宏观流动性： 上周美元指数回升，中美利差"倒挂"程度有所收敛。10Y 美债名义/实际利率均回落，通胀预期回落。离岸美元流动 性有所收紧，国内银行间资金面均衡，期限利差(10Y-1Y)走阔。 交易热度、波动与流动性： 市场交易热度有所回落，除科创 50 外，其余主要指数的波动率回升。行业上，化工、纺服、房地产、消费者服务、商 贸零售、轻工等板块交易热度在 80%分位数以上，电新、电子的波动率处于 80%历史分位数以上。 机构调研： 电子、医药、电新、机械、有色等板块调研热度居前，石油石化、房地产、非银等板块的调研热度环比仍在上升。 分析师预测： 全 A 的 25/26 年净利润预测同时被上调。行业上，金融地产、机械、军工、农林牧渔、钢铁等板块 25/26 年净利润预 测均被上调。指数上，中证 500、沪深 300 的 25/26 年净利润预测均被上调，创业板指、上证 50 则分别被下调/上调。 风格上，小盘成长、中盘价值的 25/26 年的净利润预测均被上调，小盘价值均被下调，中盘成长分别被上调/下调， 大盘成长/价值则分别被下调/上调。 北上活跃度回落，整体继续大幅净卖出 A 股 基于前 10 大活跃股口径， ...

| US FRANCE A ... | 机构资金参与个股- | | | --- | --- | --- | | 证券简称 | 目涨跌幅 | 机构净买入(万元) | | 大中矿业 | -10.00% | 12967.44 | | 德力佳 | 1.68% | 12940.98 | | 欢瑞世纪 | 9.97% | 8025.93 | | 海峡园峡 | -8.83% | 6563.65 | | 值得买 | 9.05% | 5748.69 | | 长江材料 | 10.00% | 4687.55 | | 海马汽车 | -9.95% | 4383.82 | | 北新路桥 | 9.98% | 2893.05 | | 中富电路 | 17.75% | 2410.36 | | 北方长龙 | 12.42% | 1883.73 | | 中国海防 | 10.02% | 1657.98 | | 京粮控股 | 10.00% | 1013.12 | | 铁拓机械 | 18.20% | 719.30 | | *ST万方 | 5.07% | 136.97 | | 安妮股份 | 4.99% | 14.41 | | 猎子岛 | 9.47% | -1 ...

| 18 序 | E 11.18 | | | --- | --- | --- | | | 机构资金参与个股一 | | | 证券简称 | ■涨跌幅 | 机构净买入(万元) | | 初灵信息 | 10.64% | 14976.84 | | 德力佳 | 5.94% | 12472.38 | | 大为股份 | 9.99% | 10189.57 | | 亚翔集成 | 10.00% | 8140.72 | | 永太科技 | -6.96% | 7596.86 | | 榕基软件 | 10.00% | 7261.88 | | 海陆重工 | -9.96% | 3222.43 | | 康芝药业 | 6.30% | 2553.51 | | 富亚国际 | 20.01% | 2210.18 | | 石大胜华 | -10.00% | 1538.12 | | 江龙船艇 | -2.02% | 1121.77 | | 思创医惠 | 20.00% | 1020.40 | | 中富通 | -3.19% | 841.19 | | 数字人 | 4.49% | 495.30 | | 视觉中国 | 10.00% | 373.73 | | 欣龙控股 | 10 ...

