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保险预定利率降至2%及以下 “末班车效应”下多款产品受追捧
Core Viewpoint - The China Insurance Industry Association has triggered a downward adjustment of the preset interest rates for life insurance products, with the current research value for ordinary life insurance products set at 1.99%, below the existing cap of 2.5% for two consecutive quarters [1][3]. Group 1: Rate Adjustments - The maximum preset interest rate for ordinary life insurance products has been lowered from 2.5% to 2%, while the maximum for participating products has decreased from 2% to 1.75%, and the minimum guaranteed rate for universal life products has been reduced from 1.5% to 1% [1][3]. - This is the first time the dynamic adjustment mechanism for preset interest rates has been triggered since its establishment [2]. - The adjustment reflects a significant downward shift, with the maximum preset interest rates for ordinary and universal life insurance products both reduced by 0.5% [3][4]. Group 2: Market Reactions - There is a "last train effect" observed, with a surge in sales of products offering the previous 2.5% rate expected throughout August [2]. - Popular products, particularly those with a 2.5% preset interest rate, are seeing increased demand from clients [5][6]. - Some clients are actively seeking to purchase these products, indicating a rational approach rather than panic buying [6]. Group 3: Product Development Trends - The adjustment in preset interest rates is expected to influence product development, registration, and sales processes within insurance companies [4]. - The lower preset interest rates are likely to drive a shift towards participating insurance products, which have more flexible dividend distribution mechanisms [4][9]. - The proportion of new participating insurance products has significantly increased, with 33% of new life insurance products launched in the first half of 2025 being participating insurance [8]. Group 4: Financial Implications - The reduction in preset interest rates will lead to decreased returns on savings-type insurance products, with potential earnings dropping significantly over long-term investments [7]. - Long-term critical illness and term life insurance premiums may rise, with estimates suggesting a potential increase of up to 30% following the rate adjustment [7]. - The shift towards floating yield products is seen as a strategy to lower liability costs and maintain profit margins amid declining investment yields [9].