提问时表示，公司始终坚持以客户需求为导向，在巩固含 硫硅烷行业领先地位的同时，逐步拓展硅基新材料的深加工，提高产品的附加值，增强公司市场综合竞 争力和抗风险能力。未来三年公司将重点从以下四个方面进行规划：一是持续推动重点项目建设。聚焦 功能性硅烷主业，加快推进公司已建项目的产能释放速度和效率的同时，因地制宜快速推进泰国宏柏、 九江宏柏项目的建设进度，以创新引领高端布局，聚力优势产业强链、补链、延链。二是充分发挥迈图 宏柏在产品技术、品牌、市场渠道等方面优势。进一步提升公司特种硅烷产品在国内外市场的市场竞争 力。三是持续加大技术研发与创新投入。围绕含硫硅烷、其他品种硅烷、气相白炭黑和硅橡胶等主要产 品，开展一系列技术创新和工艺优化工作，推动产品的升级换代并提升市场竞争力。四是持续优化企业 管理与团队建设。推进企业管理标准化，进一步完善企业管理标准体系，通过有效地实施和监督，确保 各项制度得到切实执行。企业管理标准化的推进，将进一步提升公司的运营效率和管理水平，为公司的 可持续发展提供有力保障。 （文章来源：证券日报） ...

Core Points - The stock price of Chenhua Co., Ltd. increased by 2.01% on December 1, reaching 12.18 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 2.619 billion CNY [1] - Year-to-date, the stock has risen by 24.27%, with a 7.41% increase over the last five trading days [2] Company Overview - Chenhua Co., Ltd. was established on May 12, 1995, and went public on February 13, 2017. The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of fine chemical new materials, primarily using olefin oxide, fatty alcohol, and siloxane as raw materials [2] - The main revenue composition includes surfactants (81.58%), flame retardants (11.11%), silicone rubber (6.48%), and others (0.83%) [2] - The company is classified under the basic chemical industry, specifically in chemical products and other chemical products [2] Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Chenhua Co., Ltd. reported a revenue of 653 million CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 4.76%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 52.81 million CNY, down 20.80% year-on-year [2] - The company has distributed a total of 350 million CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 151 million CNY distributed over the past three years [3] Shareholder Information - As of November 20, the number of shareholders for Chenhua Co., Ltd. was 15,400, a decrease of 1.91% from the previous period, with an average of 10,469 circulating shares per shareholder, an increase of 1.95% [2]

Core Viewpoint - On November 21, Chenhua Co., Ltd. experienced a decline of 5.06%, with a stock price of 11.64 yuan per share, a trading volume of 59.11 million yuan, a turnover rate of 3.08%, and a total market capitalization of 2.503 billion yuan [1] Company Overview - Chenhua Co., Ltd. is located at 999 Huaijiang Avenue, Baoying County, Jiangsu Province, and was established on May 12, 1995. The company was listed on February 13, 2017. Its main business involves the research, production, and sales of fine chemical new materials, primarily using olefin oxides, fatty alcohols, and siloxanes as raw materials [1] - The revenue composition of the company includes: surfactants 81.58%, flame retardants 11.11%, silicone rubber 6.48%, and others 0.83% [1] Fund Holdings - From the perspective of the top ten holdings of funds, data shows that one fund under Xinghua Fund has a significant position in Chenhua Co., Ltd. The Xinghua Jinghe Mixed Initiation A (024499) held 130,200 shares in the third quarter, accounting for 4.17% of the fund's net value, ranking as the eighth largest holding. The estimated floating loss today is approximately 80,700 yuan [2] Fund Performance - Xinghua Jinghe Mixed Initiation A (024499) was established on June 12, 2025, with a latest scale of 25.1421 million yuan and a cumulative return of 24.87% since inception [3] - The fund managers are Cui Tao and Huang Shengpeng. As of the report, Cui Tao has a tenure of 2 years and 170 days, managing a total fund size of 160 million yuan, with the best return during his tenure being 27.64% and the worst being -6.1%. Huang Shengpeng has a tenure of 1 year and 303 days, managing a total fund size of 37.0614 million yuan, with the best return during his tenure being 53.93% and the worst being 8.19% [4]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Changcheng Securities indicates that the performance of Hoshine Silicon Industry is under pressure in the first three quarters of 2025 due to a decline in sales volume and prices of main products, as well as losses from the photovoltaic sector [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Hoshine Silicon Industry's industrial silicon products saw a quarter-on-quarter increase in both volume and price in Q3 2025, while silicone rubber sales also grew quarter-on-quarter [1] - Despite the growth in certain segments, the overall price of main products remains on a downward trend, awaiting a bottoming out of industry conditions [1] Group 2: Industry Outlook - The advancement of the "anti-involution" initiative in the crystalline silicon photovoltaic industry is expected to support a rebound in prices for industrial silicon and organic silicon products, which would benefit the company's performance [1] - The company is implementing an employee stock ownership plan to strengthen team cohesion, which is favorable for long-term development [1] - The report maintains a "buy" rating, optimistic about the recovery of the silicon industry under the "anti-involution" backdrop [1]

