板块修复
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天风证券:建议关注白酒板块修复机会 看好三大主线
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-20 00:56
Core Viewpoint - The white liquor industry is experiencing a "volume increase and price drop" phenomenon during the 2025 Double Eleven period, with traditional e-commerce platforms seeing prices for famous liquors fall below critical levels due to inventory pressure and promotional subsidies [1][4] Summary by Category White Liquor Sector - The white liquor sector has shown a price decline, with notable brands like Feitian Moutai dropping below 1700 yuan due to inventory pressures from distributors and platform subsidies [1][4] - Emerging channels such as instant retail and Douyin are experiencing growth, indicating a shift in consumer behavior towards "immediate purchase and consumption" [1][4] - Liquor companies are launching anti-counterfeiting measures by publishing authorized "white lists" and unauthorized "black lists" to stabilize prices and balance online and offline channel interests [1][4] - The industry is advised to shift from price wars to value reconstruction, focusing on high-quality price-performance products and refined channel operations [1][4] - Current leading liquor companies offer attractive dividend returns, and there is an expectation for gradual recovery in mass consumption, suggesting potential investment opportunities in the sector [1][4][6] Beer Sector - The beer sector has seen a rise of 3.95%, with Yanjing Beer leading the gains at 8.1% [4] - Chongqing Beer announced a cash dividend of 1.30 yuan per share, totaling approximately 629 million yuan, which represents 72.74% of its net profit for the first half of 2025 [4] - The beer market is expected to benefit from upcoming consumer promotion policies and marginal policy changes, which may drive sales and upgrade speed [4][6] Market Performance - The food and beverage sector overall increased by 2.82%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which fell by 0.18% [3] - Various sub-sectors within food and beverage, such as pre-processed foods and baked goods, showed significant gains, indicating a positive market trend [3][5]