期货与期权风险管理
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胶版印刷纸期货上市首日运行平稳 产业企业积极参与
Qi Huo Ri Bao Wang· 2025-09-10 19:40
Core Viewpoint - The launch of the newsprint futures on September 10 has attracted significant market participation, indicating a potential shift in the dynamics of the printing paper industry, particularly in terms of risk management and pricing stability [1][2][3]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The main contract for newsprint futures closed at 4208 yuan/ton on its first trading day, a slight decrease of 10 yuan/ton from the listing price, reflecting a 0.24% drop [1]. - The secondary contract showed a stronger performance, closing at 4218 yuan/ton, indicating expectations of improved demand during peak consumption seasons [1]. - Trading volume reached 21,900 contracts with a total transaction value of 3.703 billion yuan, highlighting active market engagement [1]. Group 2: Industry Challenges - The newsprint industry is facing overcapacity, with an operating rate around 55%, and a slowdown in downstream consumption growth [3]. - Factors affecting long-term demand include the digitalization trend replacing printed materials and a decline in birth rates impacting educational material needs [3]. - The overall profit margins in the industry are under pressure, with many companies operating at minimal profit or even losses due to the inability to pass on costs effectively [3][4]. Group 3: Risk Management and Future Outlook - The introduction of newsprint futures and options is expected to provide production companies with tools to stabilize their pricing and improve competitiveness [2][4]. - Companies are encouraged to engage in risk management strategies, such as using options to hedge against price fluctuations, which could enhance profitability [4]. - The development of a comprehensive risk management framework combining futures and options is seen as crucial for improving the resilience and competitiveness of the industry, especially in international markets [4].
运行平稳 产业企业积极参与
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2025-09-10 16:02
胶版印刷纸期货上市首日 9月10日,胶版印刷纸期货在上期所挂牌交易。上市首日,主力2601合约收于4208元/吨,较4218元/吨 的挂牌基准价下跌10元/吨,跌幅为0.24%。次主力2603合约收于4218元/吨,较主力合约升水10元/吨。 宋霁鹏告诉期货日报记者,胶版印刷纸生产成本的重要构成纸浆(占比65%~70%)价格今年以来整体 低位震荡,虽在一定程度上缓解了造纸企业的成本压力,但胶版印刷纸市场供过于求,价格传导不畅, 企业难以通过提高产品价格来提升利润,行业整体利润空间被压缩,多数企业处于微利甚至亏损边缘。 数据显示,截至9月10日下午收盘,胶版印刷纸期货成交2.19万手(单边,下同),成交金额37.03亿 元,持仓0.29万手,成交持仓比7.42。 兴业期货分析师杨帆认为,在过剩格局下,行业利润整体不佳,企业开展风险管理的重要性凸显,适度 参与纸浆及胶版印刷纸期权,能够有效平衡期货头寸。例如买入期权保护或替代原有期货头寸以规避风 险,或者卖出期权增加收益以修正基差或价差。通过构建期货与期权相结合的风险管理体系,并且灵活 调整头寸的比例,企业能够从容应对各类行情,最终大幅提升盈利能力。 上期所数据显 ...