期权定价理论
Search documents
一个公式,让他狂赚超10亿!
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-07 11:11
提到期权,那就必须了解一位期权界的顶级大师。他叫罗伯特·莫顿,被称为"期权之父",是1997年诺 贝尔经济学奖获得者,美国国家科学院院士,美国哈佛大学商学院金融学教授。他开创了"金融工程 学"这一全新领域,还曾在短时间内赚取了超过10亿美元的巨额财富。 11岁开始炒股并获利 来源:懂私慕 近年来,我国期权市场发展迅猛,目前已拥有期权品种70余个,涵盖金融、农产品、能源、化工、黑 色、有色、贵金属等板块。 1944年,莫顿出生在美国纽约的一个8000人左右的小镇,据说这个小镇出了6位诺贝尔奖得主,这对莫 顿的影响非常大。 他的父亲是社会学界的泰斗——罗伯特·K·莫顿,著名"马太效应"的提出者。在莫顿小时候,父亲就教 他学习棒球、扑克、魔术和股票,还为他提供了各种各样的书籍。因而11岁时,聪颖的莫顿就买了人生 第一只股票——通用汽车,并从中获利。15岁时,他还动手改装了他的第一辆汽车,当时他的梦想是做 名汽车工程师。 "现代金融理论的牛顿" 之后,他进入加州理工数学系后,几乎每天都在当地的证券公司待上几个小时,进行交易并关注市场。 莫顿在那段时期将梦想从成为工程师转向成为一名经济学家。莫顿后来转入了麻省理工学习经 ...
白糖期货波动加大 关注系列期权参与机会
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2025-09-28 23:29
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the impact of Brazil's sugar production data on sugar futures prices, leading to increased volatility and potential investment strategies using sugar options [1][6] - Sugar series options are the first short-term commodity options in China, with a shorter duration of approximately 2.5 months compared to conventional options, allowing investors to realize strategies and returns in a shorter trading window [2] - The cost advantage of sugar series options is significant, as their premiums are generally lower due to reduced time value, making them cost-effective tools for risk management and investment, especially for short-term hedging needs [2][5] Group 2 - Sugar series options exhibit a higher Theta value, indicating faster time decay, which provides differentiated opportunities for investors; sellers can benefit from quicker time value gains, while buyers may achieve better returns during rapid market fluctuations [3] - The implied volatility curve of sugar series options is typically steeper due to the short duration, reflecting market sentiment and risk events more rapidly, which can enhance opportunities for volatility trading and various strategies [4] - Sugar series options are particularly suitable for capturing event-driven market movements and managing short-term price volatility risks, making them ideal tools for efficient risk management in rapidly changing markets [5] Group 3 - Brazil's sugar production data shows an increase in sugar output and cane crushing, but concerns remain about the sustainability of this growth due to economic factors favoring ethanol production over sugar [6] - Investors can consider strategies such as buying call options at a strike price of 5700 yuan/ton to capture potential price increases while minimizing margin requirements, or purchasing put options at 5300 yuan/ton to protect long positions [7] - Current sugar volatility is at a medium level, and if volatility decreases, there may be potential losses on call options, indicating the need for careful consideration of volatility when making investment decisions [7]
波动率与期权
Qi Huo Ri Bao Wang· 2025-09-15 00:44
Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of understanding volatility in options trading, highlighting that a precise grasp of volatility is key to improving trading success rates [1][2] - It distinguishes between price fluctuations and volatility itself, explaining that price fluctuations are actual market movements, while volatility measures the intensity of these movements [1][2] - The concept of volatility has evolved from traditional commodity trading, where price changes were the main focus, to a critical variable in options pricing models [2][3] Group 2 - Historical volatility is defined as the standard deviation of price changes over a specific period, often annualized for practical use, and serves as a reference for predicting future volatility [3][5] - Implied volatility, in contrast, reflects market participants' expectations of future price fluctuations and is derived from observed market prices, acting as a gauge of market sentiment [4][5] - The relationship between historical and implied volatility is significant, as changes in one can influence the other, indicating potential future price movements [5]