Core Insights - On November 13, a total of 35 stocks were involved with institutional investors, with 21 showing net buying and 14 showing net selling [1] - The top three stocks with the highest net buying by institutions were Haibo Sichuang, Tianci Materials, and Wanrun New Energy, with net buying amounts of 609 million, 238 million, and 194 million respectively [1] - The top three stocks with the highest net selling by institutions were Tianji Co., Yongtai Technology, and Fangzheng Electric, with net selling amounts of 798 million, 323 million, and 9.25 million respectively [1] Institutional Buying Summary - Haibo Sichuang experienced a price increase of 20.00% with a net buying amount of 609.38 million [2] - Tianci Materials saw a price increase of 10.00% with a net buying amount of 237.84 million [2] - Wanrun New Energy had a price increase of 17.82% with a net buying amount of 193.77 million [2] - Other notable stocks with net buying include Haike Xinyuan (20.01%, 134.71 million), Yingweike (10.00%, 114.55 million), and Shangneng Electric (20.00%, 114.53 million) [2] Institutional Selling Summary - Tianji Co. had a price decrease of 3.66% with a net selling amount of 797.77 million [3] - Yongtai Technology experienced a price increase of 9.99% but had a significant net selling amount of 322.76 million [3] - Fangzheng Electric saw a price decrease of 7.92% with a net selling amount of 9.25 million [3] - Other notable stocks with net selling include Danan Biotechnology (-0.77%, -359.12 million) and Longma Pharmaceutical (9.99%, -6181.82 million) [3]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - On November 12, a total of 46 stocks were involved with institutional investors, with 17 stocks showing net buying and 29 stocks showing net selling. Group 1: Institutional Net Buying - The top three stocks with the highest net buying by institutions were: - Aerospace Intelligent Equipment: Net buying amount of 175 million CNY, with a price increase of 16.57% [1][2] - Huayu Mining: Net buying amount of 96.63 million CNY, with a price increase of 8.65% [1][2] - Jianfa Zhixin: Net buying amount of 81.76 million CNY, with a price increase of 14.64% [1][2] Group 2: Institutional Net Selling - The top three stocks with the highest net selling by institutions were: - *ST Songfa: Net selling amount of 142.24 million CNY [1][3] - Yunhan Xincheng: Net selling amount of 12.7 million CNY [1][3] - Zhongsheng Pharmaceutical: Net selling amount of 9.902 million CNY [1][3]

Core Insights - On November 5, a total of 36 stocks were involved with institutional investors, with 22 showing net buying and 14 showing net selling [1] - The top three stocks with the highest net buying by institutions were Aters (阿特斯) at 391.14 million yuan, Zhongtung High-tech (中钨高新) at 168.33 million yuan, and Sifang Co., Ltd. (四方股份) at 132.32 million yuan [1][2] - The top three stocks with the highest net selling by institutions were Zhenhua Holdings (振华股份) at 197.47 million yuan, Shunma Electric (神马电力) at 124.44 million yuan, and Jishi Media (吉视传媒) at 98.63 million yuan [1][3] Institutional Buying Summary - Aters (阿特斯) had a daily increase of 20.02% with a net buying amount of 391.14 million yuan [2] - Zhongtung High-tech (中钨高新) increased by 10.01% with a net buying of 168.33 million yuan [2] - Sifang Co., Ltd. (四方股份) rose by 8.19% with a net buying of 132.32 million yuan [2] - Other notable stocks with net buying included Dawi Co., Ltd. (大为股份) at 93.10 million yuan and Igor (伊戈尔) at 80.84 million yuan [2] Institutional Selling Summary - Zhenhua Holdings (振华股份) experienced a net outflow of 197.47 million yuan with a daily increase of 7.23% [3] - Shunma Electric (神马电力) had a net outflow of 124.44 million yuan with a daily increase of 10.00% [3] - Jishi Media (吉视传媒) saw a net outflow of 98.63 million yuan with a daily increase of 10.04% [3] - Other stocks with significant net selling included Hainan Development (海南发展) at 22.81 million yuan and Tongrun Equipment (通润装备) at 24.58 million yuan [3]

