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部分钢厂厂内库存在偏高水平 焦炭期货仍低位震荡
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-09-28 03:06
目前来看,焦炭行情呈现震荡下行走势,盘面表现偏弱。对于焦炭后市行情将如何运行,相关机构观点 汇总如下: 9月26日夜盘,国内期市黑色金属板块多数飘绿。其中,焦炭期货主力合约开盘报1699.5元/吨,盘中低 位震荡运行;截至收盘,焦炭主力最高触及1701.0元,下方探低1671.5元,跌幅达2.73%。 国信期货指出,焦炭现货价格下跌,焦企利润下降,开工积极性下滑,焦炭日均产量环比收缩。需求方 面,钢厂开工积极性存在,钢联数据显示上周日均铁水产量回升至240万吨以上高位,真实需求在高 位。部分钢厂厂内焦炭库存在偏高水平,继续增库动能不足,按需采购为主。盘面震荡运行,建议短线 操作。 中辉期货分析称,焦炭开启第一轮提涨,尚未落地。焦企利润尚可,现货生产相对稳定。铁水产量环比 小幅增加,维持高位运行,原料需求较高。焦炭本身供需相对平衡,跟随焦煤区间运行。 大越期货表示,受节前备货带动,下游刚性需求有所增加,短期内对焦炭市场形成一定支撑。然而,终 端消费仍显疲软,成材库存压力未消,加之多数钢厂原料库存偏高,节前补库空间有限,焦炭供需格局 呈现边际改善态势,预计短期焦炭或暂稳运行。焦炭2601:1700-1750区间操 ...
纯碱期货日报-20250917
Guo Jin Qi Huo· 2025-09-17 11:12
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core View of the Report - On September 12, 2025, the chemical market sentiment was weak, and the soda ash market fluctuated. The demand side has not improved significantly, and downstream industries prefer to replenish inventory at low prices with weak willingness to stockpile. The increase in the daily melting volume of the float glass and photovoltaic glass industries has boosted the rigid demand for soda ash. Currently, the supply - demand drivers for soda ash are still insufficient, and the futures market is expected to continue to fluctuate. Follow - up attention should be paid to the progress of new production capacity, the implementation of anti - involution policies, and changes in macro - sentiment [8] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market 3.1.1 Contract Quotes - On September 12, 2025, the soda ash futures market fluctuated. The opening price of soda ash 2601 (SA601) was 1285 yuan/ton, the highest price was 1295 yuan/ton, the lowest price was 1271 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 1290 yuan/ton, up 4 yuan/ton or 0.39% from the previous trading day's settlement price. The trading volume was 1.271 million lots, an increase of 168,000 lots from the previous day, and the open interest was 1.442 million lots, an increase of 1610 lots from the previous day [2] 3.1.2 Variety Prices - The opening price of soda ash 2509 was 1164 yuan/ton, the highest price was 1170 yuan/ton, the lowest price was 1151 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 1163 yuan/ton, up 4 yuan/ton or 0.35%. The trading volume was 6130 lots, and the open interest was 230 lots. The opening price of soda ash 2605 was 1361 yuan/ton, the highest price was 1370 yuan/ton, the lowest price was 1346 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 1368 yuan/ton, up 13 yuan/ton or 0.96%. The trading volume was 212,054 lots, and the open interest was 36,273 lots [3] 3.2 Influencing Factors 3.2.1 Industry Chain - Related - The spot price of 5.00mm large - size glass in North China dropped 10 yuan to 1150 yuan/ton; the Northeast market was stable with good overall sales; the East China market was mainly in narrow - range adjustment with some enterprises' prices rising; the Central China market changed little [6] 3.2.2 Fundamental - Related - Recently, the supply of the soda ash market has remained high, and the industry's operating rate has increased slightly. In terms of profits, the profits of the two main production methods of synthetic soda ash have shown differentiation this week. The theoretical profit of the combined soda process is - 54.50 yuan/ton, a decrease of 6.50 yuan/ton compared to the previous period. The theoretical profit of the ammonia - soda process is - 36.30 yuan/ton, an increase of 0.90 yuan/ton compared to the previous period [6]