11月19日，晨化股份盘中下跌2.02%，截至10:41，报12.10元/股，成交3129.46万元，换手率1.59%，总 市值26.02亿元。 资金流向方面，主力资金净流出216.29万元，大单买入202.03万元，占比6.46%，卖出418.32万元，占比 13.37%。 晨化股份今年以来股价涨23.46%，近5个交易日涨1.00%，近20日涨6.42%，近60日跌7.49%。 资料显示，扬州晨化新材料股份有限公司位于江苏省宝应县淮江大道999号，成立日期1995年5月12日， 上市日期2017年2月13日，公司主营业务涉及以氧化烯烃、脂肪醇、硅氧烷等为主要原料的精细化工新 材料系列产品的研发、生产和销售。主营业务收入构成为：表面活性剂81.58%，阻燃剂11.11%，硅橡 胶6.48%，其他(补充)0.83%。 晨化股份所属申万行业为：基础化工-化学制品-其他化学制品。所属概念板块包括：有机硅、电解液、 磷化工、新材料、小盘等。 截至11月10日，晨化股份股东户数1.57万，较上期增加9.03%；人均流通股10269股，较上期减少 8.28%。2025年1月-9月，晨化股份实现营业收入6.53亿元，同比 ...

Summary of Silicon Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The organic silicon industry is experiencing rapid growth in downstream demand, particularly in emerging sectors such as electronics, power, and renewable energy, which now account for 40% of consumption, offsetting the decline in traditional construction sectors [1][2][16] - The apparent consumption of organic silicon is projected to grow at an annual rate of nearly 10% from 2008 to 2024, increasing from 360,000 tons in 2008 to 1,820,000 tons in 2024 [2][16] Capacity and Production - Global organic silicon capacity is continuously increasing, with China contributing 75% of the total capacity, which is expected to reach 4.25 million tons by 2024 [3] - Major overseas producers are gradually exiting the market, with Dow's UK Barry plant set to close in 2026, removing 145,000 tons of capacity, marking the first global capacity reduction since 2018 [5][10] Price Trends and Profitability - The current price cycle of the organic silicon industry resembles that of 2016-2018, characterized by the exit of overseas capacity and a lack of new domestic capacity, leading to improved demand from emerging sectors [6][15] - Organic silicon prices have recently increased by 1,000 CNY per ton, providing significant profit elasticity for leading companies like Dongyue and Xin'an, despite many companies currently operating at a loss [4][12] - The price is currently around 11,000 CNY, with expectations for profit recovery as supply-demand dynamics improve and anti-dumping measures are implemented [15][17] Future Outlook - There are no new production capacity plans from Chinese companies for 2025 and 2026, although Xinjiang Qiya Group has proposed a 400,000-ton project, its timeline remains uncertain [7] - The closure of Dow's plant is expected to enhance global supply-demand balance and boost Chinese exports, particularly as Europe faces a ceramics supply gap [10][11] - The industry is shifting towards high-value-added products, such as silicone oils and resins, to stabilize profits and reduce reliance on low-cost raw material supply [14] Key Takeaways - The organic silicon industry is poised for growth driven by emerging sectors, with significant changes in global capacity dynamics favoring Chinese producers [1][3][10] - Price recovery is anticipated, supported by improved supply-demand fundamentals and strategic industry adjustments [4][15][17] - The focus on high-value products and the exit of overseas competitors will likely reshape the competitive landscape, enhancing profitability for leading firms [12][14]