权益风险偏好扩张

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保险股走出牛市节奏!
证券时报· 2025-07-05 00:02
Core Viewpoint - The insurance sector in A-shares has shown significant growth since April, with companies like New China Life Insurance nearing historical highs and China People's Insurance Group reaching a six-year peak, indicating a bullish market trend for insurance stocks [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The recent rise in insurance stocks is attributed to both funding and fundamental factors. Institutional investors have increased their allocation to insurance stocks due to their potential to outperform indices and higher elasticity in a low-interest-rate environment [2] - Insurance companies are expected to enhance their equity allocation, positioning themselves as a "second flag bearer" in the bull market due to the expansion of equity risk appetite among various institutions [2] Group 2: Fundamental Factors - The insurance sector is benefiting from macroeconomic improvements and a favorable capital market environment, with expectations of enhanced performance for insurance companies as the economy recovers [3] - The cost of liabilities for life insurance is expected to improve, with a projected decrease in the preset interest rate for insurance products, which could lower the rigid liability costs [3] - The growing emphasis on commercial health insurance is creating new growth opportunities, supported by national policies that promote a multi-tiered medical security system [3] Group 3: Future Outlook - Analysts emphasize the importance of asset-liability matching for insurance stocks, which is crucial for determining their "real value" in a low-interest-rate environment [4] - The ongoing policy guidance aimed at reducing liability costs and expense ratios is expected to enhance profit levels in the life insurance sector, with projections indicating a potential turning point in effective business value returns by 2025 [4]
保险股走出牛市节奏 下半年重在资产负债匹配
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-07-04 17:16
4月以来,A股保险股涨幅明显,新华保险(601336)接近历史高点,中国人保(601319)创6年多新 高。而在H股市场,新华保险、中国人保(即中国人民保险集团)过去一年涨幅达2倍左右,均已创下历史 新高。昨日(4日),A股保险板块整体上涨0.74%,盘中涨幅超1%,再次吸引市场目光。有投资者称保险 股"走出了牛市的节奏"。 受访的分析人士认为,支撑保险股上涨的有资金面逻辑,也有基本面逻辑。 资金面上,一位新财富最佳分析师向证券时报记者分析,保险股近期上涨主要是受益于市场资金配置行 为。因容易跑赢指数、弹性较高,保险股成为主动权益基金增加配置的对象。"在目前低利率、低信用 利差的环境下,各类机构都会去配置权益,这其实是权益风险偏好的扩张。" 相关数据显示,机构投资者此前对保险板块的配置低于指数权重。以公募基金为例,其对金融各板块的 配置比例普遍低于指数。在中长期资金入市背景下,预计保险公司将提升权益配置比例,更加具备"牛 市第二旗手"的特征。 基本面上,保险股则有边际利好和中长期向好因素。 从外部因素看,随着宏观经济、资本市场景气度提高,保险公司业绩将受益。东吴非银团队研报认为, 保险业经营具有显著顺周期特性 ...