Core Viewpoint - On September 22, a total of 38 stocks were involved with institutional investors, with 17 stocks showing net buying and 21 stocks showing net selling [1][2]. Institutional Net Buying - The top three stocks with the highest net buying by institutions were: - Kaipu Cloud: Net buying amount of 1.507 billion yuan, with a price increase of 14.56% [2] - Jucheng Co., Ltd.: Net buying amount of 359 million yuan, with a price increase of 15.35% [2] - Chip Origin: Net buying amount of 273 million yuan, with a price increase of 17.34% [2] Institutional Net Selling - The top three stocks with the highest net selling by institutions were: - Luxshare Precision: Net outflow amount of 281 million yuan [1] - Zhongsheng Pharmaceutical: Net outflow amount of 225 million yuan [1] - Jingxing Paper: Net outflow amount of 129 million yuan [1]

Group 1 - The market appears vibrant with 22 out of 31 industries experiencing growth, highlighted by significant capital inflow into companies like CATL and SMIC [1] - Despite the surface-level excitement, underlying market dynamics suggest a more complex reality, where institutional trading behaviors significantly influence stock prices [3][4] - The concept of "washing the plate" is introduced, where institutional investors intentionally depress stock prices to create a false sense of market correction, leading retail investors to sell prematurely [3] Group 2 - Performance metrics such as earnings growth are not the sole determinants of stock success; rather, active participation from institutional funds is crucial [4] - The analysis of stock charts indicates that stocks with active institutional involvement tend to perform better, contrasting with those where institutional interest is waning [10] - The recommendation is made to focus on quantitative data to understand the true flow of capital and institutional intentions, rather than following popular stocks blindly [10]

Core Viewpoint - Ethereum is at a critical juncture as it experiences the largest single-day outflow from its ETF, leading to a price drop below the psychological level of $3600, shifting market sentiment from optimism to caution [1][3]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The single-day outflow from Ethereum ETFs exceeded $500 million, marking a historical record and indicating a dramatic shift in institutional investor sentiment from stable inflows in July to widespread withdrawals [3]. - Major institutions like Fidelity have begun transferring their holdings, with 14,978 ETH (valued at $53.6 million) moved to Coinbase Prime, suggesting profit-taking or risk aversion among professional investors [3]. - The number of whale addresses has decreased by 164 in the past 30 days, indicating a reduction in market liquidity as large holders continue to sell off their positions [3]. Group 2: Price Action and Technical Indicators - Ethereum has retraced 10% from its peak of $3900 to below $3600, which appears to be a typical correction but may conceal deeper risks [4]. - The total open interest has suffered a significant loss, with over $10 billion evaporated in just ten days, reflecting a rapid exit of leveraged funds [4]. - Technical indicators show that Ethereum has formed its first significant bearish candle in months, with a weekly pullback of 9.67%, and the $3900 level is becoming a strong resistance [6]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The current market displays a contradiction between bullish positions and bearish capital flows, with Binance showing over 60% long positions while institutions continue to withdraw [7]. - The battle for the $3600 level is critical, as a sustained outflow from ETFs and whale sell-offs could trigger a liquidity cascade around the $3500 mark, where approximately $60 million in positions are concentrated [6][7]. - The outcome of the struggle at the $3600 level will significantly influence whether Ethereum can regain its upward trajectory or enter a deeper correction [9].

Core Insights - On July 31, institutional investors showed significant activity in the stock market, with a total of 39 stocks being involved, of which 21 experienced net buying and 18 faced net selling [1][2]. Group 1: Institutional Buying - The top three stocks with the highest net buying by institutions were Industrial Fulian, Hewei Electric, and Yidian Tianxia, with net buying amounts of 1.498 billion, 457 million, and 173 million respectively [1][2]. - Other notable stocks with institutional net buying included Anglikang (172 million), Beifang Changlong (127 million), and Huilv Ecology (76.81 million) [2]. Group 2: Institutional Selling - The top three stocks with the highest net selling by institutions were Dongxin Co., New Henghui, and Gongchuang Turf, with net selling amounts of 119 million, 71.62 million, and 47.31 million respectively [1][3]. - Additional stocks that faced net selling included Hai Sen's Industry (2.37 million) and Ji Shi Media (4.51 million) [3].